Americans continued to buy big-ticket items after the recent pullback, shipments grew at the higher rate of 1.47 % to $257 billions.In September Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last at least three years jumped by 0.97 % to $262 billions, an increase of $3 billions from $260 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, as orders for aircrafts and parts grew 255.67 % to $61 billions, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. The rise in demand last month was lead by transportation and defense, but almost every sector tracked by the Commerce Department reported an increase. The growth in the manufacturing sector indicates that the recent decline in new orders is a temporary lull - but another poor report could renew worries over the U.S. growth. From Sep. 2017, bookings jumped by 9.80 % and shipments by 6.78 %.

Inventories jumped by 0.91 % to $411 billions, an increase of $4 billions from $407 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of aircrafts and parts grew 2.07 % to $67 billions, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.60 from 1.61 in the previous month.

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders grew less than a half of the growth in total bookings, by 0.21 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 0.21 % %.
That category excludes defense and transportation and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.
From Sep. 2017, Core capital goods orders jumped by 5.59 % and inventories by 0.37 %.

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Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
1.07%	9.33%	0.54%	11.55%	-4.12%	7.93%	2.15%	19.83%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Unfilled orders have increased by smaller rate than a month ago, unfilled booking increased by 0.82 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled bookings for defense aircraft and parts grew 9.72 % to $80 billions, accounting for 6.72 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. Over the past 12 months, Unfilled orders grew by 4.49 %.
Shipments of U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in September on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.47 % to $257 billions, an increase of $4 billions from $253 in August, reported by the Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.20 %.

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New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.02. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.60. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.67. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.58.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.	June 2018 adv.	May 2018 adv.	April 2018 adv.
Total	256,848	253,130	250,786	251,603	247,482	246,735
Excluding transportation	167,432	167,100	166,879	166,290	165,288	163,914
Excluding defense	243,056	239,415	237,316	238,267	233,940	232,894
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	179,003	176,017	172,993	175,699	173,973	171,036
Primary metals	21,836	21,793	21,575	21,471	21,277	21,223
Fabricated metal products	33,176	32,918	33,069	32,972	32,740	32,387
Machinery	32,925	33,034	32,884	32,816	32,589	32,058
Computers & electronic products	27,195	27,131	27,217	26,671	26,664	26,305
Computers & related products	1,907	1,947	1,970	1,734	1,806	1,808
Communications equipment	3,591	3,529	3,550	3,536	3,433	3,362
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,536	11,491	11,341	11,386	11,269	11,468
Transportation equipment	89,416	86,030	83,907	85,313	82,194	82,821
Motor vehicles & parts	4,768	59,615	4,655	4,313	55,433	58,294
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	60,806	12,594	59,981	57,917	13,405	10,880
Defense Aircraft & parts	14,764	4,674	10,566	14,224	4,560	4,391
All other durable goods	40,764	40,733	40,793	40,974	40,749	40,473
Capital goods	91,223	88,968	86,291	89,844	88,150	86,098
Nondefense capital goods	79,479	77,343	74,909	78,382	76,603	74,077
Excluding aircraft	68,784	68,846	68,580	68,094	67,392	67,309
Defense capital goods	11,744	11,625	11,382	11,462	11,547	12,021

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.	June 2018 adv.	May 2018 adv.	April 2018 adv.
Total	262,098	259,592	246,852	251,884	249,402	248,496
Excluding transportation	164,738	164,284	164,026	164,179	163,585	161,438
Excluding defense	239,658	241,148	233,879	236,831	233,344	235,774
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	188,405	186,416	173,059	180,069	180,021	176,569
Primary metals	22,192	22,073	21,859	21,825	21,922	21,676
Fabricated metal products	33,326	33,383	33,201	33,488	33,454	33,381
Machinery	33,513	33,255	33,196	33,079	33,023	31,632
Computers & electronic products	23,288	23,344	23,531	23,243	23,096	22,762
Computers & related products	1,955	1,969	1,985	1,740	1,815	1,812
Communications equipment	3,629	3,659	3,612	3,726	3,725	3,410
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,491	11,564	11,475	11,492	11,327	11,568
Transportation equipment	97,360	95,308	82,826	87,705	85,817	87,058
Motor vehicles & parts	11,697	59,745	4,289	6,570	55,404	58,415
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	60,823	17,101	60,117	57,868	14,076	16,228
Defense Aircraft & parts	13,649	5,188	9,213	14,678	5,467	3,849
All other durable goods	40,928	40,665	40,764	41,052	40,763	40,419
Capital goods	93,270	97,277	85,572	90,532	90,340	89,548
Nondefense capital goods	79,113	81,268	74,737	78,576	76,817	78,589
Excluding aircraft	69,624	69,475	69,683	68,750	68,327	67,275
Defense capital goods	14,157	16,009	10,835	11,956	13,523	10,959

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.	June 2018 adv.	May 2018 adv.	April 2018 adv.
Total	262,098	259,592	246,852	251,884	249,402	248,496
Excluding transportation	164,738	164,284	164,026	164,179	163,585	161,438
Excluding defense	239,658	241,148	233,879	236,831	233,344	235,774
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	188,405	186,416	173,059	180,069	180,021	176,569
Primary metals	22,192	22,073	21,859	21,825	21,922	21,676
Fabricated metal products	33,326	33,383	33,201	33,488	33,454	33,381
Machinery	33,513	33,255	33,196	33,079	33,023	31,632
Computers & electronic products	23,288	23,344	23,531	23,243	23,096	22,762
Computers & related products	1,955	1,969	1,985	1,740	1,815	1,812
Communications equipment	3,629	3,659	3,612	3,726	3,725	3,410
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,491	11,564	11,475	11,492	11,327	11,568
Transportation equipment	97,360	95,308	82,826	87,705	85,817	87,058
Motor vehicles & parts	11,697	59,745	4,289	6,570	55,404	58,415
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	60,823	17,101	60,117	57,868	14,076	16,228
Defense Aircraft & parts	13,649	5,188	9,213	14,678	5,467	3,849
All other durable goods	40,928	40,665	40,764	41,052	40,763	40,419
Capital goods	93,270	97,277	85,572	90,532	90,340	89,548
Nondefense capital goods	79,113	81,268	74,737	78,576	76,817	78,589
Excluding aircraft	69,624	69,475	69,683	68,750	68,327	67,275
Defense capital goods	14,157	16,009	10,835	11,956	13,523	10,959

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.	June 2018 adv.	May 2018 adv.	April 2018 adv.
Total	1,186,063	1,176,472	1,164,726	1,165,082	1,160,712	1,153,353
Excluding transportation	367,392	365,436	363,951	362,779	360,801	357,181
Excluding defense	989,772	989,333	982,648	982,328	979,675	975,462
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1,186,063	1,176,472	1,164,726	1,165,082	1,160,712	1,153,353
Primary metals	31,836	31,359	31,121	30,788	30,434	29,589
Fabricated metal products	84,896	84,637	83,767	83,862	83,346	82,364
Machinery	105,613	104,913	104,692	104,420	104,157	103,114
Computers & electronic products	115,668	115,451	115,321	115,053	114,392	113,816
Computers & related products	2,103	2,055	2,033	2,021	2,015	2,000
Communications equipment	26,248	26,237	26,080	26,016	25,826	25,599
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	19,877	19,919	19,821	19,517	19,411	19,313
Transportation equipment	818,671	811,036	800,775	802,303	799,911	796,172
Motor vehicles & parts	26,843	26,825	26,743	26,576	26,625	26,814
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	604,266	606,119	600,810	602,526	602,072	601,703
Defense Aircraft & parts	79,646	72,587	72,025	72,419	70,162	69,107
All other durable goods	9,502	9,157	9,229	9,139	9,061	8,985
Capital goods	872,369	870,158	861,003	861,937	861,249	858,507
Nondefense capital goods	717,930	718,614	714,021	714,235	714,041	713,853
Excluding aircraft	222,495	221,373	220,694	219,467	218,811	217,319
Defense capital goods	154,439	151,544	146,982	147,702	147,208	144,654

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.	June 2018 adv.	May 2018 adv.	April 2018 adv.
Total	410,719	407,018	408,262	402,836	403,266	401,688
Excluding transportation	280,181	277,704	276,919	275,937	274,524	273,186
Excluding defense	383,602	380,024	381,039	375,629	376,476	375,035
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	334,446	330,953	332,336	327,256	327,929	326,866
Primary metals	35,740	35,583	35,492	34,928	34,709	34,191
Fabricated metal products	54,200	53,556	53,369	53,069	52,467	51,997
Machinery	69,497	68,736	68,192	68,150	67,892	67,835
Computers & electronic products	43,383	42,979	43,217	43,490	43,307	43,246
Computers & related products	3,723	3,664	3,667	3,732	3,695	3,644
Communications equipment	5,351	5,338	5,414	5,435	5,449	5,366
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	18,934	18,872	18,749	18,686	18,556	18,411
Transportation equipment	130,538	129,314	131,343	126,899	128,742	128,502
Motor vehicles & parts	36,291	36,528	36,438	36,324	36,148	35,548
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	66,618	65,265	67,061	62,916	65,193	65,639
Defense Aircraft & parts	13,138	12,886	12,900	12,846	12,776	12,734
All other durable goods	58,427	57,978	57,900	57,614	57,593	57,506
Capital goods	202,287	200,042	201,493	197,712	199,004	198,391
Nondefense capital goods	179,498	177,410	178,605	174,822	176,538	176,143
Excluding aircraft	125,127	124,081	123,494	123,504	123,110	122,525
Defense capital goods	22,789	22,632	22,888	22,890	22,466	22,248

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.	June 2018 adv.	May 2018 adv.	April 2018 adv.
Total	1.60	1.61	1.63	1.60	1.63	1.63
Excluding transportation	1.67	1.66	1.66	1.66	1.66	1.67
Excluding defense	1.58	1.59	1.61	1.58	1.61	1.61
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1.87	1.88	1.92	1.86	1.88	1.91
Primary metals	1.64	1.63	1.65	1.63	1.63	1.61
Fabricated metal products	1.63	1.63	1.61	1.61	1.60	1.61
Machinery	2.11	2.08	2.07	2.08	2.08	2.12
Computers & electronic products	1.60	1.58	1.59	1.63	1.62	1.64
Computers & related products	1.95	1.88	1.86	2.15	2.05	2.02
Communications equipment	1.49	1.51	1.53	1.54	1.59	1.60
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	1.64	1.64	1.65	1.64	1.65	1.61
Transportation equipment	1.46	1.50	1.57	1.49	1.57	1.55
Motor vehicles & parts	0.60	0.61	0.61	0.63	0.65	0.61
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	4.51	5.18	6.35	4.42	4.86	6.03
Defense Aircraft & parts	2.76	2.76	2.77	2.98	2.80	2.90
All other durable goods	1.43	1.42	1.42	1.41	1.41	1.42
Capital goods	2.22	2.25	2.34	2.20	2.26	2.30
Nondefense capital goods	2.26	2.29	2.38	2.23	2.30	2.38
Excluding aircraft	1.82	1.80	1.80	1.81	1.83	1.82
Defense capital goods	1.94	1.95	2.01	2.00	1.95	1.85

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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New Orders on the rise again in September

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio