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In February growth in retail inventories slows

Retail Inventories Economic Indicators



The build up in inventories continues to grow but on the slower pace, mainly because of inventory liquidation at the department stores.
Retail Inventories inched up 0.4 % in February, to $628 billions from $626 billions, lifting inventory to sales ratio to 1.45 from 1.44 in previous month, below recent average, suggesting that companies are experiencing higher demand for their goods on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Commerce Department. The build up in inventories was led by building materials, food and apparel retailers.

Retail inventories is closely watched by investors and economists for signs of whether the consumer demand is growing or shrinking. U.S. retail inventories increased by 2 % from Feb. 2017, led by food and beverage stores, by 6.4 %.
CPI Fuel Total retail Inventories excluding motor vehicle & parts rose by 0.15 % to $405,424 millions from $404,835 millions in Jan. 2018 and increased by 2.58 % from $395,212 millions Feb. 2017.


Motor vehicle & parts dealers retail Inventories advanced by 0.86 % to $222,625 millions from $220,722 millions in Jan. 2018 and increased by 0.94 % from $395,212 millions Feb. 2017.


0.54% 6.37% 0.83% -2.65% 0.90% 2.87% 0.39% 1.45%

Inventories / Sales Ratio  
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Total Retail Inventories to Sales ratio was estimated at seasonally adjusted rate of 1.45, an advance from 1.44 Jan. 2018 and an deacrease from 1.48 Feb. 2017.

Total retail Inventories to Sales ratio excluding motor vehicle & parts fell to 1.21 from 1.21 in Jan. 2018 and declined from 1.24 Feb. 2017.


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Retail Inventories Adjusted
(In millions $)
Feb. 2018

prel.
Jan. 2018

prel.
Dec. 2017

prel.
Nov. 2017

prel.
Oct. 2017

prel.
Sep. 2017

prel.
Retail Total
628,049 625,557 620,850 619,514 618,519 625,351
Total excl. Motor vehicle & parts
405,424 404,835 403,999 401,795 400,391 399,714
Building materials, garden equip. supplies dealers
56,621 56,116 55,720 55,484 55,286 54,898
Food & beverage stores
49,101 48,838 48,743 48,253 47,728 47,829
Motor vehicle & parts dealers
222,625 220,722 216,851 217,719 218,128 225,637
Clothing & clothing access stores
52,820 52,383 52,275 52,005 52,016 52,324
Furniture, home furn, electronic, and appliance stores
28,103 27,771 27,932 27,460 27,542 27,674
General merchandise stores
80,851 80,535 80,368 80,181 80,163 80,103
Department stores ex. L.D.
25,470 25,445 25,244 25,267 25,413 25,680




Retail Inventories Adjusted
( In %, Sequential)
Feb. 2018
prel.
Jan. 2018
prel.
Dec. 2017
prel.
Nov. 2017
prel.
Oct. 2017
prel.
Sep. 2017
prel.
Retail Inventories 0.4 % 0.76 % 0.22 % 0.16 % -1.09 % 0.73 %
Total excl motor vehicle & parts 0.15 % 0.21 % 0.55 % 0.35 % 0.17 % 0.41 %
Building materials garden equip. supplies dealers 0.9 % 0.71 % 0.43 % 0.36 % 0.71 % 0.12 %
Food & beverage stores 0.54 % 0.19 % 1.02 % 1.1 % -0.21 % 0.92 %
Motor vehicle & parts dealers 0.86 % 1.79 % -0.4 % -0.19 % -3.33 % 1.31 %
Clothing & clothing access stores 0.83 % 0.21 % 0.52 % -0.02 % -0.59 % 0.03 %
Furniture, home furn, electronic, and appliance stores 1.2 % -0.58 % 1.72 % -0.3 % -0.48 % 0.32 %
General merchandise stores 0.39 % 0.21 % 0.23 % 0.02 % 0.07 % 0.05 %
Department stores ex. L.D. 0.1 % 0.8 % -0.09 % -0.57 % -1.04 % -0.53 %




Retail Inventories Adjusted
( In %, Y / Y)
Feb. 2018
prel.
Jan. 2018
prel.
Dec. 2017
prel.
Nov. 2017
prel.
Oct. 2017
prel.
Sep. 2017
prel.
Retail Inventories 2 % 1.97 % 2.05 % 1.78 % 2.44 % 3.19 %
Total excl motor vehicle & parts 2.58 % 2.42 % 2.2 % 1.93 % 2.08 % 1.72 %
Building materials garden equip. supplies dealers 2.87 % 2.01 % 1.44 % 1.3 % 2.26 % 1.89 %
Food & beverage stores 6.37 % 6.06 % 5.46 % 5.2 % 4.41 % 4.4 %
Motor vehicle & parts dealers 0.94 % 1.15 % 1.77 % 1.51 % 3.11 % 5.89 %
Clothing & clothing access stores -2.65 % -3.18 % -3.48 % -3.78 % -2.95 % -2.5 %
Furniture, home furn, electronic, and appliance stores 2.73 % 2.92 % 3.99 % 2.15 % 2.65 % 2.1 %
General merchandise stores 1.45 % 0.22 % -0.19 % -0.56 % -0.27 % -0.9 %
Department stores ex. L.D. -4.42 % -6.25 % -6.7 % -6.26 % -5.83 % -5.12 %




Retail Inventories Adjusted Monthly


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INVENTORIES/SALES, RATIOS ADJUSTED
(Ratio)
Feb. 2018

prel.
Jan. 2018

prel.
Dec. 2017

prel.
Nov. 2017

prel.
Oct. 2017

prel.
Sep. 2017

prel.
Retail Total
1.45 1.44 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.49
Total excl. Motor vehicle & parts
1.21 1.21 1.21 1.20 1.21 1.24
Building materials, garden equip. supplies dealers
1.72 1.74 1.71 1.70 1.70 1.73
Food & beverage stores
0.80 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.80
Motor vehicle & parts dealers
2.24 2.19 2.13 2.14 2.12 2.34
Clothing & clothing access stores
2.38 2.37 2.39 2.34 2.36 2.42
Furniture, home furn, electronic, and appliance stores
1.56 1.53 1.55 1.49 1.52 1.59
General merchandise stores
1.39 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.37 1.39
Department stores ex. L.D.
2.03 2.00 2.00 1.98 2.00 2.03



Source: Retail Indicators Branch, U.S. Census Bureau
Census.gov


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