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Montage_By_Michael_Schmahl_(Own_work)__[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Commons Construction Spending

Construction spending fell in July by -1.5 %

Construction spending decreased after recent increase in May, pulled down by declining construction spending for educational projects.
In July construction spending decreased by -1.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis to annual rate at $1211.5 billion. Since construction outlays are one of the important sources of domestic growth, flat or declining construction spending is generally a negative sign. Construction spending grew by 5 % over the past 12 months, as the public construction outlays increased on the slower rate than total construction spending.

The construction of public projects dropped faster than total construction outlays by -7.3 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Investors often use nonresidential construction spending as indicator of investment sentiment in each sector, as increase in construction spending represents growth in long term investment and signals expansion.
Government construction outlays fell by -7.3 % from June 2016.

Spending on private construction has climbed despite the decrease in total construction outlays, by 1.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Investors often use nonresidential construction spending as indicator of investment sentiment in each sector, as increase in construction spending represents growth in long term investment and signals expansion.
From the same month a year ago, private construction outlays jumped by 16.5 %.

Industrial production

Industrial production accelerates in August

The output rate of the nation's factories, mines and utilities accelerated due to increase in production of cars by 47.6 %.
Industrial production grew in double digits in August by 28.9 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, elevating capacity utilization to 76.6 %, but utilization rate remains below the average. The Fed thinks that this space of excess capacity is going to keep inflation subdued. From Aug. 2016, output jumped by 29.2 % led by growth in computer and electronic products by 41.4 %.
Manufacturing of durable goods grew in double digits by 30.2 %, led by production of nonmetallic mineral products with 48.8 %, on the seasonally adjusted basis.

For the period of July U.S industrial production was revised to -0.6 % decline.

Mining output continue to grow by higher rate, production of mines grew in double digits by 25.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Compare to a year ago mining output soared by 34.1 %.

Retail Inventories


In July U.S. retail inventories declined by -0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.-0.49 Retail inventories have climbed by 3.1 % for the year, led by inventory build up of 6.1 %, at the car dealars.
Inventories excluding motor vehicle and parts fell, with inventory to sales ratio of 1.24 by -0.15 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, to $397.8 billions, from $398.4 billion in June.

Bugatti_Veyron_By_Ritchyblack_Stefan_Krause_(Own_work)_[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Common Auto Sales

GM sales up in August


In August U.S. sales of new cars and trucks slipped by -1.9 % from the same month a year ago to 1,510,960 vehicles, or -28,881 autos.
Number of factors, including low incentives, limited availability and a flat economy, have constrained demand and will continue to keep the industry in check.

Meanwhile, compare to month of July, sales, grew by 4.8 %, following usual pick up in sales over the summer.
In AugustFord Motor Co. vehicle sales dropped by -7.2 %. GM said it sold 275552 new vehicles in August in the U.S., up from 256429 a year ago and 4.8 % above July total of 1,539,841.

There are people who put off vehicle purchases because of uncertainty about fuel prices, vehicle availability and the economy.


General Motors Co. said that, auto sales jumped7.5 %. GM said it sold 275552 new vehicles in August in the U.S., up from 256429 a year ago and 4.8 % above July total of 1,539,841.
Sales of GMC marked the biggest increase in August, shipping 12.4 % more vehicles to the dealers. Sales of Chevrolet cars and trucks, made up 71.1 %, of total U.S. auto sales in August. And grew as well, up 11.4 % to 196,007 vehicles. Not all fo GM's brands had a good August, the sales of Buick were soft -22.5 from a year earlier, to 16,811 units.
Since the last time fuel prices spiked, both the economy and GM's product portfolio are undeniably stronger. GM is now strong across the board in cars, crossovers and trucks.

Monthly, quarterly and annual vehicle sales

Vehicle production and Market share

workout_By_Nnu-12-22100541Tracy_(Own_work)_[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Commons Productivity

Productivity and wages are up

Americans have earned more in second-quarter and productivity grew as well, as strenght in the U.S. economy becomes more evident.
U.S. productivity increased in the second-quarter on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.3 %, reported by the U.S. Labor Department. Recent increase in hourly income helps Americans to spend more. Consumer spending is by far the bigger source of U.S. growth. Adding to the positive news rising productivity could result in higher profitability for businesses, despite the wage increases.

U.S. labor costs have increased by smaller rate than a quarter ago, the business labor costs jumped by 0.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as labor costs in manufacturing of nondurable goods increased the most.

Increases in hourly compensation, lead to increase in unit labor costs U.S. labor costs remained unchanged for the year.

Real hourly compensation has rebounded from the decline in previous period, helping to improve consumer spending the largest contributor to the nation's economic growth, the hourly wages grew by 2.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by increases in nonfarm business, durable goods manufacturing and in total manufacturing.
The measure includes accrued inflation-adjusted wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to employee benefit plans, and taxes. Over the past 12 months, real hourly compensation have climbed by 2.1 %.

Output continues to grow by higher rate, production jumped by 3.7 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as production in nonfarm businesses increased the most.


Business productivity increased by 1.3 % from a year ago, driven by the increase in output. U.S. business production rose by 2.6 % in the past 12 months.

Shipping_Containers_at_the_terminal_at_Port_Elizabeth,_New_Jersey2_pd International Trade

Declining Exports increase U.S. Trade gap in July

The U.S. trade gap widened in July on the shrinking trade.
U.S. trade gap increased by 0.3 % in July to a rate at $43.7 billion , reported by the Commerce Department. The increase in trade deficit it's not only bad news in this report but declining imports as well, as shrinking exports of U.S. goods and services indicate slowing global demand, the shrinking price of oil, cuts the trade deficit, adds to the gdp and disposable income growth, but economists believe that declining demand for oil imports might be a evidence of slowing economy.


Imports from China, meanwhile, climbed to $43.6 billion in July from $42.3 billion in June. The trade deficit with the rising Asian giant increased $0.97 billion to $-33.6 billion in July. Country data are not seasonally adjusted.

Lawmakers and some business executives say China keeps its currency artifically low to boosts its exports.

In July imports declined by -0.18 %, following decline in miscellaneous other goods by -4.34 % and Other Transportation services. U.S. Imports of Advanced Materials also declined, by -19.09 % to $0.20 billions. Bucking the overall trend, imports of Capital goods, except automotive and Other Private Services, increased. Imports of Weapons increased also, up 12.90 % to $0.07 billions.



The decline came down to oil, as petroleum imports shrank, as oil prices fell to $10.2 billion a barrel in July from $11.1 billion a barrel in June and as Americans used -4.05 % less imported energy products. U.S. Imports of services increased 0.09 %, but weakining demand for foreign made goods, posted a drag on imports, goods accounted for 81.5 %, of total imports in July, they declined by -0.24 %.

Imports from europe fell, as imports of goods from Ireland went down, but trade with Belgium grew by 15.42 %.
What’s more, there’s a good chance exports could suffer another dip in the months ahead. Economic growth has slowed sharply in the U.K. and Europe and some countries have already fallen into recession..
Pacific Rim Region has seen increasing demand from the U.S., led by 8.73 % increase in imports from Australia, while the demand for goods from Hong Kong fell.
Imports from Mexico and Canada where lower in July.
Lower U.S. consumption of oil, was evident drag on imports from OPEC countries, such as Saudi Arabia, but there were countries like Venezuela, who have managed to buck the trend and post a gain in July.


U.S. trade deficit fell by -1.8 % from June 2016, due to 6.13 % increase in exports.

In July exports fell by -0.29 %, following miscellaneous other goods decline by -4.80 % and Other Transportation services. Exports of Nuclear Technology also fell -70.19 % to $0.03 billions. Opposite to overall trend, exports of Foods, feeds, beverages, Royalties and License Fees, grew. Exports of Weapons increased also, up 23.50 % to $0.49 billions.
Economists are concerned that slowing demand from Europe may dampen U.S. export growth. The decline of exports was broad based, services fell -0.19 % and exports of goods declined by -0.34 %.

Sales of U.S. made goods, improved in the Pacific Rim Region, led by 8.73 % increase in exports to Australia and despite the decrease in demand for U.S. made goods, from Hong Kong.
Exports to South and Central American region, including Brazil increased, while sales to Colombia contracted.
Exports to europe fell, where sales of U.S. made goods to Ireland fell the most, but trade with Norway grew by 44.39 %.

Recently Repoted Results
unemployed_lines_pd Employment Report

Economy gains 156,000 jobs, but the unemployment rate climbs to 4.4 %

The nonfarm payrolls grew 156,000 in August, as faster hiring puts more money in the hands of consumers, what usually leads to an increase in spending, as private sector decreased the pace of hiring and the government continued to trimm jobs.
In August economy added 156,000 jobs on the seasonally adjusted basis and the unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.4 %, from 4.3 %, reported by the Labor Department.

Companies in the private service providing sector hired 95,000 workers and payrolls in goods-producing industries rose by 70,000, bringing overall job growth in the pivate sector to 165,000. One of the weak spots in the August report, was the public sector, as the government employers announced -9,000 layoffs.

As the year goes on, companies have been hiring at a faster clip as Americans increase spending and consumer confidence rises, economists have seen a steady improvement in the jobs market and recruiting activity.
Current report confirms positive trends in the nonfarm payrolls. The number of employed people decreased -0.05 % to 153,44 millions, the information sector fared poorly by trimming -8,000 jobs.

Average workweek fell by -0.29 % to 34.40hours, a decrease by $0.10 from 34.50 in July on the seasonally adjusted basis.
This led to decline in average weekly earnings in the private sector to $907.82 from $909.42 in the previous month.
Details of the August report just added to evidence of a sharp deterioration in labor conditions. Unemployment surged by 2.16 % to 7.13 million, an increase of 151,000 from 6.98 in July on the seasonally adjusted basis.
The number of people entered the labor force in August matched the natural growth rate of U.S. poulation, the labor force participation rate has held steady at 62.90 %.

The August employment report showed a slight increase in workers' hourly wages by 0.11 % despite decrease in hours of production, on the seasonally adjusted basis, the surging retail sector increased hourly wages the most to $18.25, the biggest decline took place in utilities down to $38.80, reported by the U.S. Labor Department.
Improving wages are one of the major contributors to the fast rate of hiring since consumption accounts for as much as 70% of U.S. growth. When people have more to spend, business have enough demand for their goods and services to hire more workers.

Job growth by Industry

Salary by Industry

Personal Income and Spending

Wages up 0.4 % in March spending ebbs

Americans cut back on spending in March and used a hefty increase in wages to pad their savings accounts, government data showed.
Personal income inched up 0.4 % in March at the annualized rate of $16.45 trillion on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Commerce Department.
The renewed caution by consumers is a double-edged sword. While Americans need to put more money aside to boost a low savings rate, lackluster spending also contributes to slower growth. (Consumer spending accounts for as much as 70% of U.S. economic activity.).

Meanwhile, disposable income advanced by 0.3 %, less than overall income, due to 1.3% increase in taxes, averaging income $44,248 at the annualized rate for every American.

Wages have increased on the same pace like in previous month, with biggest gain in Manufacturing, wages in Government Sector grew as well, the supplements to wages and salaries grew less than total wages, as employer boost contributions for government social insurance.




Personal consumption expenditures remained unchanged. The combination of higher income and lower spending allowed consumers to boost their savings rate to 3.5 % from 3.6 % in January, but interest income rose, in contrast to the declining savings rate.
A slower pace of consumer spending is one reason that economists are cutting estimates for gross domestic product growth.



Personal income and it's spending

Quarterly personal income

Consumer Price Index

Inflation accelerates

Prices increased on the faster pace again, led by increase in gasoline prices.
The Consumer price Indexes increased by 0.4 % in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Labor Department. CPI advanced by 1.9 % for the year, as the core rate increased on the slower rate than total consumer price index.

With prices rising across the board, consumer had to paid more money for food, energy, gasoline, while within communication sector prices declined.

Core CPI the measure of retail-level inflation that strips out food and energy prices to get a better handle on underlying inflationary trends, increased smaller than total consumer price by 0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Some economists prefer core cpi over the total CPI, because they believe it provides a better idea of longer-term inflationary trends.
Consumer price index excluding food and energy advanced by 1.7 % for the year.

Energy and commoditie prices grew by higher rate than in previous month, commodities by 0.5% and energy grew by 2.8 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, over the past 12 months, energy grew by 6.4 %.

Apparel prices have increased by smaller rate than a month ago, apparel prices advanced by 0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, prices for mens and boys apparel grew the most. Over the past 12 months, prices for apparel decreased by -0.6 %.

Food & beverages prices have increased by smaller rate than a month ago, food prices advanced by 0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Food prices increased by 1.1 % from Aug. 2016.

Prices for housing have increased by higher rate than in previous period, housing surged by 0.4 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, cost for shelter grew the most. Prices for housing jumped by 2.9 % for the year.

Inflation rate, consumer prices by category

Consumer prices by category monthly change

Economy
White_House_South_Lawn_1-18-09_20090117_p011809cg-0034-515h Gross Domestic Product

U.S. economy accelerates to 3.0 % in the second-quarter

Nation's output accelerated in the April-through-June period, as consumer spending, investments and exports play major role in the advance.
In the second-quarter U.S. economy grew by 3.0 % to $19,247 billions, an increase from $19,027 billions in the first-quarter on the seasonally adjusted basis. One of the big stories of the second-quarter was strong consumer spending. There was also an increase in businesses investments and the trade sector made also positive contribution.
Constantly improving pace of economic growth is expected to be matched by improving labor market.
The newly revised growth numbers reinforce the view that the economy remains in a very strong state. Salaries and Worker wages grew by 0.06 % quarterly.
Over the past 12 months, as consumer spending, investments and exports play major role in the advance, U.S. output have climbed by 2.2 %.

The second estimate of GDP incorporates more data from the private sector and provides a more accurate measure of growth than the initial report. The revision is also the first to include data on business earnings.
Investments grew by 3.60 % to $3,020 billions and accelerated on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Businesses, for their part, ratcheted up investments by 6.90 %, improved capital spending and investments in new equipment, are sines of strong business confidence, wich could lead to increase in profits and employement. Purchases of software and equipment surged 8.80 % and accelerated, investments in structures such as offices increased 6.20 % and added 561.90 of a percentage point to second-quarter growth.
Inventories increased $9.90 billion in the second-quarter. The change in inventories added 0.50 percentage points to growth.

Government spending fell by -0.30 %, a 1.90 % increase in federal outlays was offset by a -1.70 % decline in local and state spending. Many states have slashed spending to close multi-billion-dollar budget gaps. Government consumption of $3,284 billions at annual rate, accounts for 17.61 % of total U.S. Economy.
In the second-quarter consumer spending grew by 3.3 %
With estimated annual rate of $12,806 billions, seasonally adjusted in the first-quarter, consumer spending accounts for 69.41 % of economic activity on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by growing demand for electricity and gas.
Spending on U.S. made Goods increased by 4.3 %, where consumption of Durable Goods grew by 8.9 %, led by growing demand for new cars.
Growth in nondurable goods of 2.1 %, as other nondurable goods grew the most, up 0.12 %.
Sevice sector grew more than in previous quarter and faster than gross national product, spending on service increased by 5.9 %, led by growing demand for electricity and gas. Consumer spending for services accounts for 68.6% of total speding and 47.19% of total GDP.

Final sales for domestic product, considered a measure of domestic demand because it excludes inventories and trade, jumped at a 3.0 % rate in the second-quarter after rising 2.3 % in the first-quarter.

Exports increased 3.70 % in the second-quarter, after having risen 3.40 % in the first-quarter. Imports fell 1.60 %, a reversal from the first-quarter's 3.80 % growth. Net exports contributed -566.80 of a percentage points to growth.

Detailed Gross Domestic Product and related measures

Real Gross Domestic Product in numbers

Economy

Producer Price Index

PPI increased again in August

Producer prices have recovered after a dip in July, led by increase in crude petroleum prices.
The Labor Department announced total PPI edge up by 0.2 % in August on the seasonally adjusted basis. Sometimes rising wholesale prices result in higher consumer costs, especially for fuel, but in many cases they do not. Overall PPI grew by 2.4 % over the past 12 months, as the core rate increased on the slower rate than total ppi.
Core PPI excluding food and energy increased equally to total producer price index by 0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, boosted by higher prices for durable goods, copper and organic chemicals. .
Some economists prefer core ppi over the total PPI, because they believe it provides a better idea of longer-term inflationary trends.
Over the past 12 months, stripping out the volatile food and energy categories, the core rate of producer price inflation has climbed by 2 %.

Crude materials prices have rebounded from decline in previous period, finished consumer goods prices sunk by -0.7 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, foodstuffs, feedstuffs prices decrease the most, by -5.2 %. Excluding food and energy, core crude rate, which the Federal Reserve pays close attention for signs of inflation increased by 0.9 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Over the past 12 months, crude materials prices grew by 6.8 %.

Investors are monitoring how corporations are passing along rising commodity prices onto consumers, which may signal the rise of inflation.

Prices for intermediate goods continue to grow by higher rate, intermediate prices surged by 0.4 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as prices for processed fuels increased the most. Core intermediate prices excluding food and energy, which the Federal Reserve pays close attention for signs of inflation surged by 0.4 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Over the past 12 months, intermediate prices grew by 4.1 %.

