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New Orders 1.81 % in September

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



Durable Goods orders continued to grow, excluding defense booking grew even faster 3.62 %. That category excludes defense and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in September on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.81 % to $237 billions, an increase of $4 billions from $233 in August, reported by the Commerce Department. These data represent an encouraging confirmation that the recovery in manufacturing activity is continuing. Durable Goods orders dropped by -5.56 % from Aug. 2019, and unfilled orders by -7.55 %.


Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed but decelerated by 1.49 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.49 % %. Over the past 12 months, core capital goods bookings decreased by -0.39 % and inventories by -2.00 %.

Shipments increased in September by 0.33 % to $245 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $244 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.31 %.



Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
2.17% -8.88% 4.58% -6.89% 4.52% -8.50% 2.68% -11.54%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y

Inventories increased in September by 0.38 % to $422 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $420 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.72 from 1.72 in the previous month.

Unfilled orders have declined by smaller rate than a month ago, unfilled orders fell by -0.25 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -2.29 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts unfilled bookings, representing 7.66 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data.. total durable goods inventories dropped by -7.55 % from Aug. 2019.



   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.97. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.72. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.68. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.71.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Sep. 2020

adv.
Aug. 2020

adv.
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Total
244,953 244,137 244,013 198,490 192,326 240,715
Excluding transportation
163,000 162,500 160,851 151,955 150,221 166,615
Excluding defense
231,217 230,260 229,986 184,380 178,004 226,026
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
163,037 163,365 161,460 147,643 146,457 173,031
Primary metals
18,259 18,288 18,080 16,960 17,062 19,795
Fabricated metal products
30,050 30,073 29,910 28,204 27,979 33,277
Machinery
30,705 31,056 30,332 28,834 28,522 32,087
Computers & electronic products
30,274 29,741 29,563 28,752 28,533 27,797
Computers & related products
1,779 1,919 1,821 1,839 1,751 1,764
Communications equipment
4,247 4,153 4,075 3,789 3,746 3,977
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,472 10,507 10,519 10,401 10,336 12,073
Transportation equipment
81,953 81,637 83,162 46,535 42,105 74,100
Motor vehicles & parts
3,745 4,111 4,265 3,989 4,244 48,896
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
62,301 61,328 64,205 28,286 22,624 10,437
Defense Aircraft & parts
4,978 5,331 3,947 3,451 4,485 3,745
All other durable goods
43,240 42,835 42,447 38,804 37,789 41,586
Capital goods
82,251 82,262 79,865 75,930 76,286 88,520
Nondefense capital goods
70,172 70,062 67,550 63,500 63,825 75,676
Excluding aircraft
67,493 67,165 65,906 62,371 61,824 68,718
Defense capital goods
12,079 12,200 12,315 12,430 12,461 12,844





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Sep. 2020

adv.
Aug. 2020

adv.
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Total
237,057 232,841 230,672 194,419 169,966 213,184
Excluding transportation
160,281 158,072 155,928 147,569 143,332 161,947
Excluding defense
225,630 217,758 215,011 179,572 157,561 194,995
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
160,450 157,036 153,237 148,444 128,970 149,669
Primary metals
19,259 18,416 17,895 17,249 15,985 19,394
Fabricated metal products
30,830 30,055 29,951 28,139 26,703 32,928
Machinery
31,244 31,195 30,509 28,832 28,856 32,162
Computers & electronic products
25,016 24,894 24,389 23,950 23,672 23,699
Computers & related products
1,800 1,901 1,809 1,807 1,717 1,732
Communications equipment
4,254 4,244 4,021 3,767 3,703 3,842
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,659 10,672 10,730 10,560 10,409 12,106
Transportation equipment
76,776 74,769 74,744 46,850 26,634 51,237
Motor vehicles & parts
2,143 4,321 4,665 4,156 4,055 49,015
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
62,353 61,438 64,226 28,209 22,600 -16,345
Defense Aircraft & parts
1,799 -2,784 -5,801 3,072 -8,513 6,263
All other durable goods
43,273 42,840 42,454 38,839 37,707 41,658
Capital goods
80,046 76,583 72,067 76,165 61,074 65,084
Nondefense capital goods
69,742 62,927 58,038 62,841 50,087 48,727
Excluding aircraft
68,715 67,703 66,099 62,729 61,944 68,903
Defense capital goods
10,304 13,656 14,029 13,324 10,987 16,357




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Sep. 2020

adv.
Aug. 2020

adv.
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Total
237,057 232,841 230,672 194,419 169,966 213,184
Excluding transportation
160,281 158,072 155,928 147,569 143,332 161,947
Excluding defense
225,630 217,758 215,011 179,572 157,561 194,995
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
160,450 157,036 153,237 148,444 128,970 149,669
Primary metals
19,259 18,416 17,895 17,249 15,985 19,394
Fabricated metal products
30,830 30,055 29,951 28,139 26,703 32,928
Machinery
31,244 31,195 30,509 28,832 28,856 32,162
Computers & electronic products
25,016 24,894 24,389 23,950 23,672 23,699
Computers & related products
1,800 1,901 1,809 1,807 1,717 1,732
Communications equipment
4,254 4,244 4,021 3,767 3,703 3,842
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,659 10,672 10,730 10,560 10,409 12,106
Transportation equipment
76,776 74,769 74,744 46,850 26,634 51,237
Motor vehicles & parts
2,143 4,321 4,665 4,156 4,055 49,015
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
62,353 61,438 64,226 28,209 22,600 -16,345
Defense Aircraft & parts
1,799 -2,784 -5,801 3,072 -8,513 6,263
All other durable goods
43,273 42,840 42,454 38,839 37,707 41,658
Capital goods
80,046 76,583 72,067 76,165 61,074 65,084
Nondefense capital goods
69,742 62,927 58,038 62,841 50,087 48,727
Excluding aircraft
68,715 67,703 66,099 62,729 61,944 68,903
Defense capital goods
10,304 13,656 14,029 13,324 10,987 16,357




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Sep. 2020

adv.
Aug. 2020

adv.
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Total
1,075,748 1,078,447 1,084,435 1,108,567 1,107,809 1,135,165
Excluding transportation
353,758 350,432 349,266 348,571 347,949 366,848
Excluding defense
856,494 856,316 863,559 886,654 886,623 920,866
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,075,748 1,078,447 1,084,435 1,108,567 1,107,809 1,135,165
Primary metals
31,831 30,770 30,375 30,554 30,050 31,332
Fabricated metal products
74,215 72,957 72,719 72,316 72,329 84,961
Machinery
98,067 97,356 97,204 96,787 96,927 101,479
Computers & electronic products
118,682 118,798 118,661 118,610 118,506 118,677
Computers & related products
1,856 1,835 1,852 1,905 1,937 2,173
Communications equipment
25,616 25,657 25,498 25,620 25,636 24,822
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
22,330 22,042 21,829 21,766 21,636 20,705
Transportation equipment
721,990 728,015 735,169 759,996 759,860 768,317
Motor vehicles & parts
21,212 21,131 21,221 20,347 20,648 26,504
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
481,300 484,883 493,167 517,890 518,222 538,925
Defense Aircraft & parts
82,360 84,291 84,137 85,475 85,411 87,611
All other durable goods
8,633 8,509 8,478 8,538 8,501 9,694
Capital goods
772,976 775,335 780,785 803,997 803,721 812,738
Nondefense capital goods
593,484 593,712 600,777 624,015 624,788 643,174
Excluding aircraft
219,417 217,953 217,295 216,635 216,377 218,029
Defense capital goods
179,492 181,623 180,008 179,982 178,933 169,564



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Sep. 2020

adv.
Aug. 2020

adv.
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Total
422,070 420,460 422,572 425,080 425,574 437,420
Excluding transportation
274,213 273,938 276,083 281,002 282,578 284,857
Excluding defense
396,351 395,057 397,187 399,868 400,211 409,144
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
345,213 343,323 345,140 346,946 347,256 358,966
Primary metals
33,525 33,028 33,536 34,863 35,759 35,556
Fabricated metal products
51,171 51,261 51,886 53,492 53,474 54,098
Machinery
69,116 69,128 69,710 71,090 71,241 71,403
Computers & electronic products
43,628 43,850 43,995 44,225 44,208 43,536
Computers & related products
3,907 3,852 3,860 3,928 3,838 3,735
Communications equipment
5,333 5,238 5,239 5,226 5,258 5,594
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
19,678 19,700 19,828 19,770 19,886 20,357
Transportation equipment
147,857 146,522 146,489 144,078 142,996 152,563
Motor vehicles & parts
38,888 39,062 39,387 40,266 40,112 38,793
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
79,247 78,066 77,854 74,812 73,705 83,752
Defense Aircraft & parts
12,421 12,449 12,447 12,327 12,297 13,579
All other durable goods
57,095 56,971 57,128 57,562 58,010 59,907
Capital goods
215,352 214,162 214,457 212,279 211,435 224,153
Nondefense capital goods
193,833 193,002 193,298 191,245 190,292 200,370
Excluding aircraft
127,303 127,654 127,990 128,991 128,953 129,997
Defense capital goods
21,519 21,160 21,159 21,034 21,143 23,783




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
Sep. 2020

adv.
Aug. 2020

adv.
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Total
1.72 1.72 1.73 2.14 2.21 1.82
Excluding transportation
1.68 1.69 1.72 1.85 1.88 1.71
Excluding defense
1.71 1.72 1.73 2.17 2.25 1.81
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
2.12 2.10 2.14 2.35 2.37 2.07
Primary metals
1.84 1.81 1.85 2.06 2.10 1.80
Fabricated metal products
1.70 1.70 1.73 1.90 1.91 1.63
Machinery
2.25 2.23 2.30 2.47 2.50 2.23
Computers & electronic products
1.44 1.47 1.49 1.54 1.55 1.57
Computers & related products
2.20 2.01 2.12 2.14 2.19 2.12
Communications equipment
1.26 1.26 1.29 1.38 1.40 1.41
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.88 1.87 1.88 1.90 1.92 1.69
Transportation equipment
1.80 1.79 1.76 3.10 3.40 2.06
Motor vehicles & parts
0.62 0.64 0.61 1.42 1.77 0.79
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
15.92 14.64 19.72 21.68 16.43 8.02
Defense Aircraft & parts
3.32 3.03 2.92 3.09 2.90 3.63
All other durable goods
1.32 1.33 1.35 1.48 1.54 1.44
Capital goods
2.62 2.60 2.69 2.80 2.77 2.53
Nondefense capital goods
2.76 2.75 2.86 3.01 2.98 2.65
Excluding aircraft
1.89 1.90 1.94 2.07 2.09 1.89
Defense capital goods
1.78 1.73 1.72 1.69 1.70 1.85




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


       
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