U.S. Durable Goods orders grew again after dipping in the last month, as bookings outgrow production.In March total durable goods orders grew by 3.17 % to $259 billions, an increase of $8 billions from $251 in February on the seasonally adjusted basis. The rise in demand last month was lead by transportation and defense, but almost every sector tracked by the Commerce Department reported an increase. The rebound in durable goods orders is an encouraging sign, particularly in light of the loss of momentum in the manufacturing sector evident in recent survey reports. Durable Goods orders increased by 1.40 % from March 2018, and inventories by 2.31 %. The normal wild swings in big-ticket purchases continue but the trend is still up and that is all that matters, some Wallstreet economists added. Durable goods are typically bulky or heavy products designed to last at three years, such as trains, computers or furniture. The government’s durables report, however, is particularly volatile and subject to large swings month to month.

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed less than total orders by 1.61 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.61 % %. Over the past 12 months, core capital goods bookings grew by 4.08 %, but unfilled orders fell by -2.83 %.

Shipments increased in March by 0.38 % to $260 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $259 in February on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.04 %.

Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
3.87%	-1.30%	-0.28%	-2.97%	8.88%	0.68%	9.01%	2.59%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Inventories increased in March by 0.38 % to $421 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $419 in February on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio was unchanged at 1.62.

Unfilled orders have rebounded from decline in previous period, unfilled orders surged by 0.36 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled bookings for defense aircraft and parts grew 1.55 % to $82 billions, accounting for 6.97 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. total durable goods inventories grew by 2.42 % over the past 12 months.


New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.00. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.62. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.70. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.60.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	March 2019 adv.	Feb. 2019 adv.	Jan. 2019 rest.	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.
Total	259,571	258,581	258,062	259,659	256,690	254,478
Excluding transportation	168,866	168,792	167,977	168,266	167,228	166,898
Excluding defense	245,053	244,321	242,973	245,392	242,880	240,374
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	180,127	180,111	179,855	180,813	178,998	176,645
Primary metals	21,382	21,401	21,261	21,561	21,826	21,572
Fabricated metal products	34,164	33,991	33,780	33,867	33,019	32,954
Machinery	33,238	33,336	33,315	33,037	32,820	32,724
Computers & electronic products	27,741	28,038	27,721	27,849	27,701	27,306
Computers & related products	1,742	1,822	1,784	1,767	1,889	1,932
Communications equipment	3,821	3,828	3,815	3,755	3,643	3,667
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,553	11,536	11,460	11,469	11,529	11,726
Transportation equipment	90,705	89,789	90,085	91,393	89,462	87,580
Motor vehicles & parts	4,473	61,554	5,193	4,669	4,532	4,757
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,994	13,795	61,524	62,097	60,549	60,751
Defense Aircraft & parts	13,591	4,668	13,362	15,053	14,975	12,671
All other durable goods	40,788	40,490	40,440	40,483	40,333	40,616
Capital goods	91,580	91,212	91,418	92,469	91,475	89,506
Nondefense capital goods	79,027	78,947	78,472	79,990	79,612	77,386
Excluding aircraft	69,631	69,567	69,592	69,239	68,958	68,828
Defense capital goods	12,553	12,265	12,946	12,479	11,863	12,120

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	March 2019 adv.	Feb. 2019 adv.	Jan. 2019 rest.	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.
Total	258,524	250,577	254,741	254,445	250,827	248,520
Excluding transportation	164,739	164,546	164,417	164,203	163,823	163,828
Excluding defense	242,009	236,385	240,897	239,230	234,582	235,064
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	183,326	176,488	180,618	179,664	177,296	174,629
Primary metals	21,476	21,537	21,388	21,550	21,544	21,430
Fabricated metal products	33,800	34,342	34,249	34,083	33,567	33,093
Machinery	33,156	33,158	33,262	32,649	32,826	33,157
Computers & electronic products	24,168	23,532	23,609	24,161	24,138	23,792
Computers & related products	1,750	1,814	1,824	1,763	1,951	1,952
Communications equipment	3,897	3,586	3,644	3,571	3,823	3,864
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,489	11,495	11,381	11,262	11,505	11,770
Transportation equipment	93,785	86,031	90,324	90,242	87,004	84,692
Motor vehicles & parts	5,559	61,820	4,500	4,642	6,813	4,710
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	63,112	10,185	61,888	62,380	60,703	60,697
Defense Aircraft & parts	14,457	4,613	14,780	12,819	10,189	10,499
All other durable goods	40,650	40,482	40,528	40,498	40,243	40,586
Capital goods	94,397	86,698	92,094	91,128	89,242	86,801
Nondefense capital goods	80,468	74,548	79,521	77,825	75,364	75,284
Excluding aircraft	69,979	68,873	68,939	68,502	69,288	69,356
Defense capital goods	13,929	12,150	12,573	13,303	13,878	11,517

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	March 2019 adv.	Feb. 2019 adv.	Jan. 2019 rest.	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.
Total	258,524	250,577	254,741	254,445	250,827	248,520
Excluding transportation	164,739	164,546	164,417	164,203	163,823	163,828
Excluding defense	242,009	236,385	240,897	239,230	234,582	235,064
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	183,326	176,488	180,618	179,664	177,296	174,629
Primary metals	21,476	21,537	21,388	21,550	21,544	21,430
Fabricated metal products	33,800	34,342	34,249	34,083	33,567	33,093
Machinery	33,156	33,158	33,262	32,649	32,826	33,157
Computers & electronic products	24,168	23,532	23,609	24,161	24,138	23,792
Computers & related products	1,750	1,814	1,824	1,763	1,951	1,952
Communications equipment	3,897	3,586	3,644	3,571	3,823	3,864
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,489	11,495	11,381	11,262	11,505	11,770
Transportation equipment	93,785	86,031	90,324	90,242	87,004	84,692
Motor vehicles & parts	5,559	61,820	4,500	4,642	6,813	4,710
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	63,112	10,185	61,888	62,380	60,703	60,697
Defense Aircraft & parts	14,457	4,613	14,780	12,819	10,189	10,499
All other durable goods	40,650	40,482	40,528	40,498	40,243	40,586
Capital goods	94,397	86,698	92,094	91,128	89,242	86,801
Nondefense capital goods	80,468	74,548	79,521	77,825	75,364	75,284
Excluding aircraft	69,979	68,873	68,939	68,502	69,288	69,356
Defense capital goods	13,929	12,150	12,573	13,303	13,878	11,517

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	March 2019 adv.	Feb. 2019 adv.	Jan. 2019 rest.	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.
Total	1,181,868	1,177,643	1,181,266	1,180,125	1,181,650	1,183,035
Excluding transportation	369,945	370,450	370,315	369,028	369,213	367,943
Excluding defense	981,722	980,286	983,841	980,603	983,255	987,830
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1,181,868	1,177,643	1,181,266	1,180,125	1,181,650	1,183,035
Primary metals	31,905	31,854	31,718	31,295	31,124	31,515
Fabricated metal products	86,092	86,950	86,599	85,687	85,533	84,779
Machinery	105,093	105,362	105,540	105,535	106,079	106,090
Computers & electronic products	118,370	117,485	117,610	117,639	117,282	116,327
Computers & related products	2,235	2,227	2,235	2,187	2,194	2,123
Communications equipment	26,069	25,986	26,228	26,430	26,702	26,549
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	19,276	19,364	19,405	19,509	19,821	19,768
Transportation equipment	811,923	807,193	810,951	811,097	812,437	815,092
Motor vehicles & parts	27,613	27,680	27,414	27,408	27,181	26,813
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	593,874	592,020	595,630	593,411	595,916	601,786
Defense Aircraft & parts	82,390	81,135	81,190	82,130	82,262	79,487
All other durable goods	9,209	9,435	9,443	9,363	9,374	9,464
Capital goods	866,211	861,729	866,243	865,270	866,626	868,967
Nondefense capital goods	708,157	705,713	710,112	708,145	710,594	715,522
Excluding aircraft	221,711	221,356	222,050	222,568	223,582	223,059
Defense capital goods	158,054	156,016	156,131	157,125	156,032	153,445

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	March 2019 adv.	Feb. 2019 adv.	Jan. 2019 rest.	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.
Total	420,512	418,924	417,596	414,720	412,844	410,905
Excluding transportation	286,245	284,858	284,864	283,548	281,689	279,919
Excluding defense	393,056	391,641	390,289	387,719	385,720	383,815
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	342,768	341,130	340,147	337,822	335,772	334,636
Primary metals	36,405	36,543	36,676	36,623	36,127	35,532
Fabricated metal products	54,889	54,761	54,763	54,648	54,372	54,227
Machinery	71,631	70,812	70,904	70,193	69,708	69,340
Computers & electronic products	43,638	43,452	43,326	43,288	43,252	43,067
Computers & related products	3,901	3,819	3,703	3,804	3,724	3,653
Communications equipment	5,548	5,562	5,476	5,382	5,433	5,388
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	20,097	20,002	19,844	19,656	19,364	19,242
Transportation equipment	134,267	134,066	132,732	131,172	131,155	130,986
Motor vehicles & parts	37,728	37,980	37,472	36,905	36,881	36,469
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	68,108	67,863	67,013	66,437	66,447	66,866
Defense Aircraft & parts	13,173	13,320	13,322	12,915	13,193	13,199
All other durable goods	59,585	59,288	59,351	59,140	58,866	58,511
Capital goods	207,960	206,504	206,042	204,142	203,330	202,846
Nondefense capital goods	184,851	183,566	183,097	181,484	180,547	180,070
Excluding aircraft	129,050	128,089	128,050	126,980	126,051	125,350
Defense capital goods	23,109	22,938	22,945	22,658	22,783	22,776

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted	March 2019 adv.	Feb. 2019 adv.	Jan. 2019 rest.	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.
Total	1.62	1.62	1.62	1.60	1.61	1.61
Excluding transportation	1.70	1.69	1.70	1.69	1.68	1.68
Excluding defense	1.60	1.60	1.61	1.58	1.59	1.60
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1.90	1.89	1.89	1.87	1.88	1.89
Primary metals	1.70	1.71	1.73	1.70	1.66	1.65
Fabricated metal products	1.61	1.61	1.62	1.61	1.65	1.65
Machinery	2.16	2.12	2.13	2.12	2.12	2.12
Computers & electronic products	1.57	1.55	1.56	1.55	1.56	1.58
Computers & related products	2.24	2.10	2.08	2.15	1.97	1.89
Communications equipment	1.45	1.45	1.44	1.43	1.49	1.47
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	1.74	1.73	1.73	1.71	1.68	1.64
Transportation equipment	1.48	1.49	1.47	1.44	1.47	1.50
Motor vehicles & parts	0.60	0.62	0.61	0.59	0.61	0.60
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	5.01	4.92	5.02	4.41	4.44	5.28
Defense Aircraft & parts	2.95	2.85	2.57	2.77	2.91	2.77
All other durable goods	1.46	1.46	1.47	1.46	1.46	1.44
Capital goods	2.27	2.26	2.25	2.21	2.22	2.27
Nondefense capital goods	2.34	2.33	2.33	2.27	2.27	2.33
Excluding aircraft	1.85	1.84	1.84	1.83	1.83	1.82
Defense capital goods	1.84	1.87	1.77	1.82	1.92	1.88

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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Durable Goods orders rebounded in March

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio