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New orders dropped

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



Booking continued to fell after last month decrease of -3.92%, but excluding volatile transportation sector orders grew 0.22 %.In May U.S. durable-goods orders decreased by -2.02 % to $243 billions, a decrease by $5 billions from $248 in April on the seasonally adjusted basis. Suggesting some hesitancy on the part of businesses to continue to expand until they see further strengthening of the U.S. economy. From May 2018, new bookings for U.S.-made products designed to last three years or more, such as autos or appliances deteriorated by -2.42 % but unfilled orders grew by 0.91 %.


Inventories grew in May by 0.47 % to $425 billions, an increase of $2 billions from $423 in April on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of aircrafts and parts grew 2.86 % to $71 billions, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.67 from 1.67 in the previous month.


Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders grew despite decrease in total orders, by 0.27 % on the seasonally adjusted basis and inventories by 0.27 % %.
That category excludes defense and transportation and gives a better indication of longer-term trends in the private sector.
Core capital goods orders rose by 0.91 % and inventories by 5.06 % over the past 12 months.



Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
-3.19% -5.61% -1.32% -6.08% -4.54% -6.29% -6.30% -6.78%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y


Unfilled orders sunk by -0.67 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled orders for computers and related products fell the most, down -1.94 % to $2 billions. total durable goods inventories rose by 0.91 % over the past 12 months.
Shipments increased in May by 0.31 % to $254 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $253 in April on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.50 %.


   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.96. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.97. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.95. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.67. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.70. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.66.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
March 2019

adv.
Feb. 2019

adv.
Jan. 2019

rest.
Dec. 2018

adv.
Total
254,092 253,302 259,571 258,581 258,062 259,659
Excluding transportation
168,337 167,501 168,866 168,792 167,977 168,266
Excluding defense
239,037 238,355 245,053 244,321 242,973 245,392
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
176,299 176,248 180,127 180,111 179,855 180,813
Primary metals
20,652 21,016 21,382 21,401 21,261 21,561
Fabricated metal products
33,620 33,324 34,164 33,991 33,780 33,867
Machinery
33,419 32,881 33,238 33,336 33,315 33,037
Computers & electronic products
28,311 28,101 27,741 28,038 27,721 27,849
Computers & related products
1,813 1,836 1,742 1,822 1,784 1,767
Communications equipment
3,826 3,838 3,821 3,828 3,815 3,755
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,586 11,566 11,553 11,536 11,460 11,469
Transportation equipment
85,755 85,801 90,705 89,789 90,085 91,393
Motor vehicles & parts
4,708 4,769 62,994 61,554 5,193 4,669
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,555 60,244 13,591 13,795 61,524 62,097
Defense Aircraft & parts
10,407 10,991 4,473 4,668 13,362 15,053
All other durable goods
40,749 40,613 40,788 40,490 40,440 40,483
Capital goods
89,098 88,763 91,580 91,212 91,418 92,469
Nondefense capital goods
76,086 75,919 79,027 78,947 78,472 79,990
Excluding aircraft
70,086 69,390 69,631 69,567 69,592 69,239
Defense capital goods
13,012 12,844 12,553 12,265 12,946 12,479





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
March 2019

adv.
Feb. 2019

adv.
Jan. 2019

rest.
Dec. 2018

adv.
Total
243,367 248,395 258,524 250,577 254,741 254,445
Excluding transportation
163,371 163,018 164,739 164,546 164,417 164,203
Excluding defense
227,976 231,298 242,009 236,385 240,897 239,230
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
169,928 175,522 183,326 176,488 180,618 179,664
Primary metals
20,589 20,864 21,476 21,537 21,388 21,550
Fabricated metal products
33,307 33,278 33,800 34,342 34,249 34,083
Machinery
32,824 32,603 33,156 33,158 33,262 32,649
Computers & electronic products
24,091 23,946 24,168 23,532 23,609 24,161
Computers & related products
1,770 1,822 1,750 1,814 1,824 1,763
Communications equipment
3,695 3,704 3,897 3,586 3,644 3,571
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,731 11,687 11,489 11,495 11,381 11,262
Transportation equipment
79,996 85,377 93,785 86,031 90,324 90,242
Motor vehicles & parts
4,534 5,456 63,112 61,820 4,500 4,642
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,477 60,020 14,457 10,185 61,888 62,380
Defense Aircraft & parts
5,338 9,182 5,559 4,613 14,780 12,819
All other durable goods
40,829 40,640 40,650 40,482 40,528 40,498
Capital goods
84,657 88,684 94,397 86,698 92,094 91,128
Nondefense capital goods
70,792 73,958 80,468 74,548 79,521 77,825
Excluding aircraft
68,950 68,766 69,979 68,873 68,939 68,502
Defense capital goods
13,865 14,726 13,929 12,150 12,573 13,303




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
March 2019

adv.
Feb. 2019

adv.
Jan. 2019

rest.
Dec. 2018

adv.
Total
243,367 248,395 258,524 250,577 254,741 254,445
Excluding transportation
163,371 163,018 164,739 164,546 164,417 164,203
Excluding defense
227,976 231,298 242,009 236,385 240,897 239,230
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
169,928 175,522 183,326 176,488 180,618 179,664
Primary metals
20,589 20,864 21,476 21,537 21,388 21,550
Fabricated metal products
33,307 33,278 33,800 34,342 34,249 34,083
Machinery
32,824 32,603 33,156 33,158 33,262 32,649
Computers & electronic products
24,091 23,946 24,168 23,532 23,609 24,161
Computers & related products
1,770 1,822 1,750 1,814 1,824 1,763
Communications equipment
3,695 3,704 3,897 3,586 3,644 3,571
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,731 11,687 11,489 11,495 11,381 11,262
Transportation equipment
79,996 85,377 93,785 86,031 90,324 90,242
Motor vehicles & parts
4,534 5,456 63,112 61,820 4,500 4,642
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
60,477 60,020 14,457 10,185 61,888 62,380
Defense Aircraft & parts
5,338 9,182 5,559 4,613 14,780 12,819
All other durable goods
40,829 40,640 40,650 40,482 40,528 40,498
Capital goods
84,657 88,684 94,397 86,698 92,094 91,128
Nondefense capital goods
70,792 73,958 80,468 74,548 79,521 77,825
Excluding aircraft
68,950 68,766 69,979 68,873 68,939 68,502
Defense capital goods
13,865 14,726 13,929 12,150 12,573 13,303




