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Durable goods orders down -0.18 %

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



Demand for durable goods remain volatile in January, but unfilled orders improved by 0.01 % to $1,157 billions.In January orders for durable goods declined by -0.18 % to $246 billions, a decrease by $0 billions from $247 in December on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -19.63 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts bookings, representing 1.91 % of total durable goods orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data.. Bookings faded by -3.35 % for the year, but inventories grew by 4.26 %.


In January total durable goods shipments fell by -0.21 % to $250 billions, a decrease by $1 billions from $251 in December on the seasonally adjusted basis. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.49 %.


In December new orders were revised to 1.65 % growth to $247 billions and shipments to $251 billions a decrease of -0.39 %.




Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
0.19% -3.26% 2.19% -5.70% 0.57% -8.76% -2.20% -9.18%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed despite decrease in total orders, by 1.07 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.07 % %. Core capital goods orders rose by 0.91 % and inventories by 1.22 % over the past 12 months.
The Commerce Department announced total durable goods inventories edge up by 0.01 % to $435 billions, an increase of $0 billions from $435 in December in January on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of defense aircraft and parts grew 0.95 % to $14 billions, accounting for 3.12 % of total durable goods inventories. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.74 from 1.74 in the previous month.

Unfilled orders have rebounded from decline in previous period, unfilled orders advanced by 0.01 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled bookings for cars and parts grew the most, up 0.72 % to $26 billions. From Jan. 2019, Unfilled orders deteriorated by -2.05 %.


   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.98. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.74. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.69. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.73.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Oct. 2019

rest.
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
Total
250,098 250,621 251,595 251,386 252,519 253,507
Excluding transportation
167,991 167,167 167,800 167,592 167,942 167,931
Excluding defense
234,940 236,385 236,926 236,620 237,702 238,792
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
174,618 174,228 173,976 174,327 174,062 174,336
Primary metals
20,065 19,849 20,011 20,060 20,559 20,252
Fabricated metal products
33,798 33,654 34,146 33,821 33,876 33,810
Machinery
32,893 32,641 32,513 32,998 32,827 33,292
Computers & electronic products
28,052 27,875 27,922 27,798 27,603 27,703
Computers & related products
1,914 1,769 1,915 1,756 1,673 1,718
Communications equipment
3,956 4,000 3,818 3,823 3,899 3,866
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,701 11,874 11,741 11,520 11,793 11,689
Transportation equipment
82,107 83,454 83,795 83,794 84,577 85,576
Motor vehicles & parts
58,758 59,193 59,470 4,359 60,787 4,359
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
7,805 9,849 9,422 58,886 9,332 61,685
Defense Aircraft & parts
4,722 3,781 4,168 10,023 4,234 9,170
All other durable goods
41,482 41,274 41,467 41,395 41,284 41,185
Capital goods
86,621 87,295 87,182 87,906 87,058 86,984
Nondefense capital goods
73,547 74,818 74,394 75,055 74,232 74,339
Excluding aircraft
69,680 68,898 69,070 69,295 68,928 69,392
Defense capital goods
13,074 12,477 12,788 12,851 12,826 12,645





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Oct. 2019

rest.
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
Total
246,199 246,634 242,625 247,629 248,164 251,001
Excluding transportation
164,170 162,762 163,439 163,503 163,673 164,210
Excluding defense
232,301 224,133 231,696 229,948 231,727 234,608
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
174,732 174,398 169,244 174,788 174,047 176,092
Primary metals
20,169 19,736 20,087 20,151 20,749 20,684
Fabricated metal products
34,065 33,657 33,799 33,673 33,761 34,287
Machinery
32,684 32,023 32,419 32,939 32,733 32,681
Computers & electronic products
23,953 23,875 23,644 23,586 23,328 23,541
Computers & related products
1,911 1,770 1,945 1,786 1,708 1,685
Communications equipment
3,923 4,126 3,814 3,705 3,709 3,654
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,772 11,934 11,932 11,699 11,879 11,774
Transportation equipment
82,029 83,872 79,186 84,126 84,491 86,791
Motor vehicles & parts
58,946 59,445 59,734 7,110 60,436 5,404
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
8,518 1,909 7,840 58,619 7,987 61,431
Defense Aircraft & parts
4,705 5,854 1,942 7,986 5,743 9,059
All other durable goods
41,527 41,537 41,558 41,455 41,223 41,243
Capital goods
84,027 83,548 81,295 88,141 84,784 87,480
Nondefense capital goods
72,653 64,649 71,255 72,554 71,590 73,670
Excluding aircraft
69,564 68,829 69,395 69,313 68,642 68,987
Defense capital goods
11,374 18,899 10,040 15,587 13,194 13,810




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Oct. 2019

rest.
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
Total
246,199 246,634 242,625 247,629 248,164 251,001
Excluding transportation
164,170 162,762 163,439 163,503 163,673 164,210
Excluding defense
232,301 224,133 231,696 229,948 231,727 234,608
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
174,732 174,398 169,244 174,788 174,047 176,092
Primary metals
20,169 19,736 20,087 20,151 20,749 20,684
Fabricated metal products
34,065 33,657 33,799 33,673 33,761 34,287
Machinery
32,684 32,023 32,419 32,939 32,733 32,681
Computers & electronic products
23,953 23,875 23,644 23,586 23,328 23,541
Computers & related products
1,911 1,770 1,945 1,786 1,708 1,685
Communications equipment
3,923 4,126 3,814 3,705 3,709 3,654
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,772 11,934 11,932 11,699 11,879 11,774
Transportation equipment
82,029 83,872 79,186 84,126 84,491 86,791
Motor vehicles & parts
58,946 59,445 59,734 7,110 60,436 5,404
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
8,518 1,909 7,840 58,619 7,987 61,431
Defense Aircraft & parts
4,705 5,854 1,942 7,986 5,743 9,059
All other durable goods
41,527 41,537 41,558 41,455 41,223 41,243
Capital goods
84,027 83,548 81,295 88,141 84,784 87,480
Nondefense capital goods
72,653 64,649 71,255 72,554 71,590 73,670
Excluding aircraft
69,564 68,829 69,395 69,313 68,642 68,987
Defense capital goods
11,374 18,899 10,040 15,587 13,194 13,810




