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Durable Goods Shipments

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Year to date (Y ⁄ Y)

Durable Goods Orders

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• Year to date
(Y / Y)

Durable Goods Unfilled Orders

Durable Goods Inventories

Durable Goods New Orders/Shipment

• Year to date

New orders accelerate in December

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators

New orders increased on the faster pace again, excluding defense booking grew even faster 1.05 %. That category excludes defense and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last at least three years grew in December by 0.48 % to $245 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $244 in November on the seasonally adjusted basis, orders for machinery grew the most, up 3.04 % to $33 billions, reported by the Commerce Department. With bookings rising across the board, demand for primary metals, fabricated metal products, machinery orders, while orders for computers and related products declined. The manufacturing sector has played a vital role in the economy lately because of the reluctance of Americans to spend. Durable Goods orders increased by 1.11 % from Nov. 2019, but durable goods inventories fell by -1.85 %.

In December total durable goods inventories declined by -0.16 % to $426 billions, a decrease by $1 billions from $427 in November on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of aircrafts and parts went down -2.75 % to $79 billions, accounting for 18.45 % of total durable goods inventories. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.68 from 1.71 in the previous month.

Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders have climbed by 1.23 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 1.23 % %. Over the last 12 months, core capital goods bookings soared by 3.43 % and shipments by 1.65 %.

Manufacturing New Orders		Primary Metals New Orders		Capital Goods New Orders		Transp. Equip. New Orders
-0.29%	-1.55%	1.11%	-0.98%	-2.07%	0.89%	-1.04%	-1.47%
*M/M*	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y	M/M	Y/Y

Unfilled orders fell by -0.23 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -1.23 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts unfilled bookings, representing 7.34 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data.. total durable goods inventories dropped by -7.64 % from Nov. 2019.
Shipments of U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances increased in December on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.48 % to $254 billions, an increase of $4 billions from $250 in November, reported by the Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.74 %.


New Orders / Shipments Ratio	Inventory / Shipments Ratio
New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.97. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97.	Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.68. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.64. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.67.

Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.
Total		253,795	250,096	248,694	245,565	244,137	244,013
Excluding transportation		169,024	167,777	166,992	163,732	162,500	160,851
Excluding defense		239,509	234,963	234,250	231,774	230,260	229,986
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		169,845	167,928	168,129	163,739	163,365	161,460
Primary metals		19,654	19,183	18,792	18,366	18,288	18,080
Fabricated metal products		31,206	31,041	30,863	30,136	30,073	29,910
Machinery		31,801	31,650	31,406	31,019	31,056	30,332
Computers & electronic products		30,812	30,786	31,040	30,395	29,741	29,563
Computers & related products		1,848	1,930	1,902	1,804	1,919	1,821
Communications equipment		4,473	4,446	4,667	4,248	4,153	4,075
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		10,877	10,895	10,933	10,540	10,507	10,519
Transportation equipment		84,771	82,319	81,702	81,833	81,637	83,162
Motor vehicles & parts		3,564	4,235	4,201	62,052	4,111	4,265
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		63,096	61,896	60,119	5,110	61,328	64,205
Defense Aircraft & parts		6,258	4,276	6,313	3,742	5,331	3,947
All other durable goods		44,674	44,222	43,958	43,276	42,835	42,447
Capital goods		86,945	85,191	85,741	82,744	82,262	79,865
Nondefense capital goods		74,219	71,804	73,212	70,614	70,062	67,550
Excluding aircraft		70,208	69,888	69,380	67,800	67,165	65,906
Defense capital goods		12,726	13,387	12,529	12,130	12,200	12,315

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.
Total		245,325	244,161	240,769	237,751	232,841	230,672
Excluding transportation		167,305	165,322	163,652	161,542	158,072	155,928
Excluding defense		232,537	230,123	227,040	226,679	217,758	215,011
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		166,624	167,108	165,378	161,210	157,036	153,237
Primary metals		19,890	19,672	19,436	19,355	18,416	17,895
Fabricated metal products		32,110	31,794	31,845	31,132	30,055	29,951
Machinery		33,156	32,179	31,581	31,770	31,195	30,509
Computers & electronic products		26,241	26,351	25,972	25,187	24,894	24,389
Computers & related products		1,902	1,963	1,912	1,825	1,901	1,809
Communications equipment		4,740	4,852	4,624	4,268	4,244	4,021
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		11,231	11,105	10,884	10,781	10,672	10,730
Transportation equipment		78,020	78,839	77,117	76,209	74,769	74,744
Motor vehicles & parts		2,848	3,266	2,957	62,105	4,321	4,665
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		63,155	62,051	60,109	1,905	61,438	64,226
Defense Aircraft & parts		1,143	2,291	2,645	1,651	-2,784	-5,801
All other durable goods		44,677	44,221	43,934	43,317	42,840	42,454
Capital goods		82,021	83,751	83,218	81,001	76,583	72,067
Nondefense capital goods		70,268	71,236	70,473	70,644	62,927	58,038
Excluding aircraft		71,772	70,901	70,025	69,510	67,703	66,099
Defense capital goods		11,753	12,515	12,745	10,357	13,656	14,029

New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.
Total		245,325	244,161	240,769	237,751	232,841	230,672
Excluding transportation		167,305	165,322	163,652	161,542	158,072	155,928
Excluding defense		232,537	230,123	227,040	226,679	217,758	215,011
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		166,624	167,108	165,378	161,210	157,036	153,237
Primary metals		19,890	19,672	19,436	19,355	18,416	17,895
Fabricated metal products		32,110	31,794	31,845	31,132	30,055	29,951
Machinery		33,156	32,179	31,581	31,770	31,195	30,509
Computers & electronic products		26,241	26,351	25,972	25,187	24,894	24,389
Computers & related products		1,902	1,963	1,912	1,825	1,901	1,809
Communications equipment		4,740	4,852	4,624	4,268	4,244	4,021
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		11,231	11,105	10,884	10,781	10,672	10,730
Transportation equipment		78,020	78,839	77,117	76,209	74,769	74,744
Motor vehicles & parts		2,848	3,266	2,957	62,105	4,321	4,665
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		63,155	62,051	60,109	1,905	61,438	64,226
Defense Aircraft & parts		1,143	2,291	2,645	1,651	-2,784	-5,801
All other durable goods		44,677	44,221	43,934	43,317	42,840	42,454
Capital goods		82,021	83,751	83,218	81,001	76,583	72,067
Nondefense capital goods		70,268	71,236	70,473	70,644	62,927	58,038
Excluding aircraft		71,772	70,901	70,025	69,510	67,703	66,099
Defense capital goods		11,753	12,515	12,745	10,357	13,656	14,029

Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.
Total		1,070,372	1,072,883	1,073,151	1,073,151	1,078,447	1,084,435
Excluding transportation		364,035	359,560	356,191	356,191	350,432	349,266
Excluding defense		855,421	856,079	855,023	855,023	856,316	863,559
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		1,070,372	1,072,883	1,073,151	1,073,151	1,078,447	1,084,435
Primary metals		33,393	33,071	32,463	32,463	30,770	30,375
Fabricated metal products		77,371	76,276	75,381	75,381	72,957	72,719
Machinery		100,937	99,307	98,587	98,587	97,356	97,204
Computers & electronic products		120,463	119,686	118,814	118,814	118,798	118,661
Computers & related products		1,956	1,889	1,866	1,866	1,835	1,852
Communications equipment		26,298	26,099	25,586	25,586	25,657	25,498
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		23,138	22,564	22,319	22,319	22,042	21,829
Transportation equipment		706,337	713,323	716,960	716,960	728,015	735,169
Motor vehicles & parts		21,560	21,460	21,206	21,206	21,131	21,221
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		470,278	475,370	477,606	477,606	484,883	493,167
Defense Aircraft & parts		78,529	79,504	80,627	80,627	84,291	84,137
All other durable goods		8,733	8,656	8,627	8,627	8,509	8,478
Capital goods		765,251	769,807	771,035	771,035	775,335	780,785
Nondefense capital goods		587,684	591,152	591,326	591,326	593,712	600,777
Excluding aircraft		224,152	222,075	220,671	220,671	217,953	217,295
Defense capital goods		177,567	178,655	179,709	179,709	181,623	180,008

Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $		Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.
Total		425,948	426,615	422,751	422,751	420,460	422,572
Excluding transportation		277,983	275,921	274,596	274,596	273,938	276,083
Excluding defense		400,645	401,379	397,096	397,096	395,057	397,187
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		347,834	347,824	345,115	345,115	343,323	345,140
Primary metals		34,317	33,797	33,592	33,592	33,028	33,536
Fabricated metal products		52,217	51,778	51,403	51,403	51,261	51,886
Machinery		69,841	69,313	68,839	68,839	69,128	69,710
Computers & electronic products		43,647	43,530	43,602	43,602	43,850	43,995
Computers & related products		3,986	3,911	3,914	3,914	3,852	3,860
Communications equipment		5,262	5,257	5,291	5,291	5,238	5,239
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		20,022	19,865	19,680	19,680	19,700	19,828
Transportation equipment		147,965	150,694	148,155	148,155	146,522	146,489
Motor vehicles & parts		39,596	40,250	39,135	39,135	39,062	39,387
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		78,582	80,802	79,151	79,151	78,066	77,854
Defense Aircraft & parts		12,383	12,359	12,451	12,451	12,449	12,447
All other durable goods		57,939	57,638	57,480	57,480	56,971	57,128
Capital goods		215,492	217,104	215,062	215,062	214,162	214,457
Nondefense capital goods		194,410	196,070	193,609	193,609	193,002	193,298
Excluding aircraft		128,380	127,769	127,097	127,097	127,654	127,990
Defense capital goods		21,082	21,034	21,453	21,453	21,160	21,159

Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted		Dec. 2020 adv.	Nov. 2020 adv.	Oct. 2020 adv.	Sep. 2020 adv.	Aug. 2020 adv.	July 2020 adv.
Total		1.68	1.71	1.70	1.72	1.72	1.73
Excluding transportation		1.64	1.64	1.64	1.68	1.69	1.72
Excluding defense		1.67	1.71	1.70	1.71	1.72	1.73
Manufacturing with unfilled orders		2.05	2.07	2.05	2.11	2.10	2.14
Primary metals		1.75	1.76	1.79	1.83	1.81	1.85
Fabricated metal products		1.67	1.67	1.67	1.71	1.70	1.73
Machinery		2.20	2.19	2.19	2.22	2.23	2.30
Computers & electronic products		1.42	1.41	1.40	1.43	1.47	1.49
Computers & related products		2.16	2.03	2.06	2.17	2.01	2.12
Communications equipment		1.18	1.18	1.13	1.25	1.26	1.29
Semiconductors		-	-	-	-	-	-
Electrical equipment, appliances & components		1.84	1.82	1.80	1.87	1.87	1.88
Transportation equipment		1.75	1.83	1.81	1.81	1.79	1.76
Motor vehicles & parts		0.63	0.65	0.65	0.63	0.64	0.61
Nondefense Aircraft & parts		12.56	18.90	12.54	15.49	14.64	19.72
Defense Aircraft & parts		3.47	2.92	2.96	3.33	3.03	2.92
All other durable goods		1.30	1.30	1.31	1.33	1.33	1.35
Capital goods		2.48	2.55	2.51	2.60	2.60	2.69
Nondefense capital goods		2.62	2.73	2.64	2.74	2.75	2.86
Excluding aircraft		1.83	1.83	1.83	1.87	1.90	1.94
Defense capital goods		1.66	1.57	1.71	1.77	1.73	1.72

• Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division

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