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U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last at least three years grew in double digits in July by 18.65 % to $231 billions, an increase of $36 billions from $194 in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, as orders for aircrafts and parts grew 127.68 % to $64 billions, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Durable Goods orders dropped by -6.21 % from June 2019, and unfilled orders by -6.54 %.


Core capital equipment goods, which the government uses to help calculate quarterly reports on U.S. growth, orders soared by 5.37 % less than a half of the growth in total bookings, on the seasonally adjusted basis and unfilled orders by 0.30 %. Core capital goods orders dropped by -5.77 % and unfilled orders by -0.69 % from June 2019.

Shipments grew in double digits in July by 22.93 % to $244 billions, an increase of $46 billions from $198 in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, as shipments of aircrafts and parts grew 126.99 % to $64 billions, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 5.85 %.



Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
3.23% -10.01% 3.75% -12.71% -5.38% -13.11% 59.54% -7.14%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y

Inventories decreased by -0.59 % to $423 billions, a decrease by $3 billions from $425 in May in July on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -3.81 % growth in primary metals inventories, representing 7.94 % of total inventories, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.73 from 2.14 in the previous month.

Unfilled orders fell by -2.18 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled orders for aircrafts and parts went down -4.77 % to $493 billions, accounting for 45.48 % of total durable goods unfilled bookings. total durable goods inventories dropped by -6.54 % from June 2019.



   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.95. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.93. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.73. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.72. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.73.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Total
244,013 198,490 192,326 240,715 252,138 250,098
Excluding transportation
160,851 151,955 150,221 166,615 167,183 167,991
Excluding defense
229,986 184,380 178,004 226,026 237,048 234,940
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
161,460 147,643 146,457 173,031 174,969 174,618
Primary metals
18,080 16,960 17,062 19,795 20,129 20,065
Fabricated metal products
29,910 28,204 27,979 33,277 33,658 33,798
Machinery
30,332 28,834 28,522 32,087 32,169 32,893
Computers & electronic products
29,563 28,752 28,533 27,797 27,898 28,052
Computers & related products
1,821 1,839 1,751 1,764 1,826 1,914
Communications equipment
4,075 3,789 3,746 3,977 3,889 3,956
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,519 10,401 10,336 12,073 11,881 11,701
Transportation equipment
83,162 46,535 42,105 74,100 84,955 82,107
Motor vehicles & parts
4,265 3,989 4,244 48,896 60,027 58,758
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
64,205 28,286 22,624 10,437 9,202 7,805
Defense Aircraft & parts
3,947 3,451 4,485 3,745 4,271 4,722
All other durable goods
42,447 38,804 37,789 41,586 41,448 41,482
Capital goods
79,865 75,930 76,286 88,520 87,372 86,621
Nondefense capital goods
67,550 63,500 63,825 75,676 74,262 73,547
Excluding aircraft
65,906 62,371 61,824 68,718 68,846 69,680
Defense capital goods
12,315 12,430 12,461 12,844 13,110 13,074





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Total
230,672 194,419 169,966 213,184 249,167 246,199
Excluding transportation
155,928 147,569 143,332 161,947 162,329 164,170
Excluding defense
215,011 179,572 157,561 194,995 231,496 232,301
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
153,237 148,444 128,970 149,669 176,259 174,732
Primary metals
17,895 17,249 15,985 19,394 19,882 20,169
Fabricated metal products
29,951 28,139 26,703 32,928 33,101 34,065
Machinery
30,509 28,832 28,856 32,162 32,230 32,684
Computers & electronic products
24,389 23,950 23,672 23,699 23,734 23,953
Computers & related products
1,809 1,807 1,717 1,732 1,821 1,911
Communications equipment
4,021 3,767 3,703 3,842 3,706 3,923
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,730 10,560 10,409 12,106 11,929 11,772
Transportation equipment
74,744 46,850 26,634 51,237 86,838 82,029
Motor vehicles & parts
4,665 4,156 4,055 49,015 60,065 58,946
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
64,226 28,209 22,600 -16,345 8,352 8,518
Defense Aircraft & parts
-5,801 3,072 -8,513 6,263 3,827 4,705
All other durable goods
42,454 38,839 37,707 41,658 41,453 41,527
Capital goods
72,067 76,165 61,074 65,084 88,876 84,027
Nondefense capital goods
58,038 62,841 50,087 48,727 73,187 72,653
Excluding aircraft
66,099 62,729 61,944 68,903 68,803 69,564
Defense capital goods
14,029 13,324 10,987 16,357 15,689 11,374




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Total
230,672 194,419 169,966 213,184 249,167 246,199
Excluding transportation
155,928 147,569 143,332 161,947 162,329 164,170
Excluding defense
215,011 179,572 157,561 194,995 231,496 232,301
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
153,237 148,444 128,970 149,669 176,259 174,732
Primary metals
17,895 17,249 15,985 19,394 19,882 20,169
Fabricated metal products
29,951 28,139 26,703 32,928 33,101 34,065
Machinery
30,509 28,832 28,856 32,162 32,230 32,684
Computers & electronic products
24,389 23,950 23,672 23,699 23,734 23,953
Computers & related products
1,809 1,807 1,717 1,732 1,821 1,911
Communications equipment
4,021 3,767 3,703 3,842 3,706 3,923
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,730 10,560 10,409 12,106 11,929 11,772
Transportation equipment
74,744 46,850 26,634 51,237 86,838 82,029
Motor vehicles & parts
4,665 4,156 4,055 49,015 60,065 58,946
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
64,226 28,209 22,600 -16,345 8,352 8,518
Defense Aircraft & parts
-5,801 3,072 -8,513 6,263 3,827 4,705
All other durable goods
42,454 38,839 37,707 41,658 41,453 41,527
Capital goods
72,067 76,165 61,074 65,084 88,876 84,027
Nondefense capital goods
58,038 62,841 50,087 48,727 73,187 72,653
Excluding aircraft
66,099 62,729 61,944 68,903 68,803 69,564
Defense capital goods
14,029 13,324 10,987 16,357 15,689 11,374




