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U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



In July U.S. durable-goods orders decreased by -2.00 % to $247 billions, a decrease by $5 billions from $252 in June on the seasonally adjusted basis. From July 2017, bookings jumped by 7.84 % and shipments by 6.03 %. The increase in orders has been spearheaded by a growth among U.S. manufacturers. They are seeing greater demand for a variety of goods, including passenger jets, primary metals and machinery. Durable goods are big-ticket items such as autos, planes, appliances, furniture and computers designed to last at least three years. While orders jump around from month to month, they have gradually been increasing.


Invetories of U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in July on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.35 % to $408 billions, an increase of $5 billions from $403 in June, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.63 from 1.60 in the previous month.


Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed despite decrease in total orders, by 1.36 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.36 % %. From July 2017, Core capital goods orders jumped by 8.62 % and inventories by 0.29 %.


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Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
-3.89% 5.54% 0.16% 11.62% -5.48% 7.59% -5.56% 12.27%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y


Unfilled orders declined by -0.03 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -0.54 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts unfilled bookings, representing 6.18 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data.. Invetories of U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances jumped by 2.87 % for the year.
In July total durable goods shipments fell by -0.32 % to $251 billions, a decrease by $1 billions from $252 in June on the seasonally adjusted basis. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.35 %.
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New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.98. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.63. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.66. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.61.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ July 2018

adv.
June 2018

adv.
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Total
250,786 251,603 247,482 246,735 249,979 249,706
Excluding transportation
166,879 166,290 165,288 163,914 166,533 167,605
Excluding defense
237,316 238,267 233,940 232,894 237,598 236,493
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
172,993 175,699 173,973 171,036 176,458 176,160
Primary metals
21,575 21,471 21,277 21,223 21,523 21,332
Fabricated metal products
33,069 32,972 32,740 32,387 33,842 34,038
Machinery
32,884 32,816 32,589 32,058 32,589 33,393
Computers & electronic products
27,217 26,671 26,664 26,305 28,218 28,201
Computers & related products
1,970 1,734 1,806 1,808 1,754 1,888
Communications equipment
3,550 3,536 3,433 3,362 3,290 3,240
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,341 11,386 11,269 11,468 10,444 10,407
Transportation equipment
83,907 85,313 82,194 82,821 83,446 82,101
Motor vehicles & parts
4,655 4,313 55,433 58,294 3,783 4,307
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
59,981 57,917 13,405 10,880 57,451 57,353
Defense Aircraft & parts
10,566 14,224 4,560 4,391 13,389 11,440
All other durable goods
40,793 40,974 40,749 40,473 39,917 40,234
Capital goods
86,291 89,844 88,150 86,098 87,444 86,413
Nondefense capital goods
74,909 78,382 76,603 74,077 76,858 75,311
Excluding aircraft
68,580 68,094 67,392 67,309 67,303 68,117
Defense capital goods
11,382 11,462 11,547 12,021 10,586 11,102





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ July 2018

adv.
June 2018

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May 2018

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April 2018

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March 2018

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Feb. 2018

rest.
Total
246,852 251,884 249,402 248,496 254,947 247,718
Excluding transportation
164,026 164,179 163,585 161,438 163,534 164,224
Excluding defense
233,879 236,831 233,344 235,774 242,662 235,034
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
173,059 180,069 180,021 176,569 185,733 178,410
Primary metals
21,859 21,825 21,922 21,676 22,133 21,532
Fabricated metal products
33,201 33,488 33,454 33,381 34,397 34,524
Machinery
33,196 33,079 33,023 31,632 32,565 33,667
Computers & electronic products
23,531 23,243 23,096 22,762 24,177 23,884
Computers & related products
1,985 1,740 1,815 1,812 1,850 1,911
Communications equipment
3,612 3,726 3,725 3,410 3,337 3,054
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,475 11,492 11,327 11,568 10,416 10,339
Transportation equipment
82,826 87,705 85,817 87,058 91,413 83,494
Motor vehicles & parts
4,289 6,570 55,404 58,415 3,058 3,563
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,117 57,868 14,076 16,228 57,748 57,463
Defense Aircraft & parts
9,213 14,678 5,467 3,849 20,997 13,113
All other durable goods
40,764 41,052 40,763 40,419 39,846 40,278
Capital goods
85,572 90,532 90,340 89,548 93,764 88,049
Nondefense capital goods
74,737 78,576 76,817 78,589 83,142 77,369
Excluding aircraft
69,683 68,750 68,327 67,275 67,238 67,831
Defense capital goods
10,835 11,956 13,523 10,959 10,622 10,680




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
July 2018

adv.
June 2018

adv.
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Total
246,852 251,884 249,402 248,496 254,947 247,718
Excluding transportation
164,026 164,179 163,585 161,438 163,534 164,224
Excluding defense
233,879 236,831 233,344 235,774 242,662 235,034
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
173,059 180,069 180,021 176,569 185,733 178,410
Primary metals
21,859 21,825 21,922 21,676 22,133 21,532
Fabricated metal products
33,201 33,488 33,454 33,381 34,397 34,524
Machinery
33,196 33,079 33,023 31,632 32,565 33,667
Computers & electronic products
23,531 23,243 23,096 22,762 24,177 23,884
Computers & related products
1,985 1,740 1,815 1,812 1,850 1,911
Communications equipment
3,612 3,726 3,725 3,410 3,337 3,054
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,475 11,492 11,327 11,568 10,416 10,339
Transportation equipment
82,826 87,705 85,817 87,058 91,413 83,494
Motor vehicles & parts
4,289 6,570 55,404 58,415 3,058 3,563
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,117 57,868 14,076 16,228 57,748 57,463
Defense Aircraft & parts
9,213 14,678 5,467 3,849 20,997 13,113
All other durable goods
40,764 41,052 40,763 40,419 39,846 40,278
Capital goods
85,572 90,532 90,340 89,548 93,764 88,049
Nondefense capital goods
74,737 78,576 76,817 78,589 83,142 77,369
Excluding aircraft
69,683 68,750 68,327 67,275 67,238 67,831
Defense capital goods
10,835 11,956 13,523 10,959 10,622 10,680




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
July 2018

adv.
June 2018

adv.
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Total
1,164,726 1,165,082 1,160,712 1,153,353 1,153,966 1,143,293
Excluding transportation
363,951 362,779 360,801 357,181 371,153 370,048
Excluding defense
982,648 982,328 979,675 975,462 980,103 969,369
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,164,726 1,165,082 1,160,712 1,153,353 1,153,966 1,143,293
Primary metals
31,121 30,788 30,434 29,589 32,825 31,884
Fabricated metal products
83,767 83,862 83,346 82,364 83,331 82,909
Machinery
104,692 104,420 104,157 103,114 102,311 102,660
Computers & electronic products
115,321 115,053 114,392 113,816 120,052 119,771
Computers & related products
2,033 2,021 2,015 2,000 2,132 2,036
Communications equipment
26,080 26,016 25,826 25,599 28,382 28,330
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
19,821 19,517 19,411 19,313 22,285 22,316
Transportation equipment
800,775 802,303 799,911 796,172 782,813 773,245
Motor vehicles & parts
26,743 26,576 26,625 26,814 25,262 24,741
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
600,810 602,526 602,072 601,703 591,825 582,935
Defense Aircraft & parts
72,025 72,419 70,162 69,107 69,231 70,008
All other durable goods
9,229 9,139 9,061 8,985 10,349 10,508
Capital goods
861,003 861,937 861,249 858,507 856,739 849,120
Nondefense capital goods
714,021 714,235 714,041 713,853 716,084 708,562
Excluding aircraft
220,694 219,467 218,811 217,319 228,179 228,333
Defense capital goods
146,982 147,702 147,208 144,654 140,655 140,558



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
July 2018

adv.
June 2018

adv.
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Total
408,262 402,836 403,266 401,688 411,007 410,570
Excluding transportation
276,919 275,937 274,524 273,186 279,316 277,889
Excluding defense
381,039 375,629 376,476 375,035 383,634 383,209
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
332,336 327,256 327,929 326,866 334,270 334,081
Primary metals
35,492 34,928 34,709 34,191 34,871 34,666
Fabricated metal products
53,369 53,069 52,467 51,997 52,028 51,642
Machinery
68,192 68,150 67,892 67,835 70,801 70,476
Computers & electronic products
43,217 43,490 43,307 43,246 45,981 45,792
Computers & related products
3,667 3,732 3,695 3,644 4,315 4,369
Communications equipment
5,414 5,435 5,449 5,366 4,635 4,601
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
18,749 18,686 18,556 18,411 18,414 18,332
Transportation equipment
131,343 126,899 128,742 128,502 131,691 132,681
Motor vehicles & parts
36,438 36,324 36,148 35,548 35,614 35,590
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
67,061 62,916 65,193 65,639 67,296 68,290
Defense Aircraft & parts
12,900 12,846 12,776 12,734 13,172 13,202
All other durable goods
57,900 57,614 57,593 57,506 57,221 56,981
Capital goods
201,493 197,712 199,004 198,391 205,728 206,292
Nondefense capital goods
178,605 174,822 176,538 176,143 182,474 183,072
Excluding aircraft
123,494 123,504 123,110 122,525 126,436 126,110
Defense capital goods
22,888 22,890 22,466 22,248 23,254 23,220




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
July 2018

adv.
June 2018

adv.
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Total
1.63 1.60 1.63 1.63 1.64 1.64
Excluding transportation
1.66 1.66 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.66
Excluding defense
1.61 1.58 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.62
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1.92 1.86 1.88 1.91 1.89 1.90
Primary metals
1.65 1.63 1.63 1.61 1.62 1.63
Fabricated metal products
1.61 1.61 1.60 1.61 1.54 1.52
Machinery
2.07 2.08 2.08 2.12 2.17 2.11
Computers & electronic products
1.59 1.63 1.62 1.64 1.63 1.62
Computers & related products
1.86 2.15 2.05 2.02 2.46 2.31
Communications equipment
1.53 1.54 1.59 1.60 1.41 1.42
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.65 1.64 1.65 1.61 1.76 1.76
Transportation equipment
1.57 1.49 1.57 1.55 1.58 1.62
Motor vehicles & parts
0.61 0.63 0.65 0.61 0.62 0.62
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
6.35 4.42 4.86 6.03 5.03 5.97
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.77 2.98 2.80 2.90 3.48 3.07
All other durable goods
1.42 1.41 1.41 1.42 1.43 1.42
Capital goods
2.34 2.20 2.26 2.30 2.35 2.39
Nondefense capital goods
2.38 2.23 2.30 2.38 2.37 2.43
Excluding aircraft
1.80 1.81 1.83 1.82 1.88 1.85
Defense capital goods
2.01 2.00 1.95 1.85 2.20 2.09




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


     
       
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