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U.S. retail sales on the rise again in January, after recent declines

ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES

U.S. Economy


Good news came from the Retail sales report, as it shows improvement after months of deterioration, as rising gasoline prices weren’t enough to choke off U.S. consumers’ demand for cars, clothing and other goods, government data showed.
In January U.S. retail sales soared by 5.3 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Commerce Department. Consumer increased spending for variety of goods including, food, cars, gasoline and general merchandise.

Fueled by growing prices, gasoline stations were expected to have a banner month, and they did: Monthly sales jumped 3.99 %.

It seems, that confidence of the Consumers is ot the rise, as they return to shops in January. Improving Retail sales are definitely good sign for the U.S. Economy. As the consumer spending is one of the key drivers of the GDP. U.S. retail and food services sales jumped by 7 % for the year, meanwhile sales excluding volatile motor vehicle and parts sales, increased less than overall retail sales, over the last 12 months.


Advance Monthly Sales



Fuels & Transportation

Sales excluding motor vehicle and parts soared sequentially by 5.9 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, sales grew in electronics and appliance, furniture and home furnishings stores. Online shopping sales fell.

The retail sales bring back the optimism to the markets, as it data breaks the negative trend of economic reports.


Investors and the Federal Reserve usually view the core sales as a better gauge of retail sales because it excludes car sales, which often fluctuate.

The retail sales bring back the optimism to the markets, as it data breaks the negative trend of economic reports.

U.S. retail and food services sales excluding motor vehicle and parts rose by 6 % in the past 12 months.


Sales of essentials continue to grow by higher rate, sale of essentials like groceries and gasoline soared by 4.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, food services and drinking places sales rose the most, by 6.93 %. Sale of essentials like food and gasoline dropped by -5.4 % from Jan. 2020.

Ordinarily, rising gas prices take a toll on consumer confidence, but this time it seems that consumers have ignored higher prices at the pump.

  
  CPI
  Vehicle Sales
  Personal Income
  Employment Situation
  GDP


Retail Sales

In January, sales increased 5% at clothing and accessories stores, department stores up 23.5%.

Several other areas with sales growth were 14.7% at electronics and appliance stores, building materials dealers grew by 4.6%, health and personal care stores grew by 1.3%.

Meanwhile, sales fell -100% at internet retailers.

Signs of positive weather impact are evident in seasonally adjusted food services, building materials, garden supplies and sporting goods sales. It will be important to see if these gains are maintained in the months ahead.


Retail Sales by Category

(In millions $)




ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES
( in millions $)
Jan. 2021

adv.
Dec. 2020

adv.
Nov. 2020

adv.
Oct. 2020

adv.
Sep. 2020

adv.
Retail & food services total
568,215 539,670 544,641 552,484 551,934
Total excl. motor vehicle & parts
449,379 424,453 431,556 437,745 437,481
Retail
513,581 488,579 491,081 497,067 496,230
GAFO
410,147 386,727 396,111 401,773 401,395
Motor vehicle & parts dealers
118,836 115,217 113,085 114,739 114,453
  Auto & other motor veh. dealers
110,179 106,928 104,841 106,472 105,931
Furniture & home furnishings stores
11,348 10,135 10,169 10,424 10,451
Electronics & appliance stores
7,801 6,803 7,080 7,683 7,664
   Appl. TV & camera
- - - - -
   Computer & software stores
- - - - -
Building mat. & garden eq. & supplies dealers
40,055 38,276 38,067 37,843 37,809
  Building mat. & supplies dealers
- 33,432 33,316 33,068 32,901
Food & beverage stores
72,020 70,322 71,306 70,277 70,897
  Grocery stores
64,045 62,510 63,288 62,282 62,775
  Beer, wine & liquor stores
- 5,846 6,016 5,955 6,066
Health & personal care stores
31,886 31,473 31,160 31,174 31,461
  Pharmacies & drug stores
- 26,700 26,394 26,459 27,187
Gasoline stations
39,232 37,726 35,445 35,972 36,086
Clothing & clothing accessories stores
20,014 19,057 18,578 19,836 20,209
   Men's clothing stores
- - - - 359
   Women's clothing stores
- 2,587 2,510 2,641 2,784
   Shoe stores
- 2,527 2,371 2,644 2,700
Sporting goods, hobby, book & music
8,165 7,558 7,687 7,831 7,919
General merchandise stores
63,518 60,209 61,200 62,181 61,937
   Department stores ex. LD
10,705 8,670 9,000 9,741 10,281
   Other general merchandise stores
- 51,539 52,200 52,440 51,656
     Warehouse clubs & superstores
- 44,209 44,531 44,604 43,852
     All other gen. merchandise stores
- 7,330 7,669 7,836 7,804
Miscellaneous store retailers
12,809 12,588 11,818 11,801 11,836
Nonstore retailers
- 71,946 78,102 79,142 77,884
   Electronic shopping & mail-order houses
- 71,946 78,102 79,142 77,884
Food services & drinking places
54,634 51,091 53,560 55,417 55,704


ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES
( in % Y / Y)
Jan. 2021
adv.
Dec. 2020
adv.
Nov. 2020
adv.
Oct. 2020
adv.
Sep. 2020
adv.
Retail & food services total 7.02 % 2.14 % 3.18 % 4.95 % 5.1 %
Total excl. motor vehicle & parts 6.01 % 0.57 % 2.79 % 4.22 % 4.14 %
Retail 10.49 % 5.62 % 6.09 % 7.81 % 7.96 %
GAFO 7.93 % 2.4 % 5.35 % 6.67 % 6.31 %
Motor vehicle & parts dealers 11.05 % 8.38 % 4.02 % 5.25 % 4.87 %
   Auto & other motor veh. dealers 11.36 % 8.89 % -2.94 % 0.08 % 0.82 %
Furniture & home furnishings stores 13.57 % 4.64 % 3.02 % 5.92 % 5.83 %
Electronics & appliance stores -4.41 % -15.97 % -12.4 % -5.22 % -5.85 %
   Appl. TV & camera - % - % - % - % - %
   Computer & software stores - % - % - % - % - %
Building mat. & garden eq. & supplies dealers 20.4 % 19.08 % 20.25 % 19.72 % 19.75 %
   Building mat. & supplies dealers - % 16.87 % 18.56 % 18 % 17.44 %
Food & beverage stores 10.1 % 6.87 % 8.97 % 7.83 % 8.64 %
   Grocery stores 9.35 % 6.15 % 8.14 % 6.83 % 7.48 %
   Beer, wine & liquor stores - % 15.79 % 19.79 % 19.39 % 21.34 %
Health & personal care stores 7.5 % 8.22 % 6.16 % 4.87 % 5.47 %
   Pharmacies & drug stores - % 11.22 % 9.47 % 7.85 % 10.16 %
Gasoline stations -10.62 % -15.02 % -19.14 % -17.12 % -15.16 %
Clothing & clothing accessories stores -11.75 % -17.12 % -16.64 % -11.47 % -10.09 %
   Men's clothing stores - % - % - % - % - %
   Women's clothing stores - % -21.89 % -24.21 % -20.19 % -18.24 %
   Shoe stores - % -22.46 % -24.59 % -15.93 % -14.72 %
Sporting goods, hobby, book & music 25.11 % 18.71 % 21.17 % 19.56 % 21.98 %
General merchandise stores 5.89 % 0.51 % 2.62 % 4.34 % 3.89 %
   Department stores ex. LD -2.26 % -20.83 % -18.32 % -12.28 % -7.59 %
   Other general merchandise stores - % 5.28 % 7.36 % 8.14 % 6.52 %
     Warehouse clubs & superstores - % 5.45 % 7.37 % 7.81 % 5.98 %
     All other gen. merchandise stores - % 4.24 % 7.32 % 10.06 % 9.71 %
Miscellaneous store retailers 6.29 % 9.16 % 0.72 % 1.75 % 3.08 %
Nonstore retailers - % 22.25 % 32.22 % 33.75 % 30.2 %
   Electronic shopping & mail-order houses - % 22.25 % 32.22 % 33.75 % 30.2 %
Food services & drinking places -17.36 % -22.32 % -17.55 % -15.23 % -14.98 %




ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES
( in % M / M)
Jan. 2021
adv.
Dec. 2020
adv.
Nov. 2020
adv.
Oct. 2020
adv.
Sep. 2020
adv.
Retail & food services total 5.29 % -0.91 % -1.42 % 0.1 % 2.4 %
Total excl. motor vehicle & parts 5.87 % -1.65 % -1.41 % 0.06 % 2.17 %
Retail 5.12 % -0.51 % -1.2 % 0.17 % 2.42 %
GAFO 6.06 % -2.37 % -1.41 % 0.09 % 2.19 %
Motor vehicle & parts dealers 3.14 % 1.89 % -1.44 % 0.25 % 3.29 %
   Auto & other motor veh. dealers 3.04 % 1.99 % -1.53 % 0.51 % 3.72 %
Furniture & home furnishings stores 11.97 % -0.33 % -2.45 % -0.26 % 0.93 %
Electronics & appliance stores 14.67 % -3.91 % -7.85 % 0.25 % -1.44 %
   Appl. TV & camera - % - % - % - % - %
   Computer & software stores
Building mat. & garden eq. & supplies dealers 4.65 % 0.55 % 0.59 % 0.09 % 0.59 %
   Building mat. & supplies dealers - % 0.35 % 0.75 % 0.51 % 0.23 %
Food & beverage stores 2.41 % -1.38 % 1.46 % -0.87 % 0.17 %
   Grocery stores 2.46 % -1.23 % 1.62 % -0.79 % 0.18 %
   Beer, wine & liquor stores - % -2.83 % 1.02 % -1.83 % -1.01 %
Health & personal care stores 1.31 % 1 % -0.04 % -0.91 % 1.79 %
   Pharmacies & drug stores - % 1.16 % -0.25 % -2.68 % 3.81 %
Gasoline stations 3.99 % 6.44 % -1.47 % -0.32 % 1.97 %
Clothing & clothing accessories stores 5.02 % 2.58 % -6.34 % -1.85 % 15.12 %
   Men's clothing stores - % - % - % - % - %
   Women's clothing stores - % 3.07 % -4.96 % -5.14 % 9.01 %
   Shoe stores - % 6.58 % -10.33 % -2.07 % 33.4 %
Sporting goods, hobby, book & music 8.03 % -1.68 % -1.84 % -1.11 % 8.61 %
General merchandise stores 5.5 % -1.62 % -1.58 % 0.39 % 1.6 %
   Department stores ex. LD 23.47 % -3.67 % -7.61 % -5.25 % 9.22 %
   Other general merchandise stores - % -1.27 % -0.46 % 1.52 % 0.2 %
     Warehouse clubs & superstores - % -0.72 % -0.16 % 1.71 % 0.31 %
     All other gen. merchandise stores - % -4.42 % -2.13 % 0.41 % -0.41 %
Miscellaneous store retailers 1.76 % 6.52 % 0.14 % -0.3 % 1.16 %
Nonstore retailers - % -7.88 % -1.31 % 1.62 % 2.51 %
   Electronic shopping & mail-order houses - % -7.88 % -1.31 % 1.62 % 2.51 %
Food services & drinking places 6.93 % -4.61 % -3.35 % -0.52 % 2.27 %




Source: Department of Commerce
Census.gov
     
       
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