Americans continued to buy big-ticket items after the recent pullback, excluding defense booking grew even faster 1.98 %. That category excludes defense and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in December on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.44 % to $254 billions, an increase of $4 billions from $251 in November, reported by the Commerce Department. The rise in demand last month was lead by transportation and defense, but almost every sector tracked by the Commerce Department reported an increase. The growth in the manufacturing sector indicates that the recent decline in new orders is a temporary lull - but another poor report could renew worries over the U.S. growth. Bookings advanced by 2.00 % for the year, and unfilled orders by 3.15 %.

Inventories grew in December by 0.45 % to $415 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $413 in November on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of computers and related products grew the most, up 2.15 % to $4 billions, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.60 from 1.61 in the previous month.

What's more, orders for core capital goods decreased despite the increase in total bookings, by -1.13 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by -1.13 % %.
Such core capital goods orders are considered the best gauge of capital spending by businesses.
Over the past 12 months, core capital goods bookings have climbed by 2.04 % and shipments by 3.26 %.

Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
1.34%	-0.56%	0.03%	3.43%	2.11%	3.65%	3.72%	3.49%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Unfilled orders declined by -0.13 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled orders for electrical equipment fell -1.57 % to $20 billions. Over the last 12 months, Unfilled orders soared by 3.15 %.
Shipments of U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in December on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.16 % to $260 billions, an increase of $3 billions from $257 in November, reported by the Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.62 %.


New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.98. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.60. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.69. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.58.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.
Total	259,659	256,690	254,478	256,848	253,130	250,786
Excluding transportation	168,266	167,228	166,898	167,432	167,100	166,879
Excluding defense	245,392	242,880	240,374	243,056	239,415	237,316
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	180,813	178,998	176,645	179,003	176,017	172,993
Primary metals	21,561	21,826	21,572	21,836	21,793	21,575
Fabricated metal products	33,867	33,019	32,954	33,176	32,918	33,069
Machinery	33,037	32,820	32,724	32,925	33,034	32,884
Computers & electronic products	27,849	27,701	27,306	27,195	27,131	27,217
Computers & related products	1,767	1,889	1,932	1,907	1,947	1,970
Communications equipment	3,755	3,643	3,667	3,591	3,529	3,550
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,469	11,529	11,726	11,536	11,491	11,341
Transportation equipment	91,393	89,462	87,580	89,416	86,030	83,907
Motor vehicles & parts	4,669	4,532	4,757	4,768	59,615	4,655
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,097	60,549	60,751	60,806	12,594	59,981
Defense Aircraft & parts	15,053	14,975	12,671	14,764	4,674	10,566
All other durable goods	40,483	40,333	40,616	40,764	40,733	40,793
Capital goods	92,469	91,475	89,506	91,223	88,968	86,291
Nondefense capital goods	79,990	79,612	77,386	79,479	77,343	74,909
Excluding aircraft	69,239	68,958	68,828	68,784	68,846	68,580
Defense capital goods	12,479	11,863	12,120	11,744	11,625	11,382

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.
Total	254,445	250,827	248,520	262,098	259,592	246,852
Excluding transportation	164,203	163,823	163,828	164,738	164,284	164,026
Excluding defense	239,230	234,582	235,064	239,658	241,148	233,879
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	179,664	177,296	174,629	188,405	186,416	173,059
Primary metals	21,550	21,544	21,430	22,192	22,073	21,859
Fabricated metal products	34,083	33,567	33,093	33,326	33,383	33,201
Machinery	32,649	32,826	33,157	33,513	33,255	33,196
Computers & electronic products	24,161	24,138	23,792	23,288	23,344	23,531
Computers & related products	1,763	1,951	1,952	1,955	1,969	1,985
Communications equipment	3,571	3,823	3,864	3,629	3,659	3,612
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,262	11,505	11,770	11,491	11,564	11,475
Transportation equipment	90,242	87,004	84,692	97,360	95,308	82,826
Motor vehicles & parts	4,642	6,813	4,710	11,697	59,745	4,289
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,380	60,703	60,697	60,823	17,101	60,117
Defense Aircraft & parts	12,819	10,189	10,499	13,649	5,188	9,213
All other durable goods	40,498	40,243	40,586	40,928	40,665	40,764
Capital goods	91,128	89,242	86,801	93,270	97,277	85,572
Nondefense capital goods	77,825	75,364	75,284	79,113	81,268	74,737
Excluding aircraft	68,502	69,288	69,356	69,624	69,475	69,683
Defense capital goods	13,303	13,878	11,517	14,157	16,009	10,835

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.
Total	254,445	250,827	248,520	262,098	259,592	246,852
Excluding transportation	164,203	163,823	163,828	164,738	164,284	164,026
Excluding defense	239,230	234,582	235,064	239,658	241,148	233,879
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	179,664	177,296	174,629	188,405	186,416	173,059
Primary metals	21,550	21,544	21,430	22,192	22,073	21,859
Fabricated metal products	34,083	33,567	33,093	33,326	33,383	33,201
Machinery	32,649	32,826	33,157	33,513	33,255	33,196
Computers & electronic products	24,161	24,138	23,792	23,288	23,344	23,531
Computers & related products	1,763	1,951	1,952	1,955	1,969	1,985
Communications equipment	3,571	3,823	3,864	3,629	3,659	3,612
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	11,262	11,505	11,770	11,491	11,564	11,475
Transportation equipment	90,242	87,004	84,692	97,360	95,308	82,826
Motor vehicles & parts	4,642	6,813	4,710	11,697	59,745	4,289
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	62,380	60,703	60,697	60,823	17,101	60,117
Defense Aircraft & parts	12,819	10,189	10,499	13,649	5,188	9,213
All other durable goods	40,498	40,243	40,586	40,928	40,665	40,764
Capital goods	91,128	89,242	86,801	93,270	97,277	85,572
Nondefense capital goods	77,825	75,364	75,284	79,113	81,268	74,737
Excluding aircraft	68,502	69,288	69,356	69,624	69,475	69,683
Defense capital goods	13,303	13,878	11,517	14,157	16,009	10,835

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.
Total	1,180,125	1,181,650	1,183,035	1,186,063	1,176,472	1,164,726
Excluding transportation	369,028	369,213	367,943	367,392	365,436	363,951
Excluding defense	980,603	983,255	987,830	989,772	989,333	982,648
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1,180,125	1,181,650	1,183,035	1,186,063	1,176,472	1,164,726
Primary metals	31,295	31,124	31,515	31,836	31,359	31,121
Fabricated metal products	85,687	85,533	84,779	84,896	84,637	83,767
Machinery	105,535	106,079	106,090	105,613	104,913	104,692
Computers & electronic products	117,639	117,282	116,327	115,668	115,451	115,321
Computers & related products	2,187	2,194	2,123	2,103	2,055	2,033
Communications equipment	26,430	26,702	26,549	26,248	26,237	26,080
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	19,509	19,821	19,768	19,877	19,919	19,821
Transportation equipment	811,097	812,437	815,092	818,671	811,036	800,775
Motor vehicles & parts	27,408	27,181	26,813	26,843	26,825	26,743
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	593,411	595,916	601,786	604,266	606,119	600,810
Defense Aircraft & parts	82,130	82,262	79,487	79,646	72,587	72,025
All other durable goods	9,363	9,374	9,464	9,502	9,157	9,229
Capital goods	865,270	866,626	868,967	872,369	870,158	861,003
Nondefense capital goods	708,145	710,594	715,522	717,930	718,614	714,021
Excluding aircraft	222,568	223,582	223,059	222,495	221,373	220,694
Defense capital goods	157,125	156,032	153,445	154,439	151,544	146,982

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.
Total	414,720	412,844	410,905	410,719	407,018	408,262
Excluding transportation	283,548	281,689	279,919	280,181	277,704	276,919
Excluding defense	387,719	385,720	383,815	383,602	380,024	381,039
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	337,822	335,772	334,636	334,446	330,953	332,336
Primary metals	36,623	36,127	35,532	35,740	35,583	35,492
Fabricated metal products	54,648	54,372	54,227	54,200	53,556	53,369
Machinery	70,193	69,708	69,340	69,497	68,736	68,192
Computers & electronic products	43,288	43,252	43,067	43,383	42,979	43,217
Computers & related products	3,804	3,724	3,653	3,723	3,664	3,667
Communications equipment	5,382	5,433	5,388	5,351	5,338	5,414
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	19,656	19,364	19,242	18,934	18,872	18,749
Transportation equipment	131,172	131,155	130,986	130,538	129,314	131,343
Motor vehicles & parts	36,905	36,881	36,469	36,291	36,528	36,438
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	66,437	66,447	66,866	66,618	65,265	67,061
Defense Aircraft & parts	12,915	13,193	13,199	13,138	12,886	12,900
All other durable goods	59,140	58,866	58,511	58,427	57,978	57,900
Capital goods	204,142	203,330	202,846	202,287	200,042	201,493
Nondefense capital goods	181,484	180,547	180,070	179,498	177,410	178,605
Excluding aircraft	126,980	126,051	125,350	125,127	124,081	123,494
Defense capital goods	22,658	22,783	22,776	22,789	22,632	22,888

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted	Dec. 2018 adv.	Nov. 2018 adv.	Oct. 2018 adv.	Sep. 2018 adv.	Aug. 2018 adv.	July 2018 adv.
Total	1.60	1.61	1.61	1.60	1.61	1.63
Excluding transportation	1.69	1.68	1.68	1.67	1.66	1.66
Excluding defense	1.58	1.59	1.60	1.58	1.59	1.61
Manufacturing with unfilled orders	1.87	1.88	1.89	1.87	1.88	1.92
Primary metals	1.70	1.66	1.65	1.64	1.63	1.65
Fabricated metal products	1.61	1.65	1.65	1.63	1.63	1.61
Machinery	2.12	2.12	2.12	2.11	2.08	2.07
Computers & electronic products	1.55	1.56	1.58	1.60	1.58	1.59
Computers & related products	2.15	1.97	1.89	1.95	1.88	1.86
Communications equipment	1.43	1.49	1.47	1.49	1.51	1.53
Semiconductors	-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components	1.71	1.68	1.64	1.64	1.64	1.65
Transportation equipment	1.44	1.47	1.50	1.46	1.50	1.57
Motor vehicles & parts	0.59	0.61	0.60	0.60	0.61	0.61
Nondefense Aircraft & parts	4.41	4.44	5.28	4.51	5.18	6.35
Defense Aircraft & parts	2.77	2.91	2.77	2.76	2.76	2.77
All other durable goods	1.46	1.46	1.44	1.43	1.42	1.42
Capital goods	2.21	2.22	2.27	2.22	2.25	2.34
Nondefense capital goods	2.27	2.27	2.33	2.26	2.29	2.38
Excluding aircraft	1.83	1.83	1.82	1.82	1.80	1.80
Defense capital goods	1.82	1.92	1.88	1.94	1.95	2.01

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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New Orders on the rise again in December

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio