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Durable Goods orders rebounded in May

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



U.S. Durable Goods orders grew again after dipping in the last month, as bookings outgrow production.The Commerce Department announced orders for U.S. durable goods edge up by 0.10 % to $249 billions, an increase of $0 billions from $248 in April in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, as bookings for defense aircraft and parts grew 284.70 % to $15 billions, accounting for 5.95 % of total durable goods orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. With bookings rising across the board, demand for primary metals, fabricated metal products, machinery orders, while orders for computers and related products declined. The rebound in durable goods orders is an encouraging sign, particularly in light of the loss of momentum in the manufacturing sector evident in recent survey reports. From May 2017, bookings jumped by 7.70 % and shipments by 4.46 %. The normal wild swings in big-ticket purchases continue but the trend is still up and that is all that matters, some Wallstreet economists added. Durable goods are typically bulky or heavy products designed to last at three years, such as trains, computers or furniture. The government’s durables report, however, is particularly volatile and subject to large swings month to month.


Inventories increased in May by 0.32 % to $403 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $402 in April on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 1.63 from 1.63 in the previous month.


Core capital equipment goods, which the government uses to help calculate quarterly reports on U.S. growth, orders increased by 0.88 % and accelerated on the seasonally adjusted basis With bookings rising across the board, demand for primary metals, fabricated metal products, machinery orders, while orders for computers and related products declined. The rebound in durable goods orders is an encouraging sign, particularly in light of the loss of momentum in the manufacturing sector evident in recent survey reports. .
Such core capital goods orders are considered the best gauge of capital spending by businesses.
From May 2017, Core capital goods orders jumped by 6.84 % and inventories by 0.81 %.


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Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
1.67% 8.51% 0.73% 12.56% 1.02% 14.01% -1.07% 11.82%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y


Unfilled orders have rebounded from decline in previous period, unfilled orders increased by 0.63 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by 2.92 % increase in primary metals unfilled bookings, accounting for 2.62 % of total durable goods unfilled orders. Over the last 12 months, Unfilled orders soared by 3.48 %.
The Commerce Department announced total durable goods shipments edge up by 0.06 % to $247 billions, an increase of $0 billions from $247 in April in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, as shipments of aircrafts and parts grew 409.36 % to $55 billions. Shipments excluding the volatile transportation sector, grew by 0.53 %.
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New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.01. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.99. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 1.00. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 1.63. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.66. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.61.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Jan. 2018

adv.
Dec. 2017

adv.
Total
246,886 246,735 249,979 249,706 246,997 246,812
Excluding transportation
164,777 163,914 166,533 167,605 165,682 165,583
Excluding defense
233,362 232,894 237,598 236,493 233,392 233,661
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
173,581 171,036 176,458 176,160 174,547 173,806
Primary metals
21,165 21,223 21,523 21,332 20,728 20,677
Fabricated metal products
32,783 32,387 33,842 34,038 33,659 33,462
Machinery
32,260 32,058 32,589 33,393 32,788 32,683
Computers & electronic products
26,610 26,305 28,218 28,201 28,245 27,979
Computers & related products
1,800 1,808 1,754 1,888 1,926 1,791
Communications equipment
3,415 3,362 3,290 3,240 3,298 3,277
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,339 11,468 10,444 10,407 10,315 10,179
Transportation equipment
82,109 82,821 83,446 82,101 81,315 81,229
Motor vehicles & parts
4,567 58,294 3,783 4,307 56,323 56,570
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
55,418 10,880 57,451 57,353 11,437 11,310
Defense Aircraft & parts
13,342 4,391 13,389 11,440 4,228 4,208
All other durable goods
40,620 40,473 39,917 40,234 39,947 40,603
Capital goods
87,972 86,098 87,444 86,413 85,898 85,352
Nondefense capital goods
76,441 74,077 76,858 75,311 74,369 74,266
Excluding aircraft
67,311 67,309 67,303 68,117 67,114 67,052
Defense capital goods
11,531 12,021 10,586 11,102 11,529 11,086





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Jan. 2018

adv.
Dec. 2017

adv.
Total
248,755 248,496 254,947 247,718 239,724 249,448
Excluding transportation
162,627 161,438 163,534 164,224 162,002 162,246
Excluding defense
233,266 235,774 242,662 235,034 228,738 235,129
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
179,519 176,569 185,733 178,410 171,441 180,671
Primary metals
21,835 21,676 22,133 21,532 20,764 20,836
Fabricated metal products
33,442 33,381 34,397 34,524 34,152 33,582
Machinery
32,536 31,632 32,565 33,667 32,917 33,169
Computers & electronic products
22,933 22,762 24,177 23,884 24,145 23,867
Computers & related products
1,802 1,812 1,850 1,911 1,932 1,825
Communications equipment
3,688 3,410 3,337 3,054 3,497 3,261
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,335 11,568 10,416 10,339 9,992 10,251
Transportation equipment
86,128 87,058 91,413 83,494 77,722 87,202
Motor vehicles & parts
4,863 58,415 3,058 3,563 56,438 56,757
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
55,555 16,228 57,748 57,463 10,376 14,460
Defense Aircraft & parts
14,807 3,849 20,997 13,113 2,760 5,329
All other durable goods
40,546 40,419 39,846 40,278 40,032 40,541
Capital goods
90,459 89,548 93,764 88,049 82,822 87,922
Nondefense capital goods
77,147 78,589 83,142 77,369 73,644 75,116
Excluding aircraft
67,865 67,275 67,238 67,831 66,695 67,135
Defense capital goods
13,312 10,959 10,622 10,680 9,178 12,806




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Jan. 2018

adv.
Dec. 2017

adv.
Total
248,755 248,496 254,947 247,718 239,724 249,448
Excluding transportation
162,627 161,438 163,534 164,224 162,002 162,246
Excluding defense
233,266 235,774 242,662 235,034 228,738 235,129
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
179,519 176,569 185,733 178,410 171,441 180,671
Primary metals
21,835 21,676 22,133 21,532 20,764 20,836
Fabricated metal products
33,442 33,381 34,397 34,524 34,152 33,582
Machinery
32,536 31,632 32,565 33,667 32,917 33,169
Computers & electronic products
22,933 22,762 24,177 23,884 24,145 23,867
Computers & related products
1,802 1,812 1,850 1,911 1,932 1,825
Communications equipment
3,688 3,410 3,337 3,054 3,497 3,261
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
11,335 11,568 10,416 10,339 9,992 10,251
Transportation equipment
86,128 87,058 91,413 83,494 77,722 87,202
Motor vehicles & parts
4,863 58,415 3,058 3,563 56,438 56,757
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
55,555 16,228 57,748 57,463 10,376 14,460
Defense Aircraft & parts
14,807 3,849 20,997 13,113 2,760 5,329
All other durable goods
40,546 40,419 39,846 40,278 40,032 40,541
Capital goods
90,459 89,548 93,764 88,049 82,822 87,922
Nondefense capital goods
77,147 78,589 83,142 77,369 73,644 75,116
Excluding aircraft
67,865 67,275 67,238 67,831 66,695 67,135
Defense capital goods
13,312 10,959 10,622 10,680 9,178 12,806




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Jan. 2018

adv.
Dec. 2017

adv.
Total
1,160,562 1,153,353 1,153,966 1,143,293 1,140,851 1,144,099
Excluding transportation
360,213 357,181 371,153 370,048 369,089 368,222
Excluding defense
980,096 975,462 980,103 969,369 966,379 966,475
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,160,562 1,153,353 1,153,966 1,143,293 1,140,851 1,144,099
Primary metals
30,454 29,589 32,825 31,884 31,674 31,514
Fabricated metal products
83,256 82,364 83,331 82,909 82,390 81,265
Machinery
103,955 103,114 102,311 102,660 102,173 102,315
Computers & electronic products
114,224 113,816 120,052 119,771 119,982 119,898
Computers & related products
2,002 2,000 2,132 2,036 2,011 2,005
Communications equipment
25,809 25,599 28,382 28,330 28,659 28,447
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
19,363 19,313 22,285 22,316 22,279 22,837
Transportation equipment
800,349 796,172 782,813 773,245 771,762 775,877
Motor vehicles & parts
26,836 26,814 25,262 24,741 24,638 24,449
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
602,863 601,703 591,825 582,935 581,181 582,278
Defense Aircraft & parts
69,551 69,107 69,231 70,008 70,932 72,685
All other durable goods
8,961 8,985 10,349 10,508 10,591 10,393
Capital goods
861,499 858,507 856,739 849,120 847,086 851,053
Nondefense capital goods
714,506 713,853 716,084 708,562 706,110 707,285
Excluding aircraft
218,403 217,319 228,179 228,333 228,667 229,438
Defense capital goods
146,993 144,654 140,655 140,558 140,976 143,768



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Jan. 2018

adv.
Dec. 2017

adv.
Total
402,977 401,688 411,007 410,570 408,537 406,535
Excluding transportation
273,995 273,186 279,316 277,889 276,676 275,741
Excluding defense
376,284 375,035 383,634 383,209 381,230 379,069
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
327,761 326,866 334,270 334,081 332,517 330,781
Primary metals
34,690 34,191 34,871 34,666 34,338 34,150
Fabricated metal products
52,158 51,997 52,028 51,642 51,331 50,847
Machinery
67,719 67,835 70,801 70,476 70,325 70,404
Computers & electronic products
43,254 43,246 45,981 45,792 45,481 45,325
Computers & related products
3,675 3,644 4,315 4,369 4,362 4,387
Communications equipment
5,445 5,366 4,635 4,601 4,596 4,595
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
18,547 18,411 18,414 18,332 18,260 18,183
Transportation equipment
128,982 128,502 131,691 132,681 131,861 130,794
Motor vehicles & parts
35,989 35,548 35,614 35,590 35,380 35,019
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
65,597 65,639 67,296 68,290 67,764 66,912
Defense Aircraft & parts
12,784 12,734 13,172 13,202 13,184 13,414
All other durable goods
57,627 57,506 57,221 56,981 56,941 56,832
Capital goods
198,938 198,391 205,728 206,292 205,094 204,139
Nondefense capital goods
176,577 176,143 182,474 183,072 181,943 180,907
Excluding aircraft
122,831 122,525 126,436 126,110 125,626 125,534
Defense capital goods
22,361 22,248 23,254 23,220 23,151 23,232




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
May 2018

adv.
April 2018

adv.
March 2018

adv.
Feb. 2018

rest.
Jan. 2018

adv.
Dec. 2017

adv.
Total
1.63 1.63 1.64 1.64 1.65 1.65
Excluding transportation
1.66 1.67 1.68 1.66 1.67 1.67
Excluding defense
1.61 1.61 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.62
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1.89 1.91 1.89 1.90 1.91 1.90
Primary metals
1.64 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.66 1.65
Fabricated metal products
1.59 1.61 1.54 1.52 1.53 1.52
Machinery
2.10 2.12 2.17 2.11 2.14 2.15
Computers & electronic products
1.63 1.64 1.63 1.62 1.61 1.62
Computers & related products
2.04 2.02 2.46 2.31 2.26 2.45
Communications equipment
1.59 1.60 1.41 1.42 1.39 1.40
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.64 1.61 1.76 1.76 1.77 1.79
Transportation equipment
1.57 1.55 1.58 1.62 1.62 1.61
Motor vehicles & parts
0.65 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.63 0.62
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
4.92 6.03 5.03 5.97 5.92 5.92
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.80 2.90 3.48 3.07 3.12 3.19
All other durable goods
1.42 1.42 1.43 1.42 1.43 1.40
Capital goods
2.26 2.30 2.35 2.39 2.39 2.39
Nondefense capital goods
2.31 2.38 2.37 2.43 2.45 2.44
Excluding aircraft
1.82 1.82 1.88 1.85 1.87 1.87
Defense capital goods
1.94 1.85 2.20 2.09 2.01 2.10




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


     
       
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