New Orders 1.81 % in September

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

Durable Goods orders continued to grow, excluding defense booking grew even faster 3.62 %. That category excludes defense and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in September on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.81 % to $237 billions, an increase of $4 billions from $233 in August, reported by the Commerce Department. These data represent an encouraging confirmation that the recovery in manufacturing activity is continuing. Durable Goods orders dropped by -5.56 % from Aug. 2019, and unfilled orders by -7.55 %.

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed but decelerated by 1.49 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.49 % %. Over the past 12 months, core capital goods bookings decreased by -0.39 % and inventories by -2.00 %.

Shipments increased in September by 0.33 % to $245 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $244 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.31 %.

Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
2.17%	-8.88%	4.58%	-6.89%	4.52%	-8.50%	2.68%	-11.54%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Inventories increased in September by 0.38 % to $422 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $420 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.72 from 1.72 in the previous month.

Unfilled orders have declined by smaller rate than a month ago, unfilled orders fell by -0.25 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -2.29 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts unfilled bookings, representing 7.66 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data.. total durable goods inventories dropped by -7.55 % from Aug. 2019.


New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.97. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.72. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.68. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.71.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.	May 2020 adv.	April 2020 adv.	March 2020 adv.
Total	244,953	244,137	244,013	198,490	192,326	240,715
Excluding transportation	163,000	162,500	160,851	151,955	150,221	166,615
Excluding defense	231,217	230,260	229,986	184,380	178,004	226,026
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	163,037	163,365	161,460	147,643	146,457	173,031
Primary metals	18,259	18,288	18,080	16,960	17,062	19,795
Fabricated metal products	30,050	30,073	29,910	28,204	27,979	33,277
Machinery	30,705	31,056	30,332	28,834	28,522	32,087
Computers & electronic products	30,274	29,741	29,563	28,752	28,533	27,797
Computers & related products	1,779	1,919	1,821	1,839	1,751	1,764
Communications equipment	4,247	4,153	4,075	3,789	3,746	3,977
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	10,472	10,507	10,519	10,401	10,336	12,073
Transportation equipment	81,953	81,637	83,162	46,535	42,105	74,100
Motor vehicles & parts	3,745	4,111	4,265	3,989	4,244	48,896
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,301	61,328	64,205	28,286	22,624	10,437
Defense Aircraft & parts	4,978	5,331	3,947	3,451	4,485	3,745
All other durable goods	43,240	42,835	42,447	38,804	37,789	41,586
Capital goods	82,251	82,262	79,865	75,930	76,286	88,520
Nondefense capital goods	70,172	70,062	67,550	63,500	63,825	75,676
Excluding aircraft	67,493	67,165	65,906	62,371	61,824	68,718
Defense capital goods	12,079	12,200	12,315	12,430	12,461	12,844

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.	May 2020 adv.	April 2020 adv.	March 2020 adv.
Total	237,057	232,841	230,672	194,419	169,966	213,184
Excluding transportation	160,281	158,072	155,928	147,569	143,332	161,947
Excluding defense	225,630	217,758	215,011	179,572	157,561	194,995
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	160,450	157,036	153,237	148,444	128,970	149,669
Primary metals	19,259	18,416	17,895	17,249	15,985	19,394
Fabricated metal products	30,830	30,055	29,951	28,139	26,703	32,928
Machinery	31,244	31,195	30,509	28,832	28,856	32,162
Computers & electronic products	25,016	24,894	24,389	23,950	23,672	23,699
Computers & related products	1,800	1,901	1,809	1,807	1,717	1,732
Communications equipment	4,254	4,244	4,021	3,767	3,703	3,842
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	10,659	10,672	10,730	10,560	10,409	12,106
Transportation equipment	76,776	74,769	74,744	46,850	26,634	51,237
Motor vehicles & parts	2,143	4,321	4,665	4,156	4,055	49,015
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,353	61,438	64,226	28,209	22,600	-16,345
Defense Aircraft & parts	1,799	-2,784	-5,801	3,072	-8,513	6,263
All other durable goods	43,273	42,840	42,454	38,839	37,707	41,658
Capital goods	80,046	76,583	72,067	76,165	61,074	65,084
Nondefense capital goods	69,742	62,927	58,038	62,841	50,087	48,727
Excluding aircraft	68,715	67,703	66,099	62,729	61,944	68,903
Defense capital goods	10,304	13,656	14,029	13,324	10,987	16,357

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.	May 2020 adv.	April 2020 adv.	March 2020 adv.
Total	237,057	232,841	230,672	194,419	169,966	213,184
Excluding transportation	160,281	158,072	155,928	147,569	143,332	161,947
Excluding defense	225,630	217,758	215,011	179,572	157,561	194,995
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	160,450	157,036	153,237	148,444	128,970	149,669
Primary metals	19,259	18,416	17,895	17,249	15,985	19,394
Fabricated metal products	30,830	30,055	29,951	28,139	26,703	32,928
Machinery	31,244	31,195	30,509	28,832	28,856	32,162
Computers & electronic products	25,016	24,894	24,389	23,950	23,672	23,699
Computers & related products	1,800	1,901	1,809	1,807	1,717	1,732
Communications equipment	4,254	4,244	4,021	3,767	3,703	3,842
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	10,659	10,672	10,730	10,560	10,409	12,106
Transportation equipment	76,776	74,769	74,744	46,850	26,634	51,237
Motor vehicles & parts	2,143	4,321	4,665	4,156	4,055	49,015
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,353	61,438	64,226	28,209	22,600	-16,345
Defense Aircraft & parts	1,799	-2,784	-5,801	3,072	-8,513	6,263
All other durable goods	43,273	42,840	42,454	38,839	37,707	41,658
Capital goods	80,046	76,583	72,067	76,165	61,074	65,084
Nondefense capital goods	69,742	62,927	58,038	62,841	50,087	48,727
Excluding aircraft	68,715	67,703	66,099	62,729	61,944	68,903
Defense capital goods	10,304	13,656	14,029	13,324	10,987	16,357

