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New orders dropped

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



Booking continued to fell after last month decrease of -1.47%, but excluding volatile transportation sector orders grew 0.32 %.Orders for U.S.-made products designed to last at least three years fell by -2.23 % to $276 billions, a decrease by $6 billions from $282 in November in December on the seasonally adjusted basis, largely because of lower aircrafts and parts orders, down -45.74 % to $8 billions, accounting for 2.89 % of total durable goods orders, reported by the Commerce Department. Suggesting some hesitancy on the part of businesses to continue to expand until they see further strengthening of the U.S. economy. Durable Goods orders dropped by -6.53 % from Nov. 2023, but unfilled orders grew by 1.55 %.


Inventories grew in December by 0.45 % to $533 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $531 in November on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of aircrafts and parts grew 2.04 % to $86 billions, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.85 from 1.86 in the previous month.


Core capital equipment goods, which the government uses to help calculate quarterly reports on U.S. growth, orders increased by 0.53 % despite decrease in total orders, on the seasonally adjusted basis and shipments by 0.61 %.
Such core capital goods orders are considered the best gauge of capital spending by businesses.
Core capital goods orders increased by 1.16 % and shipments by 0.58 % from Nov. 2023.



Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
-3.12% -9.28% -0.60% 0.33% -7.12% -19.15% -7.43% -20.11%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y


In November new orders were revised to -1.47 % decline to $282 billions and shipments to $285 billions a decrease of -0.19 %.

Unfilled orders decreased by -0.46 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled orders for computers and related products fell the most, down -3.44 % to $1 billions. total durable goods inventories advanced by 1.55 % for the year.
In December Shipments jumped by 0.93 % to $287 billions, an increase of $3 billions from $285 in November on the seasonally adjusted basis, as shipments of aircrafts and parts grew 20.71 % to $15 billions, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.06 %.


   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.96. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.98. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.96. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.85. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.85. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.86.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Dec. 2024

adv.
Nov. 2024

rest.
Oct. 2024

adv.
Sep. 2024

rest.
July 2024

rest.
June 2024

adv.
Total
287,353 284,708 285,245 286,890 291,032 288,062
Excluding transportation
194,128 194,002 193,288 193,001 192,034 192,740
Excluding defense
270,095 267,281 267,913 270,048 273,799 271,618
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
201,405 198,781 198,626 199,858 205,106 199,526
Primary metals
26,904 27,064 26,615 26,586 26,354 26,630
Fabricated metal products
36,637 36,684 36,477 36,356 36,325 36,339
Machinery
37,599 37,509 37,728 37,924 37,841 38,015
Computers & electronic products
30,068 30,156 29,857 29,710 29,446 29,494
Computers & related products
2,312 2,356 2,294 2,269 2,266 2,233
Communications equipment
3,134 3,228 3,137 3,089 3,067 3,060
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
14,730 14,541 14,451 14,395 14,194 14,169
Transportation equipment
93,225 90,706 91,957 93,889 98,998 95,322
Motor vehicles & parts
61,322 61,452 4,954 4,780 61,797 4,802
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
15,340 12,708 61,790 62,226 20,965 64,503
Defense Aircraft & parts
4,966 5,137 13,811 15,665 5,028 15,289
All other durable goods
48,190 48,048 48,160 48,030 47,874 48,093
Capital goods
99,648 96,949 97,874 98,932 104,441 98,849
Nondefense capital goods
84,986 82,139 83,006 84,610 89,723 84,826
Excluding aircraft
74,534 74,080 73,673 73,519 73,644 73,973
Defense capital goods
14,662 14,810 14,868 14,322 14,718 14,023





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ Dec. 2024

adv.
Nov. 2024

rest.
Oct. 2024

adv.
Sep. 2024

rest.
July 2024

rest.
June 2024

adv.
Total
276,059 282,360 286,561 285,867 289,587 264,541
Excluding transportation
189,943 189,337 189,502 189,250 187,553 188,696
Excluding defense
258,221 264,519 266,622 265,496 271,647 247,634
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
194,984 201,265 204,753 203,640 208,381 180,766
Primary metals
26,726 26,887 26,670 26,857 26,490 26,801
Fabricated metal products
37,298 36,871 37,452 37,412 36,380 36,324
Machinery
37,496 37,412 37,353 37,244 37,683 37,928
Computers & electronic products
25,271 25,240 25,300 25,318 25,012 25,232
Computers & related products
2,267 2,300 2,261 2,319 2,296 2,256
Communications equipment
3,070 3,080 3,150 3,109 3,037 3,139
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
14,879 14,836 14,540 14,359 14,165 14,315
Transportation equipment
86,116 93,023 97,059 96,617 102,034 75,845
Motor vehicles & parts
61,133 61,251 5,377 4,612 61,712 4,564
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
7,983 14,713 61,761 62,011 23,651 64,421
Defense Aircraft & parts
5,552 5,516 17,129 15,820 5,561 -4,233
All other durable goods
48,273 48,091 48,187 48,060 47,823 48,096
Capital goods
93,015 100,141 103,521 103,050 107,388 79,797
Nondefense capital goods
78,223 84,852 86,181 84,991 92,214 65,202
Excluding aircraft
74,834 74,443 73,657 73,832 73,550 73,994
Defense capital goods
14,792 15,289 17,340 18,059 15,174 14,595




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Dec. 2024

adv.
Nov. 2024

rest.
Oct. 2024

adv.
Sep. 2024

rest.
July 2024

rest.
June 2024

adv.
Total
276,059 282,360 286,561 285,867 289,587 264,541
Excluding transportation
189,943 189,337 189,502 189,250 187,553 188,696
Excluding defense
258,221 264,519 266,622 265,496 271,647 247,634
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
194,984 201,265 204,753 203,640 208,381 180,766
Primary metals
26,726 26,887 26,670 26,857 26,490 26,801
Fabricated metal products
37,298 36,871 37,452 37,412 36,380 36,324
Machinery
37,496 37,412 37,353 37,244 37,683 37,928
Computers & electronic products
25,271 25,240 25,300 25,318 25,012 25,232
Computers & related products
2,267 2,300 2,261 2,319 2,296 2,256
Communications equipment
3,070 3,080 3,150 3,109 3,037 3,139
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
14,879 14,836 14,540 14,359 14,165 14,315
Transportation equipment
86,116 93,023 97,059 96,617 102,034 75,845
Motor vehicles & parts
61,133 61,251 5,377 4,612 61,712 4,564
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
7,983 14,713 61,761 62,011 23,651 64,421
Defense Aircraft & parts
5,552 5,516 17,129 15,820 5,561 -4,233
All other durable goods
48,273 48,091 48,187 48,060 47,823 48,096
Capital goods
93,015 100,141 103,521 103,050 107,388 79,797
Nondefense capital goods
78,223 84,852 86,181 84,991 92,214 65,202
Excluding aircraft
74,834 74,443 73,657 73,832 73,550 73,994
Defense capital goods
14,792 15,289 17,340 18,059 15,174 14,595




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Dec. 2024

adv.
Nov. 2024

rest.
Oct. 2024

adv.
Sep. 2024

rest.
July 2024

rest.
June 2024

adv.
Total
1,396,225 1,402,646 1,398,824 1,392,697 1,386,486 1,384,264
Excluding transportation
497,664 496,976 496,952 495,927 494,169 494,501
Excluding defense
1,150,209 1,157,210 1,153,841 1,150,321 1,149,762 1,148,554
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,396,225 1,402,646 1,398,824 1,392,697 1,386,486 1,384,264
Primary metals
39,784 39,962 40,157 40,102 39,398 39,239
Fabricated metal products
132,011 131,350 131,236 130,261 128,972 129,077
Machinery
131,736 131,839 131,897 132,272 133,296 133,771
Computers & electronic products
137,133 137,057 137,278 137,024 136,209 135,943
Computers & related products
1,262 1,307 1,363 1,396 1,341 1,311
Communications equipment
17,181 17,245 17,525 17,512 17,441 17,511
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
44,340 44,191 43,848 43,759 43,718 43,807
Transportation equipment
898,561 905,670 901,872 896,770 892,317 889,763
Motor vehicles & parts
33,393 33,582 33,904 33,933 34,489 34,563
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
647,218 654,575 651,019 647,701 647,383 645,535
Defense Aircraft & parts
72,786 72,200 71,748 71,325 70,452 69,651
All other durable goods
12,660 12,577 12,536 12,509 12,576 12,664
Capital goods
1,053,172 1,059,805 1,054,817 1,049,170 1,043,002 1,041,015
Nondefense capital goods
841,093 847,856 843,521 840,346 839,891 838,536
Excluding aircraft
266,834 266,534 266,178 266,194 265,906 266,277
Defense capital goods
212,079 211,949 211,296 208,824 203,111 202,479



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
Dec. 2024

adv.
Nov. 2024

rest.
Oct. 2024

adv.
Sep. 2024

rest.
July 2024

rest.
June 2024

adv.
Total
532,997 530,633 527,657 527,876 529,323 529,388
Excluding transportation
358,416 357,969 357,200 357,061 357,174 357,371
Excluding defense
501,063 498,738 496,092 496,757 498,384 498,353
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
432,971 430,818 428,421 428,770 429,368 429,561
Primary metals
46,063 45,802 45,557 45,466 45,492 45,451
Fabricated metal products
64,639 64,556 64,683 64,543 64,574 64,617
Machinery
94,546 94,501 94,069 94,155 94,375 94,474
Computers & electronic products
54,771 54,857 54,992 55,014 54,885 55,035
Computers & related products
3,360 3,343 3,380 3,350 3,301 3,350
Communications equipment
4,841 4,881 4,927 4,913 4,953 4,967
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
25,946 25,844 25,815 25,852 25,893 26,047
Transportation equipment
174,581 172,664 170,457 170,815 172,149 172,017
Motor vehicles & parts
53,373 53,175 53,051 52,904 53,829 53,644
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
85,899 84,178 82,362 83,291 83,911 83,773
Defense Aircraft & parts
14,336 14,465 14,433 14,253 14,227 14,233
All other durable goods
72,451 72,409 72,084 72,031 71,955 71,747
Capital goods
260,500 258,979 256,631 257,309 258,032 258,103
Nondefense capital goods
234,133 232,628 230,609 231,659 232,476 232,448
Excluding aircraft
163,650 163,697 163,238 163,169 163,167 163,184
Defense capital goods
26,367 26,351 26,022 25,650 25,556 25,655




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
Dec. 2024

adv.
Nov. 2024

rest.
Oct. 2024

adv.
Sep. 2024

rest.
July 2024

rest.
June 2024

adv.
Total
1.85 1.86 1.85 1.84 1.82 1.84
Excluding transportation
1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.86 1.85
Excluding defense
1.86 1.87 1.85 1.84 1.82 1.83
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
2.15 2.17 2.16 2.15 2.09 2.15
Primary metals
1.71 1.69 1.71 1.71 1.73 1.71
Fabricated metal products
1.76 1.76 1.77 1.78 1.78 1.78
Machinery
2.51 2.52 2.49 2.48 2.49 2.49
Computers & electronic products
1.82 1.82 1.84 1.85 1.86 1.87
Computers & related products
1.45 1.42 1.47 1.48 1.46 1.50
Communications equipment
1.54 1.51 1.57 1.59 1.61 1.62
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.76 1.78 1.79 1.80 1.82 1.84
Transportation equipment
1.87 1.90 1.85 1.82 1.74 1.80
Motor vehicles & parts
0.87 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.87 0.83
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
5.60 6.62 5.96 5.32 4.00 5.48
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.89 2.82 2.91 2.98 2.83 2.96
All other durable goods
1.50 1.51 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.49
Capital goods
2.61 2.67 2.62 2.60 2.47 2.61
Nondefense capital goods
2.75 2.83 2.78 2.74 2.59 2.74
Excluding aircraft
2.20 2.21 2.22 2.22 2.22 2.21
Defense capital goods
1.80 1.78 1.75 1.79 1.74 1.83




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division




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