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Durable Goods Shipments

• Year to date

Year to date (Y ⁄ Y)

Durable Goods Orders

• Year to date

• Year to date
(Y / Y)

Durable Goods Unfilled Orders

Durable Goods Inventories

Durable Goods New Orders/Shipment

• Year to date

U.S. Durable-goods orders dropped

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

Durable Goods orders fell after recent increases, but unfilled orders improved by 0.88 % to $1,082 billions.The U.S. Commerce Department reported orders for U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances dropped by -1.00 % to $254 billions, a decrease by $3 billions from $257 in January in February on the seasonally adjusted basis, largely because of lower aircrafts and parts orders, down -8.83 % to $58 billions, accounting for 22.67 % of total durable goods orders. Without a strong manufacturing sector, it is hard to see how economic growth can be realized. New orders for U.S.-made big-ticket items rose by 3.17 % in the past 12 months, but durable goods unfilled orders fell by -6.48 %. The increase in orders has been spearheaded by a growth among U.S. manufacturers. They are seeing greater demand for a variety of goods, including passenger jets, primary metals and machinery. Durable goods are big-ticket items such as autos, planes, appliances, furniture and computers designed to last at least three years. While orders jump around from month to month, they have gradually been increasing.

The U.S. Commerce Department announced total durable goods inventories surged by 0.71 % to $427 billions, an increase of $3 billions from $424 in January in February on the seasonally adjusted basis. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.70 from 1.63 in the previous month.

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders sunk by -0.61 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, and shipments by -1.07 %.
That category excludes defense and transportation and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.
Over the past 12 months, core capital goods bookings grew by 4.19 % and unfilled orders by 4.23 %.

Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
1.81%	3.21%	-0.63%	2.26%	2.95%	10.73%	-1.76%	1.95%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Unfilled orders continue to grow by higher rate, unfilled orders increased by 0.88 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by 2.30 % increase in primary metals unfilled bookings, accounting for 3.2 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. total durable goods inventories dropped by -6.48 % from Jan. 2020.
The Commerce Department reported shipments of U.S.-made big-ticket items deteriorated in February by -3.75 % to $251 billions, a decrease by $10 billions from $261 in January on the seasonally adjusted basis. Excluding transportation shipments fell by -1.35 %.


New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.01. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 1.01.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.70. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.63. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.70.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Feb. 2021 adv.	Jan. 2021 adv.	Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.
Total		250,878	260,640	253,795	250,096	248,694	245,565
Excluding transportation		172,283	174,646	169,024	167,777	166,992	163,732
Excluding defense		236,115	245,726	239,509	234,963	234,250	231,774
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		171,969	176,114	169,845	167,928	168,129	163,739
Primary metals		20,014	20,387	19,654	19,183	18,792	18,366
Fabricated metal products		32,349	32,534	31,206	31,041	30,863	30,136
Machinery		32,396	33,207	31,801	31,650	31,406	31,019
Computers & electronic products		31,110	31,189	30,812	30,786	31,040	30,395
Computers & related products		2,059	2,121	1,848	1,930	1,902	1,804
Communications equipment		4,222	4,251	4,473	4,446	4,667	4,248
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		11,623	11,673	10,877	10,895	10,933	10,540
Transportation equipment		78,595	85,994	84,771	82,319	81,702	81,833
Motor vehicles & parts		4,002	4,272	3,564	4,235	4,201	62,052
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		57,196	62,902	63,096	61,896	60,119	5,110
Defense Aircraft & parts		5,572	7,426	6,258	4,276	6,313	3,742
All other durable goods		44,791	45,656	44,674	44,222	43,958	43,276
Capital goods		87,622	90,300	86,945	85,191	85,741	82,744
Nondefense capital goods		74,516	77,087	74,219	71,804	73,212	70,614
Excluding aircraft		71,281	72,054	70,208	69,888	69,380	67,800
Defense capital goods		13,106	13,213	12,726	13,387	12,529	12,130

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Feb. 2021 adv.	Jan. 2021 adv.	Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.
Total		254,004	256,578	245,325	244,161	240,769	237,751
Excluding transportation		170,373	171,452	167,305	165,322	163,652	161,542
Excluding defense		238,750	240,322	232,537	230,123	227,040	226,679
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		180,333	177,121	166,624	167,108	165,378	161,210
Primary metals		20,625	20,756	19,890	19,672	19,436	19,355
Fabricated metal products		33,508	33,466	32,110	31,794	31,845	31,132
Machinery		33,371	33,539	33,156	32,179	31,581	31,770
Computers & electronic products		26,038	26,100	26,241	26,351	25,972	25,187
Computers & related products		2,059	2,108	1,902	1,963	1,912	1,825
Communications equipment		4,194	4,249	4,740	4,852	4,624	4,268
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		12,033	11,917	11,231	11,105	10,884	10,781
Transportation equipment		83,631	85,126	78,020	78,839	77,117	76,209
Motor vehicles & parts		4,665	4,808	2,848	3,266	2,957	62,105
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		57,588	63,167	63,155	62,051	60,109	1,905
Defense Aircraft & parts		9,504	5,036	1,143	2,291	2,645	1,651
All other durable goods		44,798	45,674	44,677	44,221	43,934	43,317
Capital goods		93,045	90,376	82,021	83,751	83,218	81,001
Nondefense capital goods		79,593	75,588	70,268	71,236	70,473	70,644
Excluding aircraft		72,480	72,924	71,772	70,901	70,025	69,510
Defense capital goods		13,452	14,788	11,753	12,515	12,745	10,357

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Feb. 2021 adv.	Jan. 2021 adv.	Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.
Total		254,004	256,578	245,325	244,161	240,769	237,751
Excluding transportation		170,373	171,452	167,305	165,322	163,652	161,542
Excluding defense		238,750	240,322	232,537	230,123	227,040	226,679
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		180,333	177,121	166,624	167,108	165,378	161,210
Primary metals		20,625	20,756	19,890	19,672	19,436	19,355
Fabricated metal products		33,508	33,466	32,110	31,794	31,845	31,132
Machinery		33,371	33,539	33,156	32,179	31,581	31,770
Computers & electronic products		26,038	26,100	26,241	26,351	25,972	25,187
Computers & related products		2,059	2,108	1,902	1,963	1,912	1,825
Communications equipment		4,194	4,249	4,740	4,852	4,624	4,268
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		12,033	11,917	11,231	11,105	10,884	10,781
Transportation equipment		83,631	85,126	78,020	78,839	77,117	76,209
Motor vehicles & parts		4,665	4,808	2,848	3,266	2,957	62,105
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		57,588	63,167	63,155	62,051	60,109	1,905
Defense Aircraft & parts		9,504	5,036	1,143	2,291	2,645	1,651
All other durable goods		44,798	45,674	44,677	44,221	43,934	43,317
Capital goods		93,045	90,376	82,021	83,751	83,218	81,001
Nondefense capital goods		79,593	75,588	70,268	71,236	70,473	70,644
Excluding aircraft		72,480	72,924	71,772	70,901	70,025	69,510
Defense capital goods		13,452	14,788	11,753	12,515	12,745	10,357

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Feb. 2021 adv.	Jan. 2021 adv.	Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.
Total		1,082,011	1,072,561	1,070,372	1,072,883	1,073,151	1,073,151
Excluding transportation		370,865	366,688	364,035	359,560	356,191	356,191
Excluding defense		864,646	855,912	855,421	856,079	855,023	855,023
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		1,082,011	1,072,561	1,070,372	1,072,883	1,073,151	1,073,151
Primary metals		34,584	33,805	33,393	33,071	32,463	32,463
Fabricated metal products		80,061	78,581	77,371	76,276	75,381	75,381
Machinery		102,654	101,592	100,937	99,307	98,587	98,587
Computers & electronic products		120,525	120,345	120,463	119,686	118,814	118,814
Computers & related products		1,943	1,943	1,956	1,889	1,866	1,866
Communications equipment		26,243	26,275	26,298	26,099	25,586	25,586
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		24,058	23,555	23,138	22,564	22,319	22,319
Transportation equipment		711,146	705,873	706,337	713,323	716,960	716,960
Motor vehicles & parts		22,336	21,871	21,560	21,460	21,206	21,206
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		471,731	467,847	470,278	475,370	477,606	477,606
Defense Aircraft & parts		79,786	79,088	78,529	79,504	80,627	80,627
All other durable goods		8,983	8,810	8,733	8,656	8,627	8,627
Capital goods		772,217	766,371	765,251	769,807	771,035	771,035
Nondefense capital goods		592,061	586,798	587,684	591,152	591,326	591,326
Excluding aircraft		227,043	225,644	224,152	222,075	220,671	220,671
Defense capital goods		180,156	179,573	177,567	178,655	179,709	179,709