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.	May 2020 adv.	April 2020 adv.	March 2020 adv.
Total	1,075,748	1,078,447	1,084,435	1,108,567	1,107,809	1,135,165
Excluding transportation	353,758	350,432	349,266	348,571	347,949	366,848
Excluding defense	856,494	856,316	863,559	886,654	886,623	920,866
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1,075,748	1,078,447	1,084,435	1,108,567	1,107,809	1,135,165
Primary metals	31,831	30,770	30,375	30,554	30,050	31,332
Fabricated metal products	74,215	72,957	72,719	72,316	72,329	84,961
Machinery	98,067	97,356	97,204	96,787	96,927	101,479
Computers & electronic products	118,682	118,798	118,661	118,610	118,506	118,677
Computers & related products	1,856	1,835	1,852	1,905	1,937	2,173
Communications equipment	25,616	25,657	25,498	25,620	25,636	24,822
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	22,330	22,042	21,829	21,766	21,636	20,705
Transportation equipment	721,990	728,015	735,169	759,996	759,860	768,317
Motor vehicles & parts	21,212	21,131	21,221	20,347	20,648	26,504
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	481,300	484,883	493,167	517,890	518,222	538,925
Defense Aircraft & parts	82,360	84,291	84,137	85,475	85,411	87,611
All other durable goods	8,633	8,509	8,478	8,538	8,501	9,694
Capital goods	772,976	775,335	780,785	803,997	803,721	812,738
Nondefense capital goods	593,484	593,712	600,777	624,015	624,788	643,174
Excluding aircraft	219,417	217,953	217,295	216,635	216,377	218,029
Defense capital goods	179,492	181,623	180,008	179,982	178,933	169,564

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.	May 2020 adv.	April 2020 adv.	March 2020 adv.
Total	422,070	420,460	422,572	425,080	425,574	437,420
Excluding transportation	274,213	273,938	276,083	281,002	282,578	284,857
Excluding defense	396,351	395,057	397,187	399,868	400,211	409,144
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	345,213	343,323	345,140	346,946	347,256	358,966
Primary metals	33,525	33,028	33,536	34,863	35,759	35,556
Fabricated metal products	51,171	51,261	51,886	53,492	53,474	54,098
Machinery	69,116	69,128	69,710	71,090	71,241	71,403
Computers & electronic products	43,628	43,850	43,995	44,225	44,208	43,536
Computers & related products	3,907	3,852	3,860	3,928	3,838	3,735
Communications equipment	5,333	5,238	5,239	5,226	5,258	5,594
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	19,678	19,700	19,828	19,770	19,886	20,357
Transportation equipment	147,857	146,522	146,489	144,078	142,996	152,563
Motor vehicles & parts	38,888	39,062	39,387	40,266	40,112	38,793
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	79,247	78,066	77,854	74,812	73,705	83,752
Defense Aircraft & parts	12,421	12,449	12,447	12,327	12,297	13,579
All other durable goods	57,095	56,971	57,128	57,562	58,010	59,907
Capital goods	215,352	214,162	214,457	212,279	211,435	224,153
Nondefense capital goods	193,833	193,002	193,298	191,245	190,292	200,370
Excluding aircraft	127,303	127,654	127,990	128,991	128,953	129,997
Defense capital goods	21,519	21,160	21,159	21,034	21,143	23,783

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.	May 2020 adv.	April 2020 adv.	March 2020 adv.
Total	1.72	1.72	1.73	2.14	2.21	1.82
Excluding transportation	1.68	1.69	1.72	1.85	1.88	1.71
Excluding defense	1.71	1.72	1.73	2.17	2.25	1.81
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	2.12	2.10	2.14	2.35	2.37	2.07
Primary metals	1.84	1.81	1.85	2.06	2.10	1.80
Fabricated metal products	1.70	1.70	1.73	1.90	1.91	1.63
Machinery	2.25	2.23	2.30	2.47	2.50	2.23
Computers & electronic products	1.44	1.47	1.49	1.54	1.55	1.57
Computers & related products	2.20	2.01	2.12	2.14	2.19	2.12
Communications equipment	1.26	1.26	1.29	1.38	1.40	1.41
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	1.88	1.87	1.88	1.90	1.92	1.69
Transportation equipment	1.80	1.79	1.76	3.10	3.40	2.06
Motor vehicles & parts	0.62	0.64	0.61	1.42	1.77	0.79
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	15.92	14.64	19.72	21.68	16.43	8.02
Defense Aircraft & parts	3.32	3.03	2.92	3.09	2.90	3.63
All other durable goods	1.32	1.33	1.35	1.48	1.54	1.44
Capital goods	2.62	2.60	2.69	2.80	2.77	2.53
Nondefense capital goods	2.76	2.75	2.86	3.01	2.98	2.65
Excluding aircraft	1.89	1.90	1.94	2.07	2.09	1.89
Defense capital goods	1.78	1.73	1.72	1.69	1.70	1.85

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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New Orders 1.81 % in September

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio