Durable goods orders down -0.18 %

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

Demand for durable goods remain volatile in January, but unfilled orders improved by 0.01 % to $1,157 billions.In January orders for durable goods declined by -0.18 % to $246 billions, a decrease by $0 billions from $247 in December on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -19.63 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts bookings, representing 1.91 % of total durable goods orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data.. Bookings faded by -3.35 % for the year, but inventories grew by 4.26 %.

In January total durable goods shipments fell by -0.21 % to $250 billions, a decrease by $1 billions from $251 in December on the seasonally adjusted basis. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.49 %.

In December new orders were revised to 1.65 % growth to $247 billions and shipments to $251 billions a decrease of -0.39 %.

Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
0.19%	-3.26%	2.19%	-5.70%	0.57%	-8.76%	-2.20%	-9.18%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed despite decrease in total orders, by 1.07 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.07 % %. Core capital goods orders rose by 0.91 % and inventories by 1.22 % over the past 12 months.
The Commerce Department announced total durable goods inventories edge up by 0.01 % to $435 billions, an increase of $0 billions from $435 in December in January on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of defense aircraft and parts grew 0.95 % to $14 billions, accounting for 3.12 % of total durable goods inventories. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.74 from 1.74 in the previous month.

Unfilled orders have rebounded from decline in previous period, unfilled orders advanced by 0.01 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled bookings for cars and parts grew the most, up 0.72 % to $26 billions. From Jan. 2019, Unfilled orders deteriorated by -2.05 %.


New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.98. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.74. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.69. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.73.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Jan. 2020 adv.	Dec. 2019 rest.	Nov. 2019 adv.	Oct. 2019 rest.	Sep. 2019 adv.	Aug. 2019 rest.
Total	250,098	250,621	251,595	251,386	252,519	253,507
Excluding transportation	167,991	167,167	167,800	167,592	167,942	167,931
Excluding defense	234,940	236,385	236,926	236,620	237,702	238,792
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	174,618	174,228	173,976	174,327	174,062	174,336
Primary metals	20,065	19,849	20,011	20,060	20,559	20,252
Fabricated metal products	33,798	33,654	34,146	33,821	33,876	33,810
Machinery	32,893	32,641	32,513	32,998	32,827	33,292
Computers & electronic products	28,052	27,875	27,922	27,798	27,603	27,703
Computers & related products	1,914	1,769	1,915	1,756	1,673	1,718
Communications equipment	3,956	4,000	3,818	3,823	3,899	3,866
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,701	11,874	11,741	11,520	11,793	11,689
Transportation equipment	82,107	83,454	83,795	83,794	84,577	85,576
Motor vehicles & parts	58,758	59,193	59,470	4,359	60,787	4,359
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	7,805	9,849	9,422	58,886	9,332	61,685
Defense Aircraft & parts	4,722	3,781	4,168	10,023	4,234	9,170
All other durable goods	41,482	41,274	41,467	41,395	41,284	41,185
Capital goods	86,621	87,295	87,182	87,906	87,058	86,984
Nondefense capital goods	73,547	74,818	74,394	75,055	74,232	74,339
Excluding aircraft	69,680	68,898	69,070	69,295	68,928	69,392
Defense capital goods	13,074	12,477	12,788	12,851	12,826	12,645