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Oct. 2019

rest.
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
Total
1,157,012 1,156,898 1,158,974 1,158,974 1,163,542 1,163,557
Excluding transportation
368,255 368,063 368,636 368,636 369,037 368,966
Excluding defense
949,214 947,840 958,560 958,560 963,089 964,724
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,157,012 1,156,898 1,158,974 1,158,974 1,163,542 1,163,557
Primary metals
31,961 31,857 32,122 32,122 31,926 31,736
Fabricated metal products
86,176 85,909 85,982 85,982 86,959 87,074
Machinery
101,222 101,431 102,049 102,049 102,184 102,278
Computers & electronic products
118,581 118,667 118,553 118,553 118,536 118,471
Computers & related products
2,210 2,213 2,205 2,205 2,139 2,104
Communications equipment
25,193 25,226 25,100 25,100 25,198 25,388
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
20,608 20,537 20,551 20,551 20,201 20,115
Transportation equipment
788,757 788,835 790,338 790,338 794,505 794,591
Motor vehicles & parts
26,391 26,203 26,087 26,087 26,179 26,530
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
566,369 565,656 575,627 575,627 579,892 581,237
Defense Aircraft & parts
85,740 85,757 83,389 83,389 82,400 80,891
All other durable goods
9,707 9,662 9,379 9,379 9,231 9,292
Capital goods
833,820 836,414 842,472 842,472 847,871 850,145
Nondefense capital goods
670,850 671,744 684,304 684,304 690,415 693,057
Excluding aircraft
217,825 217,941 218,226 218,226 217,899 218,185
Defense capital goods
162,970 164,670 158,168 158,168 157,456 157,088



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Oct. 2019

rest.
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
Total
435,379 435,339 433,959 433,959 430,317 428,201
Excluding transportation
284,159 284,413 284,626 284,626 284,974 284,918
Excluding defense
406,772 406,965 405,181 405,181 401,944 400,089
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
356,628 356,422 354,539 354,539 351,159 349,149
Primary metals
34,887 35,164 34,986 34,986 34,771 34,956
Fabricated metal products
54,082 53,618 54,079 54,079 54,371 54,333
Machinery
71,050 71,510 71,680 71,680 72,261 72,260
Computers & electronic products
43,918 43,935 43,700 43,700 43,585 43,360
Computers & related products
3,881 3,962 3,868 3,868 3,911 3,832
Communications equipment
5,485 5,498 5,475 5,475 5,593 5,589
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
20,464 20,373 20,395 20,395 20,223 20,261
Transportation equipment
151,220 150,926 149,333 149,333 145,343 143,283
Motor vehicles & parts
38,818 38,839 39,183 39,183 38,915 38,767
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
82,154 82,138 79,875 79,875 76,742 75,170
Defense Aircraft & parts
13,601 13,473 13,430 13,430 13,481 13,404
All other durable goods
59,758 59,813 59,786 59,786 59,763 59,748
Capital goods
222,640 222,795 221,146 221,146 218,441 216,419
Nondefense capital goods
198,539 198,911 196,809 196,809 194,481 192,701
Excluding aircraft
129,607 129,976 129,554 129,554 130,234 129,896
Defense capital goods
24,101 23,884 24,337 24,337 23,960 23,718




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Oct. 2019

rest.
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
Total
1.74 1.74 1.72 1.73 1.70 1.69
Excluding transportation
1.69 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70
Excluding defense
1.73 1.72 1.71 1.71 1.69 1.68
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
2.04 2.05 2.04 2.03 2.02 2.00
Primary metals
1.74 1.77 1.75 1.74 1.69 1.73
Fabricated metal products
1.60 1.59 1.58 1.60 1.61 1.61
Machinery
2.16 2.19 2.20 2.17 2.20 2.17
Computers & electronic products
1.57 1.58 1.57 1.57 1.58 1.57
Computers & related products
2.03 2.24 2.02 2.20 2.34 2.23
Communications equipment
1.39 1.37 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.45
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.75 1.72 1.74 1.77 1.71 1.73
Transportation equipment
1.84 1.81 1.78 1.78 1.72 1.67
Motor vehicles & parts
0.66 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.64 0.63
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
10.53 8.34 8.48 7.97 8.22 8.20
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.88 3.56 3.22 3.08 3.18 3.08
All other durable goods
1.44 1.45 1.44 1.44 1.45 1.45
Capital goods
2.57 2.55 2.54 2.52 2.51 2.49
Nondefense capital goods
2.70 2.66 2.65 2.62 2.62 2.59
Excluding aircraft
1.86 1.89 1.88 1.87 1.89 1.87
Defense capital goods
1.84 1.91 1.90 1.89 1.87 1.88




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


             
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