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Feb. 2021 adv.	Jan. 2021 adv.	Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.
Total		427,285	424,289	425,948	426,615	422,751	422,751
Excluding transportation		280,654	278,600	277,983	275,921	274,596	274,596
Excluding defense		401,651	398,871	400,645	401,379	397,096	397,096
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		347,202	345,595	347,834	347,824	345,115	345,115
Primary metals		34,963	34,395	34,317	33,797	33,592	33,592
Fabricated metal products		53,293	52,642	52,217	51,778	51,403	51,403
Machinery		70,405	69,908	69,841	69,313	68,839	68,839
Computers & electronic products		43,416	43,655	43,647	43,530	43,602	43,602
Computers & related products		3,950	3,979	3,986	3,911	3,914	3,914
Communications equipment		5,196	5,254	5,262	5,257	5,291	5,291
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		19,982	19,912	20,022	19,865	19,680	19,680
Transportation equipment		146,631	145,689	147,965	150,694	148,155	148,155
Motor vehicles & parts		41,612	40,446	39,596	40,250	39,135	39,135
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		74,953	75,396	78,582	80,802	79,151	79,151
Defense Aircraft & parts		12,533	12,544	12,383	12,359	12,451	12,451
All other durable goods		58,595	58,088	57,939	57,638	57,480	57,480
Capital goods		213,574	212,959	215,492	217,104	215,062	215,062
Nondefense capital goods		192,151	191,744	194,410	196,070	193,609	193,609
Excluding aircraft		129,468	128,739	128,380	127,769	127,097	127,097
Defense capital goods		21,423	21,215	21,082	21,034	21,453	21,453

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted		Feb. 2021 adv.	Jan. 2021 adv.	Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.
Total		1.70	1.63	1.68	1.71	1.70	1.72
Excluding transportation		1.63	1.60	1.64	1.64	1.64	1.68
Excluding defense		1.70	1.62	1.67	1.71	1.70	1.71
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		2.02	1.96	2.05	2.07	2.05	2.11
Primary metals		1.75	1.69	1.75	1.76	1.79	1.83
Fabricated metal products		1.65	1.62	1.67	1.67	1.67	1.71
Machinery		2.17	2.11	2.20	2.19	2.19	2.22
Computers & electronic products		1.40	1.40	1.42	1.41	1.40	1.43
Computers & related products		1.92	1.88	2.16	2.03	2.06	2.17
Communications equipment		1.23	1.24	1.18	1.18	1.13	1.25
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		1.72	1.71	1.84	1.82	1.80	1.87
Transportation equipment		1.87	1.69	1.75	1.83	1.81	1.81
Motor vehicles & parts		0.73	0.64	0.63	0.65	0.65	0.63
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		13.45	10.15	12.56	18.90	12.54	15.49
Defense Aircraft & parts		3.13	2.94	3.47	2.92	2.96	3.33
All other durable goods		1.31	1.27	1.30	1.30	1.31	1.33
Capital goods		2.44	2.36	2.48	2.55	2.51	2.60
Nondefense capital goods		2.58	2.49	2.62	2.73	2.64	2.74
Excluding aircraft		1.82	1.79	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.87
Defense capital goods		1.63	1.61	1.66	1.57	1.71	1.77

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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