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Jan. 2020 adv.	Dec. 2019 rest.	Nov. 2019 adv.	Oct. 2019 rest.	Sep. 2019 adv.	Aug. 2019 rest.
Total	246,199	246,634	242,625	247,629	248,164	251,001
Excluding transportation	164,170	162,762	163,439	163,503	163,673	164,210
Excluding defense	232,301	224,133	231,696	229,948	231,727	234,608
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	174,732	174,398	169,244	174,788	174,047	176,092
Primary metals	20,169	19,736	20,087	20,151	20,749	20,684
Fabricated metal products	34,065	33,657	33,799	33,673	33,761	34,287
Machinery	32,684	32,023	32,419	32,939	32,733	32,681
Computers & electronic products	23,953	23,875	23,644	23,586	23,328	23,541
Computers & related products	1,911	1,770	1,945	1,786	1,708	1,685
Communications equipment	3,923	4,126	3,814	3,705	3,709	3,654
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,772	11,934	11,932	11,699	11,879	11,774
Transportation equipment	82,029	83,872	79,186	84,126	84,491	86,791
Motor vehicles & parts	58,946	59,445	59,734	7,110	60,436	5,404
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	8,518	1,909	7,840	58,619	7,987	61,431
Defense Aircraft & parts	4,705	5,854	1,942	7,986	5,743	9,059
All other durable goods	41,527	41,537	41,558	41,455	41,223	41,243
Capital goods	84,027	83,548	81,295	88,141	84,784	87,480
Nondefense capital goods	72,653	64,649	71,255	72,554	71,590	73,670
Excluding aircraft	69,564	68,829	69,395	69,313	68,642	68,987
Defense capital goods	11,374	18,899	10,040	15,587	13,194	13,810

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Jan. 2020 adv.	Dec. 2019 rest.	Nov. 2019 adv.	Oct. 2019 rest.	Sep. 2019 adv.	Aug. 2019 rest.
Total	246,199	246,634	242,625	247,629	248,164	251,001
Excluding transportation	164,170	162,762	163,439	163,503	163,673	164,210
Excluding defense	232,301	224,133	231,696	229,948	231,727	234,608
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	174,732	174,398	169,244	174,788	174,047	176,092
Primary metals	20,169	19,736	20,087	20,151	20,749	20,684
Fabricated metal products	34,065	33,657	33,799	33,673	33,761	34,287
Machinery	32,684	32,023	32,419	32,939	32,733	32,681
Computers & electronic products	23,953	23,875	23,644	23,586	23,328	23,541
Computers & related products	1,911	1,770	1,945	1,786	1,708	1,685
Communications equipment	3,923	4,126	3,814	3,705	3,709	3,654
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,772	11,934	11,932	11,699	11,879	11,774
Transportation equipment	82,029	83,872	79,186	84,126	84,491	86,791
Motor vehicles & parts	58,946	59,445	59,734	7,110	60,436	5,404
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	8,518	1,909	7,840	58,619	7,987	61,431
Defense Aircraft & parts	4,705	5,854	1,942	7,986	5,743	9,059
All other durable goods	41,527	41,537	41,558	41,455	41,223	41,243
Capital goods	84,027	83,548	81,295	88,141	84,784	87,480
Nondefense capital goods	72,653	64,649	71,255	72,554	71,590	73,670
Excluding aircraft	69,564	68,829	69,395	69,313	68,642	68,987
Defense capital goods	11,374	18,899	10,040	15,587	13,194	13,810

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Jan. 2020 adv.	Dec. 2019 rest.	Nov. 2019 adv.	Oct. 2019 rest.	Sep. 2019 adv.	Aug. 2019 rest.
Total	1,157,012	1,156,898	1,158,974	1,158,974	1,163,542	1,163,557
Excluding transportation	368,255	368,063	368,636	368,636	369,037	368,966
Excluding defense	949,214	947,840	958,560	958,560	963,089	964,724
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1,157,012	1,156,898	1,158,974	1,158,974	1,163,542	1,163,557
Primary metals	31,961	31,857	32,122	32,122	31,926	31,736
Fabricated metal products	86,176	85,909	85,982	85,982	86,959	87,074
Machinery	101,222	101,431	102,049	102,049	102,184	102,278
Computers & electronic products	118,581	118,667	118,553	118,553	118,536	118,471
Computers & related products	2,210	2,213	2,205	2,205	2,139	2,104
Communications equipment	25,193	25,226	25,100	25,100	25,198	25,388
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	20,608	20,537	20,551	20,551	20,201	20,115
Transportation equipment	788,757	788,835	790,338	790,338	794,505	794,591
Motor vehicles & parts	26,391	26,203	26,087	26,087	26,179	26,530
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	566,369	565,656	575,627	575,627	579,892	581,237
Defense Aircraft & parts	85,740	85,757	83,389	83,389	82,400	80,891
All other durable goods	9,707	9,662	9,379	9,379	9,231	9,292
Capital goods	833,820	836,414	842,472	842,472	847,871	850,145
Nondefense capital goods	670,850	671,744	684,304	684,304	690,415	693,057
Excluding aircraft	217,825	217,941	218,226	218,226	217,899	218,185
Defense capital goods	162,970	164,670	158,168	158,168	157,456	157,088

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Jan. 2020 adv.	Dec. 2019 rest.	Nov. 2019 adv.	Oct. 2019 rest.	Sep. 2019 adv.	Aug. 2019 rest.
Total	435,379	435,339	433,959	433,959	430,317	428,201
Excluding transportation	284,159	284,413	284,626	284,626	284,974	284,918
Excluding defense	406,772	406,965	405,181	405,181	401,944	400,089
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	356,628	356,422	354,539	354,539	351,159	349,149
Primary metals	34,887	35,164	34,986	34,986	34,771	34,956
Fabricated metal products	54,082	53,618	54,079	54,079	54,371	54,333
Machinery	71,050	71,510	71,680	71,680	72,261	72,260
Computers & electronic products	43,918	43,935	43,700	43,700	43,585	43,360
Computers & related products	3,881	3,962	3,868	3,868	3,911	3,832
Communications equipment	5,485	5,498	5,475	5,475	5,593	5,589
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	20,464	20,373	20,395	20,395	20,223	20,261
Transportation equipment	151,220	150,926	149,333	149,333	145,343	143,283
Motor vehicles & parts	38,818	38,839	39,183	39,183	38,915	38,767
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	82,154	82,138	79,875	79,875	76,742	75,170
Defense Aircraft & parts	13,601	13,473	13,430	13,430	13,481	13,404
All other durable goods	59,758	59,813	59,786	59,786	59,763	59,748
Capital goods	222,640	222,795	221,146	221,146	218,441	216,419
Nondefense capital goods	198,539	198,911	196,809	196,809	194,481	192,701
Excluding aircraft	129,607	129,976	129,554	129,554	130,234	129,896
Defense capital goods	24,101	23,884	24,337	24,337	23,960	23,718

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted	Jan. 2020 adv.	Dec. 2019 rest.	Nov. 2019 adv.	Oct. 2019 rest.	Sep. 2019 adv.	Aug. 2019 rest.
Total	1.74	1.74	1.72	1.73	1.70	1.69
Excluding transportation	1.69	1.70	1.70	1.70	1.70	1.70
Excluding defense	1.73	1.72	1.71	1.71	1.69	1.68
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	2.04	2.05	2.04	2.03	2.02	2.00
Primary metals	1.74	1.77	1.75	1.74	1.69	1.73
Fabricated metal products	1.60	1.59	1.58	1.60	1.61	1.61
Machinery	2.16	2.19	2.20	2.17	2.20	2.17
Computers & electronic products	1.57	1.58	1.57	1.57	1.58	1.57
Computers & related products	2.03	2.24	2.02	2.20	2.34	2.23
Communications equipment	1.39	1.37	1.43	1.43	1.43	1.45
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	1.75	1.72	1.74	1.77	1.71	1.73
Transportation equipment	1.84	1.81	1.78	1.78	1.72	1.67
Motor vehicles & parts	0.66	0.66	0.66	0.67	0.64	0.63
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	10.53	8.34	8.48	7.97	8.22	8.20
Defense Aircraft & parts	2.88	3.56	3.22	3.08	3.18	3.08
All other durable goods	1.44	1.45	1.44	1.44	1.45	1.45
Capital goods	2.57	2.55	2.54	2.52	2.51	2.49
Nondefense capital goods	2.70	2.66	2.65	2.62	2.62	2.59
Excluding aircraft	1.86	1.89	1.88	1.87	1.89	1.87
Defense capital goods	1.84	1.91	1.90	1.89	1.87	1.88

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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Durable goods orders down -0.18 %

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio