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U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



In September U.S. durable-goods orders decreased by -1.13 % to $248 billions, a decrease by $3 billions from $251 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis. Durable Goods orders dropped by -5.32 % from Sep. 2018, and unfilled orders by -1.90 %.


Inventories grew in September by 0.49 % to $430 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $428 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of aircrafts and parts grew 2.09 % to $77 billions, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.70 from 1.69 in the previous month.


What's more, orders for core capital goods decreased by -0.50 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, and shipments by -0.67 %.
That closely watched category gives a better read on trends in the private sector because it excludes transportation and government spending on defense.
Core capital goods orders fell by -1.41 % and unfilled orders by -2.07 % from Sep. 2018.



Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
-1.16% -7.62% 0.31% -6.50% -3.08% -9.10% -2.65% -13.22%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y


In August new orders were revised to 0.25 % growth to $251 billions and shipments to $254 billions a decrease of -0.21 %.

Unfilled orders remained unchanged on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled bookings for defense aircraft and parts grew 1.87 % to $82 billions, accounting for 7.08 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. total durable goods inventories fell by -1.90 % from Sep. 2018.
In September total durable goods shipments fell by -0.39 % to $253 billions, a decrease by $1 billions from $254 in August on the seasonally adjusted basis. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.01 %.


   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.98. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.70. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.70. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.69.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
July 2019

adv.
June 2019

adv.
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
Total
252,519 253,507 254,036 258,153 254,092 253,302
Excluding transportation
167,942 167,931 167,646 169,399 168,337 167,501
Excluding defense
237,702 238,792 239,358 243,184 239,037 238,355
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
174,062 174,336 174,348 178,109 176,299 176,248
Primary metals
20,559 20,252 20,209 20,637 20,652 21,016
Fabricated metal products
33,876 33,810 33,591 33,915 33,620 33,324
Machinery
32,827 33,292 32,866 33,594 33,419 32,881
Computers & electronic products
27,603 27,703 27,917 28,238 28,311 28,101
Computers & related products
1,673 1,718 1,700 1,756 1,813 1,836
Communications equipment
3,899 3,866 3,916 3,880 3,826 3,838
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,793 11,689 11,899 11,802 11,586 11,566
Transportation equipment
84,577 85,576 86,390 88,754 85,755 85,801
Motor vehicles & parts
4,234 4,359 62,685 4,590 60,555 4,769
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,787 61,685 9,270 62,678 10,407 60,244
Defense Aircraft & parts
9,332 9,170 4,559 11,130 4,708 10,991
All other durable goods
41,284 41,185 41,164 41,213 40,749 40,613
Capital goods
87,058 86,984 87,005 90,250 89,098 88,763
Nondefense capital goods
74,232 74,339 74,401 77,257 76,086 75,919
Excluding aircraft
68,928 69,392 69,441 70,389 70,086 69,390
Defense capital goods
12,826 12,645 12,604 12,993 13,012 12,844





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
July 2019

adv.
June 2019

adv.
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
Total
248,164 251,001 250,380 245,958 243,367 248,395
Excluding transportation
163,673 164,210 164,055 165,463 163,371 163,018
Excluding defense
231,727 234,608 236,713 233,614 227,976 231,298
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
174,047 176,092 175,035 170,279 169,928 175,522
Primary metals
20,749 20,684 20,273 20,500 20,589 20,864
Fabricated metal products
33,761 34,287 33,953 34,314 33,307 33,278
Machinery
32,733 32,681 32,916 33,364 32,824 32,603
Computers & electronic products
23,328 23,541 23,744 24,192 24,091 23,946
Computers & related products
1,708 1,685 1,705 1,722 1,770 1,822
Communications equipment
3,709 3,654 3,912 3,843 3,695 3,704
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,879 11,774 12,108 11,887 11,731 11,687
Transportation equipment
84,491 86,791 86,325 80,495 79,996 85,377
Motor vehicles & parts
5,743 5,404 62,636 2,882 60,477 5,456
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,436 61,431 10,613 62,561 5,338 60,020
Defense Aircraft & parts
7,987 9,059 3,527 6,236 4,534 9,182
All other durable goods
41,223 41,243 41,061 41,206 40,829 40,640
Capital goods
84,784 87,480 87,635 82,940 84,657 88,684
Nondefense capital goods
71,590 73,670 75,842 72,127 70,792 73,958
Excluding aircraft
68,642 68,987 69,658 70,146 68,950 68,766
Defense capital goods
13,194 13,810 11,793 10,813 13,865 14,726




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
July 2019

adv.
June 2019

adv.
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
Total
248,164 251,001 250,380 245,958 243,367 248,395
Excluding transportation
163,673 164,210 164,055 165,463 163,371 163,018
Excluding defense
231,727 234,608 236,713 233,614 227,976 231,298
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
174,047 176,092 175,035 170,279 169,928 175,522
Primary metals
20,749 20,684 20,273 20,500 20,589 20,864
Fabricated metal products
33,761 34,287 33,953 34,314 33,307 33,278
Machinery
32,733 32,681 32,916 33,364 32,824 32,603
Computers & electronic products
23,328 23,541 23,744 24,192 24,091 23,946
Computers & related products
1,708 1,685 1,705 1,722 1,770 1,822
Communications equipment
3,709 3,654 3,912 3,843 3,695 3,704
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,879 11,774 12,108 11,887 11,731 11,687
Transportation equipment
84,491 86,791 86,325 80,495 79,996 85,377
Motor vehicles & parts
5,743 5,404 62,636 2,882 60,477 5,456
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,436 61,431 10,613 62,561 5,338 60,020
Defense Aircraft & parts
7,987 9,059 3,527 6,236 4,534 9,182
All other durable goods
41,223 41,243 41,061 41,206 40,829 40,640
Capital goods
84,784 87,480 87,635 82,940 84,657 88,684
Nondefense capital goods
71,590 73,670 75,842 72,127 70,792 73,958
Excluding aircraft
68,642 68,987 69,658 70,146 68,950 68,766
Defense capital goods
13,194 13,810 11,793 10,813 13,865 14,726




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
July 2019

adv.
June 2019

adv.
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
Total
1,163,542 1,163,557 1,161,639 1,160,358 1,171,228 1,179,098
Excluding transportation
369,037 368,966 368,420 367,807 367,583 368,492
Excluding defense
963,089 964,724 964,554 961,808 969,096 977,333
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,163,542 1,163,557 1,161,639 1,160,358 1,171,228 1,179,098
Primary metals
31,926 31,736 31,309 31,024 31,330 31,529
Fabricated metal products
86,959 87,074 86,515 86,202 85,581 85,772
Machinery
102,184 102,278 103,025 103,141 103,579 104,366
Computers & electronic products
118,536 118,471 118,495 118,524 118,190 118,116
Computers & related products
2,139 2,104 2,152 2,147 2,172 2,215
Communications equipment
25,198 25,388 25,679 25,709 25,746 25,935
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
20,201 20,115 20,030 19,771 19,735 19,525
Transportation equipment
794,505 794,591 793,219 792,551 803,645 810,606
Motor vehicles & parts
26,179 26,530 26,919 26,923 27,080 27,054
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
579,892 581,237 581,130 578,775 585,547 591,927
Defense Aircraft & parts
82,400 80,891 79,814 81,087 83,070 83,364
All other durable goods
9,231 9,292 9,046 9,145 9,168 9,184
Capital goods
847,871 850,145 849,484 848,677 859,007 864,538
Nondefense capital goods
690,415 693,057 693,626 691,578 698,748 705,336
Excluding aircraft
217,899 218,185 218,746 218,802 219,108 220,560
Defense capital goods
157,456 157,088 155,858 157,099 160,259 159,202



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
July 2019

adv.
June 2019

adv.
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
Total
430,317 428,201 427,285 425,839 424,577 422,579
Excluding transportation
284,974 284,918 286,212 286,260 286,159 286,491
Excluding defense
401,944 400,089 398,917 397,684 396,771 394,800
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
351,159 349,149 348,372 347,337 346,209 344,681
Primary metals
34,771 34,956 35,735 35,857 36,144 36,533
Fabricated metal products
54,371 54,333 54,720 54,675 54,694 54,880
Machinery
72,261 72,260 72,343 72,125 71,885 71,748
Computers & electronic products
43,585 43,360 43,317 43,537 43,307 43,375
Computers & related products
3,911 3,832 3,797 3,809 3,751 3,734
Communications equipment
5,593 5,589 5,558 5,570 5,534 5,574
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
20,223 20,261 20,371 20,334 20,299 20,237
Transportation equipment
145,343 143,283 141,073 139,579 138,418 136,088
Motor vehicles & parts
38,915 38,767 38,420 38,309 38,348 38,049
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
76,742 75,170 73,131 72,032 71,117 69,139
Defense Aircraft & parts
13,481 13,404 13,384 13,335 13,255 13,400
All other durable goods
59,763 59,748 59,726 59,732 59,830 59,718
Capital goods
218,441 216,419 214,493 212,984 211,551 209,246
Nondefense capital goods
194,481 192,701 190,496 189,188 188,090 185,867
Excluding aircraft
130,234 129,896 129,895 129,653 129,337 129,041
Defense capital goods
23,960 23,718 23,997 23,796 23,461 23,379




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
Sep. 2019

adv.
Aug. 2019

rest.
July 2019

adv.
June 2019

adv.
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
Total
1.70 1.69 1.68 1.65 1.67 1.67
Excluding transportation
1.70 1.70 1.71 1.69 1.70 1.71
Excluding defense
1.69 1.68 1.67 1.64 1.66 1.66
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
2.02 2.00 2.00 1.95 1.96 1.96
Primary metals
1.69 1.73 1.77 1.74 1.75 1.74
Fabricated metal products
1.61 1.61 1.63 1.61 1.63 1.65
Machinery
2.20 2.17 2.20 2.15 2.15 2.18
Computers & electronic products
1.58 1.57 1.55 1.54 1.53 1.54
Computers & related products
2.34 2.23 2.23 2.17 2.07 2.03
Communications equipment
1.43 1.45 1.42 1.44 1.45 1.45
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.71 1.73 1.71 1.72 1.75 1.75
Transportation equipment
1.72 1.67 1.63 1.57 1.61 1.59
Motor vehicles & parts
0.64 0.63 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.63
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
8.22 8.20 7.89 6.47 6.83 6.29
Defense Aircraft & parts
3.18 3.08 2.94 2.91 2.82 2.81
All other durable goods
1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.47 1.47
Capital goods
2.51 2.49 2.47 2.36 2.37 2.36
Nondefense capital goods
2.62 2.59 2.56 2.45 2.47 2.45
Excluding aircraft
1.89 1.87 1.87 1.84 1.85 1.86
Defense capital goods
1.87 1.88 1.90 1.83 1.80 1.82




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


             
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