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U.S. Durable-goods orders dropped
U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators
Durable Goods orders fell after recent increases, as decline in primary metals orders offset a gain in bookings for fabricated metal.In April durable goods orders dropped by -6.30 % to $296 billions, a decrease by $20 billions from $316 in March on the seasonally adjusted basis. Without a strong manufacturing sector, it is hard to see how economic growth can be realized. New orders jumped by 4.54 % for the year, and shipments by 6.45 %. The increase in orders has been spearheaded by a growth among U.S. manufacturers. They are seeing greater demand for a variety of goods, including autos, passenger jets, fabricated metals and machinery. Durable goods are big-ticket items such as autos, planes, appliances, furniture and computers designed to last at least three years. While orders jump around from month to month, they have gradually been increasing.
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Shipments increased in April by 0.38 % to $301 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $299 in March on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Excluding transportation shipments fell by -0.12 %.
In March new orders were revised to 9.31 % growth to $316 billions and shipments to $299 billions an increase by 2.45 %.
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|
Manufacturing New
Orders |
Primary
Metals New Orders |
Capital
Goods New Orders |
Transp.
Equip. New Orders |
|
-7.94% |
4.19% |
-0.08% |
-1.09% |
-14.62% |
0.98% |
-17.08% |
2.93% |
M/M |
Y/Y |
M/M |
Y/Y |
M/M |
Y/Y |
M/M |
Y/Y |
|
What's more, demand for big-ticket outside the defense and transportation sectors, a category known as core capital goods, usually declines in the first month of a new quarter based on long-standing business purchasing habits. What's more, orders for core capital goods decreased by -1.32 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by -1.32 % %. Such core capital goods orders are considered the best gauge of capital spending by businesses. Core capital goods orders increased by 1.26 % and shipments by 1.30 % from March 2024.
The Commerce Department announced total durable goods inventories edge up by 0.15 % to $587 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $586 in March in April on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of defense aircraft and parts grew 1.21 % to $15 billions, accounting for 2.62 % of total durable goods inventories. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.95 from 1.96 in the previous month.
Unfilled orders have increased by smaller rate than a month ago, unfilled booking advanced by 0.04 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by 0.45 % growth in other durable goods unfilled orders, representing 1.03 % for total unfilled bookings. total durable goods inventories rose by 0.81 % over the past 12 months.
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| |
|
New Orders / Shipments Ratio |
Inventory / Shipments Ratio |
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.99. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98.
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Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.95. Excluding
transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.96. Excluding defense Inventory
/ shipments ratio was 1.95.
|
| |
| Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ |
April 2025
adv. |
March 2025
rest. |
Feb. 2025
rest. |
Jan. 2025
final |
Dec. 2024
adv. |
Nov. 2024
rest. |
| Total |
|
300,608 |
299,465 |
292,311 |
288,882 |
287,353 |
284,708 |
| Excluding transportation |
|
202,843 |
203,089 |
195,684 |
194,181 |
194,128 |
194,002 |
| Excluding defense |
|
283,993 |
282,954 |
275,189 |
271,677 |
270,095 |
267,281 |
| Manufacturing with
unfilled orders |
|
208,161 |
205,089 |
206,064 |
204,814 |
201,405 |
198,781 |
| Primary metals |
|
26,066 |
26,244 |
27,577 |
27,175 |
26,904 |
27,064 |
| Fabricated metal products |
|
40,316 |
40,384 |
36,811 |
36,577 |
36,637 |
36,684 |
| Machinery |
|
38,299 |
37,883 |
37,695 |
37,460 |
37,599 |
37,509 |
| Computers & electronic
products |
|
31,268 |
31,336 |
30,740 |
30,377 |
30,068 |
30,156 |
| Computers & related products |
|
2,513 |
2,368 |
2,426 |
2,411 |
2,312 |
2,356 |
| Communications equipment |
|
3,653 |
3,766 |
3,183 |
3,134 |
3,134 |
3,228 |
| Semiconductors |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Electrical equipment,
appliances & components |
|
17,420 |
17,315 |
14,702 |
14,602 |
14,730 |
14,541 |
| Transportation equipment |
|
97,765 |
96,376 |
96,627 |
94,701 |
93,225 |
90,706 |
| Motor vehicles & parts |
|
5,271 |
5,130 |
5,309 |
5,203 |
61,322 |
61,452 |
| Nondefense Aircraft & parts |
|
65,008 |
66,902 |
61,757 |
59,454 |
15,340 |
12,708 |
| Defense Aircraft & parts |
|
17,261 |
14,107 |
18,609 |
18,734 |
4,966 |
5,137 |
| All other durable
goods |
|
49,474 |
49,927 |
48,159 |
47,990 |
48,190 |
48,048 |
| Capital goods |
|
101,286 |
98,168 |
102,826 |
102,411 |
99,648 |
96,949 |
| Nondefense capital goods |
|
87,427 |
84,440 |
88,324 |
87,864 |
84,986 |
82,139 |
| Excluding aircraft |
|
75,433 |
75,489 |
74,689 |
74,020 |
74,534 |
74,080 |
| Defense capital goods |
|
13,859 |
13,728 |
14,502 |
14,547 |
14,662 |
14,810 |
| New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ |
April 2025
adv. |
March 2025
rest. |
Feb. 2025
rest. |
Jan. 2025
final |
Dec. 2024
adv. |
Nov. 2024
rest. |
| Total |
|
296,288 |
316,215 |
289,291 |
286,602 |
276,059 |
282,360 |
| Excluding transportation |
|
197,537 |
197,121 |
190,944 |
189,702 |
189,943 |
189,337 |
| Excluding defense |
|
279,265 |
301,827 |
271,327 |
269,305 |
258,221 |
264,519 |
| Manufacturing with
unfilled orders |
|
208,789 |
226,792 |
207,920 |
207,402 |
194,984 |
201,265 |
| Primary metals |
|
26,117 |
26,138 |
27,565 |
27,244 |
26,726 |
26,887 |
| Fabricated metal products |
|
40,536 |
40,204 |
36,879 |
36,559 |
37,298 |
36,871 |
| Machinery |
|
38,119 |
37,809 |
37,621 |
37,529 |
37,496 |
37,412 |
| Computers & electronic
products |
|
25,973 |
25,725 |
25,787 |
25,794 |
25,271 |
25,240 |
| Computers & related products |
|
2,464 |
2,314 |
2,454 |
2,428 |
2,267 |
2,300 |
| Communications equipment |
|
3,613 |
3,710 |
3,164 |
3,173 |
3,070 |
3,080 |
| Semiconductors |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Electrical equipment,
appliances & components |
|
17,253 |
17,286 |
14,935 |
14,637 |
14,879 |
14,836 |
| Transportation equipment |
|
98,751 |
119,094 |
98,347 |
96,900 |
86,116 |
93,023 |
| Motor vehicles & parts |
|
5,041 |
5,322 |
6,349 |
5,809 |
61,133 |
61,251 |
| Nondefense Aircraft & parts |
|
64,923 |
66,848 |
61,912 |
59,508 |
7,983 |
14,713 |
| Defense Aircraft & parts |
|
18,122 |
37,354 |
19,164 |
20,177 |
5,552 |
5,516 |
| All other durable
goods |
|
49,539 |
49,959 |
48,157 |
47,939 |
48,273 |
48,091 |
| Capital goods |
|
101,403 |
118,763 |
103,145 |
104,705 |
93,015 |
100,141 |
| Nondefense capital goods |
|
87,284 |
107,940 |
89,181 |
90,507 |
78,223 |
84,852 |
| Excluding aircraft |
|
74,781 |
75,781 |
74,986 |
75,191 |
74,834 |
74,443 |
| Defense capital goods |
|
14,119 |
10,823 |
13,964 |
14,198 |
14,792 |
15,289 |
New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ |
April 2025
adv. |
March 2025
rest. |
Feb. 2025
rest. |
Jan. 2025
final |
Dec. 2024
adv. |
Nov. 2024
rest. |
| Total |
|
296,288 |
316,215 |
289,291 |
286,602 |
276,059 |
282,360 |
| Excluding transportation |
|
197,537 |
197,121 |
190,944 |
189,702 |
189,943 |
189,337 |
| Excluding defense |
|
279,265 |
301,827 |
271,327 |
269,305 |
258,221 |
264,519 |
| Manufacturing with
unfilled orders |
|
208,789 |
226,792 |
207,920 |
207,402 |
194,984 |
201,265 |
| Primary metals |
|
26,117 |
26,138 |
27,565 |
27,244 |
26,726 |
26,887 |
| Fabricated metal products |
|
40,536 |
40,204 |
36,879 |
36,559 |
37,298 |
36,871 |
| Machinery |
|
38,119 |
37,809 |
37,621 |
37,529 |
37,496 |
37,412 |
| Computers & electronic
products |
|
25,973 |
25,725 |
25,787 |
25,794 |
25,271 |
25,240 |
| Computers & related products |
|
2,464 |
2,314 |
2,454 |
2,428 |
2,267 |
2,300 |
| Communications equipment |
|
3,613 |
3,710 |
3,164 |
3,173 |
3,070 |
3,080 |
| Semiconductors |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Electrical equipment,
appliances & components |
|
17,253 |
17,286 |
14,935 |
14,637 |
14,879 |
14,836 |
| Transportation equipment |
|
98,751 |
119,094 |
98,347 |
96,900 |
86,116 |
93,023 |
| Motor vehicles & parts |
|
5,041 |
5,322 |
6,349 |
5,809 |
61,133 |
61,251 |
| Nondefense Aircraft & parts |
|
64,923 |
66,848 |
61,912 |
59,508 |
7,983 |
14,713 |
| Defense Aircraft & parts |
|
18,122 |
37,354 |
19,164 |
20,177 |
5,552 |
5,516 |
| All other durable
goods |
|
49,539 |
49,959 |
48,157 |
47,939 |
48,273 |
48,091 |
| Capital goods |
|
101,403 |
118,763 |
103,145 |
104,705 |
93,015 |
100,141 |
| Nondefense capital goods |
|
87,284 |
107,940 |
89,181 |
90,507 |
78,223 |
84,852 |
| Excluding aircraft |
|
74,781 |
75,781 |
74,986 |
75,191 |
74,834 |
74,443 |
| Defense capital goods |
|
14,119 |
10,823 |
13,964 |
14,198 |
14,792 |
15,289 |
Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ |
April 2025
adv. |
March 2025
rest. |
Feb. 2025
rest. |
Jan. 2025
final |
Dec. 2024
adv. |
Nov. 2024
rest. |
| Total |
|
1,408,457 |
1,407,829 |
1,402,375 |
1,400,519 |
1,396,225 |
1,402,646 |
| Excluding transportation |
|
557,512 |
557,870 |
498,186 |
498,050 |
497,664 |
496,976 |
| Excluding defense |
|
1,169,104 |
1,168,884 |
1,155,665 |
1,154,651 |
1,150,209 |
1,157,210 |
| Manufacturing with
unfilled orders |
|
1,408,457 |
1,407,829 |
1,402,375 |
1,400,519 |
1,396,225 |
1,402,646 |
| Primary metals |
|
44,490 |
44,439 |
39,911 |
39,923 |
39,784 |
39,962 |
| Fabricated metal products |
|
153,888 |
153,668 |
131,996 |
131,928 |
132,011 |
131,350 |
| Machinery |
|
142,802 |
142,982 |
131,772 |
131,846 |
131,736 |
131,839 |
| Computers & electronic
products |
|
150,260 |
150,607 |
137,316 |
137,393 |
137,133 |
137,057 |
| Computers & related products |
|
1,882 |
1,931 |
1,307 |
1,279 |
1,262 |
1,307 |
| Communications equipment |
|
26,529 |
26,569 |
17,285 |
17,304 |
17,181 |
17,245 |
| Semiconductors |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Electrical equipment,
appliances & components |
|
51,621 |
51,788 |
44,680 |
44,447 |
44,340 |
44,191 |
| Transportation equipment |
|
850,945 |
849,959 |
904,189 |
902,469 |
898,561 |
905,670 |
| Motor vehicles & parts |
|
41,216 |
41,301 |
33,541 |
33,386 |
33,393 |
33,582 |
| Nondefense Aircraft & parts |
|
595,794 |
594,933 |
651,199 |
650,644 |
647,218 |
654,575 |
| Defense Aircraft & parts |
|
72,488 |
72,718 |
74,399 |
73,359 |
72,786 |
72,200 |
| All other durable
goods |
|
14,451 |
14,386 |
12,511 |
12,513 |
12,660 |
12,577 |
| Capital goods |
|
1,014,408 |
1,014,291 |
1,057,547 |
1,057,228 |
1,053,172 |
1,059,805 |
| Nondefense capital goods |
|
815,460 |
815,603 |
846,542 |
845,685 |
841,093 |
847,856 |
| Excluding aircraft |
|
300,541 |
301,193 |
268,367 |
268,070 |
266,834 |
266,534 |
| Defense capital goods |
|
198,948 |
198,688 |
211,005 |
211,543 |
212,079 |
211,949 |
Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ |
April 2025
adv. |
March 2025
rest. |
Feb. 2025
rest. |
Jan. 2025
final |
Dec. 2024
adv. |
Nov. 2024
rest. |
| Total |
|
586,738 |
585,860 |
533,152 |
532,755 |
532,997 |
530,633 |
| Excluding transportation |
|
398,217 |
397,605 |
357,907 |
357,821 |
358,416 |
357,969 |
| Excluding defense |
|
553,746 |
553,087 |
500,612 |
500,462 |
501,063 |
498,738 |
| Manufacturing with
unfilled orders |
|
469,796 |
469,302 |
432,543 |
432,465 |
432,971 |
430,818 |
| Primary metals |
|
46,926 |
46,778 |
45,713 |
45,820 |
46,063 |
45,802 |
| Fabricated metal products |
|
73,599 |
73,464 |
64,602 |
64,579 |
64,639 |
64,556 |
| Machinery |
|
101,502 |
101,524 |
94,401 |
94,311 |
94,546 |
94,501 |
| Computers & electronic
products |
|
66,896 |
66,875 |
54,841 |
54,824 |
54,771 |
54,857 |
| Computers & related products |
|
4,452 |
4,535 |
3,401 |
3,387 |
3,360 |
3,343 |
| Communications equipment |
|
6,803 |
6,818 |
4,843 |
4,830 |
4,841 |
4,881 |
| Semiconductors |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Electrical equipment,
appliances & components |
|
28,374 |
28,355 |
25,721 |
25,711 |
25,946 |
25,844 |
| Transportation equipment |
|
188,521 |
188,255 |
175,245 |
174,934 |
174,581 |
172,664 |
| Motor vehicles & parts |
|
66,355 |
66,049 |
54,335 |
53,777 |
53,373 |
53,175 |
| Nondefense Aircraft & parts |
|
85,108 |
85,371 |
84,948 |
85,459 |
85,899 |
84,178 |
| Defense Aircraft & parts |
|
15,399 |
15,215 |
14,346 |
14,379 |
14,336 |
14,465 |
| All other durable
goods |
|
80,920 |
80,609 |
72,629 |
72,576 |
72,451 |
72,409 |
| Capital goods |
|
275,802 |
275,811 |
259,965 |
259,962 |
260,500 |
258,979 |
| Nondefense capital goods |
|
249,206 |
249,488 |
232,961 |
233,195 |
234,133 |
232,628 |
| Excluding aircraft |
|
181,957 |
181,976 |
163,494 |
163,247 |
163,650 |
163,697 |
| Defense capital goods |
|
26,596 |
26,323 |
27,004 |
26,767 |
26,367 |
26,351 |
Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted |
April 2025
adv. |
March 2025
rest. |
Feb. 2025
rest. |
Jan. 2025
final |
Dec. 2024
adv. |
Nov. 2024
rest. |
| Total |
|
1.95 |
1.96 |
1.82 |
1.84 |
1.85 |
1.86 |
| Excluding transportation |
|
1.96 |
1.96 |
1.83 |
1.84 |
1.85 |
1.85 |
| Excluding defense |
|
1.95 |
1.95 |
1.82 |
1.84 |
1.86 |
1.87 |
| Manufacturing with
unfilled orders |
|
2.26 |
2.29 |
2.10 |
2.11 |
2.15 |
2.17 |
| Primary metals |
|
1.80 |
1.78 |
1.66 |
1.69 |
1.71 |
1.69 |
| Fabricated metal products |
|
1.83 |
1.82 |
1.75 |
1.77 |
1.76 |
1.76 |
| Machinery |
|
2.65 |
2.68 |
2.50 |
2.52 |
2.51 |
2.52 |
| Computers & electronic
products |
|
2.14 |
2.13 |
1.78 |
1.80 |
1.82 |
1.82 |
| Computers & related products |
|
1.77 |
1.92 |
1.40 |
1.40 |
1.45 |
1.42 |
| Communications equipment |
|
1.86 |
1.81 |
1.52 |
1.54 |
1.54 |
1.51 |
| Semiconductors |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Electrical equipment,
appliances & components |
|
1.63 |
1.64 |
1.75 |
1.76 |
1.76 |
1.78 |
| Transportation equipment |
|
1.93 |
1.95 |
1.81 |
1.85 |
1.87 |
1.90 |
| Motor vehicles & parts |
|
1.02 |
0.99 |
0.88 |
0.90 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
| Nondefense Aircraft & parts |
|
4.93 |
6.05 |
4.56 |
4.56 |
5.60 |
6.62 |
| Defense Aircraft & parts |
|
2.92 |
2.97 |
2.70 |
2.76 |
2.89 |
2.82 |
| All other durable
goods |
|
1.64 |
1.61 |
1.51 |
1.51 |
1.50 |
1.51 |
| Capital goods |
|
2.72 |
2.81 |
2.53 |
2.54 |
2.61 |
2.67 |
| Nondefense capital goods |
|
2.85 |
2.95 |
2.64 |
2.65 |
2.75 |
2.83 |
| Excluding aircraft |
|
2.41 |
2.41 |
2.19 |
2.21 |
2.20 |
2.21 |
| Defense capital goods |
|
1.92 |
1.92 |
1.86 |
1.84 |
1.80 |
1.78 |
|