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Total
1,084,435 1,108,567 1,107,809 1,135,165 1,158,527 1,157,012
Excluding transportation
349,266 348,571 347,949 366,848 367,347 368,255
Excluding defense
863,559 886,654 886,623 920,866 947,728 949,214
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,084,435 1,108,567 1,107,809 1,135,165 1,158,527 1,157,012
Primary metals
30,375 30,554 30,050 31,332 31,733 31,961
Fabricated metal products
72,719 72,316 72,329 84,961 85,310 86,176
Machinery
97,204 96,787 96,927 101,479 101,404 101,222
Computers & electronic products
118,661 118,610 118,506 118,677 118,606 118,581
Computers & related products
1,852 1,905 1,937 2,173 2,205 2,210
Communications equipment
25,498 25,620 25,636 24,822 24,957 25,193
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
21,829 21,766 21,636 20,705 20,672 20,608
Transportation equipment
735,169 759,996 759,860 768,317 791,180 788,757
Motor vehicles & parts
21,221 20,347 20,648 26,504 26,385 26,391
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
493,167 517,890 518,222 538,925 565,707 566,369
Defense Aircraft & parts
84,137 85,475 85,411 87,611 85,093 85,740
All other durable goods
8,478 8,538 8,501 9,694 9,622 9,707
Capital goods
780,785 803,997 803,721 812,738 836,174 833,820
Nondefense capital goods
600,777 624,015 624,788 643,174 670,123 670,850
Excluding aircraft
217,295 216,635 216,377 218,029 217,844 217,825
Defense capital goods
180,008 179,982 178,933 169,564 166,051 162,970



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Total
422,572 425,080 425,574 437,420 434,691 435,379
Excluding transportation
276,083 281,002 282,578 284,857 283,018 284,159
Excluding defense
397,187 399,868 400,211 409,144 406,129 406,772
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
345,140 346,946 347,256 358,966 356,434 356,628
Primary metals
33,536 34,863 35,759 35,556 35,094 34,887
Fabricated metal products
51,886 53,492 53,474 54,098 53,930 54,082
Machinery
69,710 71,090 71,241 71,403 70,790 71,050
Computers & electronic products
43,995 44,225 44,208 43,536 43,341 43,918
Computers & related products
3,860 3,928 3,838 3,735 3,710 3,881
Communications equipment
5,239 5,226 5,258 5,594 5,477 5,485
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
19,828 19,770 19,886 20,357 20,276 20,464
Transportation equipment
146,489 144,078 142,996 152,563 151,673 151,220
Motor vehicles & parts
39,387 40,266 40,112 38,793 38,861 38,818
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
77,854 74,812 73,705 83,752 82,495 82,154
Defense Aircraft & parts
12,447 12,327 12,297 13,579 13,644 13,601
All other durable goods
57,128 57,562 58,010 59,907 59,587 59,758
Capital goods
214,457 212,279 211,435 224,153 222,366 222,640
Nondefense capital goods
193,298 191,245 190,292 200,370 198,299 198,539
Excluding aircraft
127,990 128,991 128,953 129,997 128,924 129,607
Defense capital goods
21,159 21,034 21,143 23,783 24,067 24,101




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
July 2020

adv.
May 2020

adv.
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Total
1.73 2.14 2.21 1.82 1.72 1.74
Excluding transportation
1.72 1.85 1.88 1.71 1.69 1.69
Excluding defense
1.73 2.17 2.25 1.81 1.71 1.73
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
2.14 2.35 2.37 2.07 2.04 2.04
Primary metals
1.85 2.06 2.10 1.80 1.74 1.74
Fabricated metal products
1.73 1.90 1.91 1.63 1.60 1.60
Machinery
2.30 2.47 2.50 2.23 2.20 2.16
Computers & electronic products
1.49 1.54 1.55 1.57 1.55 1.57
Computers & related products
2.12 2.14 2.19 2.12 2.03 2.03
Communications equipment
1.29 1.38 1.40 1.41 1.41 1.39
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.88 1.90 1.92 1.69 1.71 1.75
Transportation equipment
1.76 3.10 3.40 2.06 1.79 1.84
Motor vehicles & parts
0.61 1.42 1.77 0.79 0.65 0.66
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
19.72 21.68 16.43 8.02 8.96 10.53
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.92 3.09 2.90 3.63 3.19 2.88
All other durable goods
1.35 1.48 1.54 1.44 1.44 1.44
Capital goods
2.69 2.80 2.77 2.53 2.55 2.57
Nondefense capital goods
2.86 3.01 2.98 2.65 2.67 2.70
Excluding aircraft
1.94 2.07 2.09 1.89 1.87 1.86
Defense capital goods
1.72 1.69 1.70 1.85 1.84 1.84




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


       
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