Intermediate products are items such as steel, processed from iron ore, before it is made into cars.

Prices for finished consumer goods have rebounded from decline in previous period, finished consumer goods prices jumped by 0.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Prices for finished consumer goods jumped by 3.1 % for the year.

Price changes on the whole-sale level

Price changes by category

Economy
Housing Starts

July housing starts fell by -4.8 %

The construction of new homes, as well as the issuance of new building permits declined in July, following very solid June report.
In July U.S. housing starts dropped by -4.8 % on the seasonally adjusted basis to annual rate of 1,155,000 units, a decrease of 58,000 units from 1,213,000 in June. Most of decline took place in the Northeast and it was concentrated in multi-dwelling buildings such as apartments.

New building retreated -15.7 % to annual rate of 532,000 units in the Northeast while the construction of multi-family units decreased -15.3 % accounting for 25.89 % of total construction. As demand for renting apartments declines.

A healthier housing market, however, would give a big boost to the economy.

In construction of housing units was bellow average rate of 930,774 housing starts.

Permits faded by -4.1 % or 52,000 units to an annual rate of 1,155,000 units, from 1,213,000 in June on the seasonally adjusted basis Demand for building permits fell the most in the Midwest and it was concentrated in multi-dwelling buildings such as apartments.

The issuance of new permits declined -17.4 % to annual rate of 179,000 units in the Midwest while the permits for multi-family units decreased -11.2 % accounting for 25.89 % of total building permits issued.

Permits indicate whether demand for new homes is growing or slowing. Over the past 12 months, monthly building permits grew by 6.9 %


Housing starts dropped by -5.2 % from July 2016, as housing starts in the South fell the most, by -16.2 %.

New housing units authorized by region

New housing units started by region

Stocks
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mexicaninteriors_By_oswaldo_[CC-BY-SA-2.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_2.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Common Retail Sales

Retail sales fell in August by -0.2 %


In August U.S. retail sales declined by -0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Since consumer spending is the main source of domestic growth, declining retail sales are generally a negative sign. Over the past 12 months, as the sales excluding motor vehicle and parts increased on the higher rate than total sales over the past 12 months, retail sales have climbed by 3.9 %.
Sales of essentials continue to grow by higher rate, sale of essentials like groceries and gasoline increased by 0.8 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as gasoline station sales increased the most, representing 7.71 % of total U.S. retail and food services sales. Over the last 12 months, sales of essentials soared by 4 %.

Sales excluding motor vehicle and parts increased sequentially despite decrease in total retail and food services sales, by 0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.

Some economists prefer core sales over the total retail and food services sales, because they believe it provides a better idea of longer-term retail sales trends.
Over the past 12 months, stripping out the volatile auto sector, the core rate of sales has climbed by 4 %.

July retail and food services sales were revised to $475.8 billion to show 0.3 % growth.

In August, sales grew 0.1% at health and personal care stores.

Factory Orders (Picture Autor: Wolfgang Meinhart) licence GNU Factory Orders

New orders fell -3.28 %

More detailed report on new orders from manufacturing sector, shows smaller decline in July as previously reported on the durable goods report. Suggesting that slow-down in manufacturing activity may not be as strong as previously reported.
The Commerce Department reported orders for U.S.-made items deteriorated in July by -3.28 % to $466 billions, a decrease by $15.8 billions from $482 in June on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Suggesting some hesitancy on the part of businesses to continue to expand until they see further strengthening of the U.S. economy. Bookings for U.S.-made products such as autos or appliances grew by 2.55 % over the past 12 months, .

In June factory orders were revised to 3.72 % growth to $482 billions and manufacturing shipments to $473 billions an increase by 0.26 %.

Inventories remained unchanged in July on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.36 from 1.37 in the previous month.

In addition, new orders excluding defense and transportation, which the government uses to help calculate gross domestic product, orders deteriorated more than ovrall orders by -3.67 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, but shipments grew by 0.30 %.
That closely watched category gives a better read on trends in the private sector because it excludes transportation and government spending on defense.
Excluding defense and transportation grew by 2.32 % and unfilled orders by 0.05 % over the past 12 months.

Shipments increased in July by 0.33 % to $474 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $473 in June on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding transportation grew by 0.35 %.

Unfilled orders fell by -0.32 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories for computers declined -2.21 % to $2 billions, accounting for 0.26 % of total inventories. total factory inventories rose by 0.50 % over the past 12 months.

Economy


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