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
March 2019

adv.
Feb. 2019

adv.
Jan. 2019

rest.
Dec. 2018

adv.
Total
1,171,228 1,179,098 1,181,868 1,177,643 1,181,266 1,180,125
Excluding transportation
367,583 368,492 369,945 370,450 370,315 369,028
Excluding defense
969,096 977,333 981,722 980,286 983,841 980,603
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,171,228 1,179,098 1,181,868 1,177,643 1,181,266 1,180,125
Primary metals
31,330 31,529 31,905 31,854 31,718 31,295
Fabricated metal products
85,581 85,772 86,092 86,950 86,599 85,687
Machinery
103,579 104,366 105,093 105,362 105,540 105,535
Computers & electronic products
118,190 118,116 118,370 117,485 117,610 117,639
Computers & related products
2,172 2,215 2,235 2,227 2,235 2,187
Communications equipment
25,746 25,935 26,069 25,986 26,228 26,430
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
19,735 19,525 19,276 19,364 19,405 19,509
Transportation equipment
803,645 810,606 811,923 807,193 810,951 811,097
Motor vehicles & parts
27,080 27,054 27,613 27,680 27,414 27,408
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
585,547 591,927 593,874 592,020 595,630 593,411
Defense Aircraft & parts
83,070 83,364 82,390 81,135 81,190 82,130
All other durable goods
9,168 9,184 9,209 9,435 9,443 9,363
Capital goods
859,007 864,538 866,211 861,729 866,243 865,270
Nondefense capital goods
698,748 705,336 708,157 705,713 710,112 708,145
Excluding aircraft
219,108 220,560 221,711 221,356 222,050 222,568
Defense capital goods
160,259 159,202 158,054 156,016 156,131 157,125



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
March 2019

adv.
Feb. 2019

adv.
Jan. 2019

rest.
Dec. 2018

adv.
Total
424,577 422,579 420,512 418,924 417,596 414,720
Excluding transportation
286,159 286,491 286,245 284,858 284,864 283,548
Excluding defense
396,771 394,800 393,056 391,641 390,289 387,719
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
346,209 344,681 342,768 341,130 340,147 337,822
Primary metals
36,144 36,533 36,405 36,543 36,676 36,623
Fabricated metal products
54,694 54,880 54,889 54,761 54,763 54,648
Machinery
71,885 71,748 71,631 70,812 70,904 70,193
Computers & electronic products
43,307 43,375 43,638 43,452 43,326 43,288
Computers & related products
3,751 3,734 3,901 3,819 3,703 3,804
Communications equipment
5,534 5,574 5,548 5,562 5,476 5,382
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
20,299 20,237 20,097 20,002 19,844 19,656
Transportation equipment
138,418 136,088 134,267 134,066 132,732 131,172
Motor vehicles & parts
38,348 38,049 37,728 37,980 37,472 36,905
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
71,117 69,139 68,108 67,863 67,013 66,437
Defense Aircraft & parts
13,255 13,400 13,173 13,320 13,322 12,915
All other durable goods
59,830 59,718 59,585 59,288 59,351 59,140
Capital goods
211,551 209,246 207,960 206,504 206,042 204,142
Nondefense capital goods
188,090 185,867 184,851 183,566 183,097 181,484
Excluding aircraft
129,337 129,041 129,050 128,089 128,050 126,980
Defense capital goods
23,461 23,379 23,109 22,938 22,945 22,658




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
May 2019

adv.
April 2019

adv.
March 2019

adv.
Feb. 2019

adv.
Jan. 2019

rest.
Dec. 2018

adv.
Total
1.67 1.67 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.60
Excluding transportation
1.70 1.71 1.70 1.69 1.70 1.69
Excluding defense
1.66 1.66 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.58
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1.96 1.96 1.90 1.89 1.89 1.87
Primary metals
1.75 1.74 1.70 1.71 1.73 1.70
Fabricated metal products
1.63 1.65 1.61 1.61 1.62 1.61
Machinery
2.15 2.18 2.16 2.12 2.13 2.12
Computers & electronic products
1.53 1.54 1.57 1.55 1.56 1.55
Computers & related products
2.07 2.03 2.24 2.10 2.08 2.15
Communications equipment
1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.44 1.43
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.75 1.75 1.74 1.73 1.73 1.71
Transportation equipment
1.61 1.59 1.48 1.49 1.47 1.44
Motor vehicles & parts
0.63 0.63 0.60 0.62 0.61 0.59
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
6.83 6.29 5.01 4.92 5.02 4.41
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.82 2.81 2.95 2.85 2.57 2.77
All other durable goods
1.47 1.47 1.46 1.46 1.47 1.46
Capital goods
2.37 2.36 2.27 2.26 2.25 2.21
Nondefense capital goods
2.47 2.45 2.34 2.33 2.33 2.27
Excluding aircraft
1.85 1.86 1.85 1.84 1.84 1.83
Defense capital goods
1.80 1.82 1.84 1.87 1.77 1.82




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


             
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