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New orders dropped

U.S. Durable Goods, Orders, Shipments, Economic Indicators



Booking continued to fell after last month decrease of -14.44%, shipments fell as well, at the rate of -20.10 % to $192 billions.In April durable goods orders dropped by -20.27 % to $170 billions, a decrease by $43 billions from $213 in March on the seasonally adjusted basis. Suggesting some hesitancy on the part of businesses to continue to expand until they see further strengthening of the U.S. economy. Durable Goods orders dropped by -31.57 % from April 2019, and unfilled orders by -6.05 %.


What's more, demand for big-ticket outside the defense and transportation sectors, a category known as core capital goods, usually declines in the first month of a new quarter based on long-standing business purchasing habits. Another category of orders closely watched by economists, known as core capital goods, orders dropped by -10.10 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, and shipments by -10.03 %. Core capital goods orders dropped by -9.92 % and unfilled orders by -1.90 % from April 2019.

In April durable goods shipments dropped by -20.10 % to $192 billions, a decrease by $48 billions from $241 in March on the seasonally adjusted basis. Excluding transportation shipments fell by -9.84 %.



Manufacturing New Orders
Primary Metals New Orders
Capital Goods New Orders
Transp. Equip. New Orders
-13.83% -26.52% -17.58% -23.38% -6.16% -31.13% -48.02% -68.80%
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y
M/M
Y/Y

Inventories fell by -2.71 % to $426 billions, a decrease by $12 billions from $437 in March in April on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories of aircrafts and parts went down -12.00 % to $74 billions, accounting for 17.32 % of total durable goods inventories, reported by the Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio grew to 2.21 from 1.82 in the previous month.

Unfilled orders fell by -2.41 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as unfilled orders for cars and parts decline the most, down -22.09 % to $21 billions. total durable goods inventories dropped by -6.05 % from April 2019.



   

New Orders / Shipments Ratio

Inventory / Shipments Ratio

New orders / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 0.88. Excluding transportation new orders / shipments ratio was 0.95. Excluding defense new orders / shipments ratio was 0.89. 
Inventory / shipments ratio for total durable goods was 2.21. Excluding transportation Inventory / shipments ratio was 1.88. Excluding defense Inventory / shipments ratio was 2.25.
 



Shipments Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Total
192,326 240,715 252,138 250,098 250,621 251,595
Excluding transportation
150,221 166,615 167,183 167,991 167,167 167,800
Excluding defense
178,004 226,026 237,048 234,940 236,385 236,926
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
146,457 173,031 174,969 174,618 174,228 173,976
Primary metals
17,062 19,795 20,129 20,065 19,849 20,011
Fabricated metal products
27,979 33,277 33,658 33,798 33,654 34,146
Machinery
28,522 32,087 32,169 32,893 32,641 32,513
Computers & electronic products
28,533 27,797 27,898 28,052 27,875 27,922
Computers & related products
1,751 1,764 1,826 1,914 1,769 1,915
Communications equipment
3,746 3,977 3,889 3,956 4,000 3,818
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,336 12,073 11,881 11,701 11,874 11,741
Transportation equipment
42,105 74,100 84,955 82,107 83,454 83,795
Motor vehicles & parts
4,244 48,896 60,027 58,758 59,193 59,470
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
22,624 10,437 9,202 7,805 9,849 9,422
Defense Aircraft & parts
4,485 3,745 4,271 4,722 3,781 4,168
All other durable goods
37,789 41,586 41,448 41,482 41,274 41,467
Capital goods
76,286 88,520 87,372 86,621 87,295 87,182
Nondefense capital goods
63,825 75,676 74,262 73,547 74,818 74,394
Excluding aircraft
61,824 68,718 68,846 69,680 68,898 69,070
Defense capital goods
12,461 12,844 13,110 13,074 12,477 12,788





New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $ April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Total
169,966 213,184 249,167 246,199 246,634 242,625
Excluding transportation
143,332 161,947 162,329 164,170 162,762 163,439
Excluding defense
157,561 194,995 231,496 232,301 224,133 231,696
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
128,970 149,669 176,259 174,732 174,398 169,244
Primary metals
15,985 19,394 19,882 20,169 19,736 20,087
Fabricated metal products
26,703 32,928 33,101 34,065 33,657 33,799
Machinery
28,856 32,162 32,230 32,684 32,023 32,419
Computers & electronic products
23,672 23,699 23,734 23,953 23,875 23,644
Computers & related products
1,717 1,732 1,821 1,911 1,770 1,945
Communications equipment
3,703 3,842 3,706 3,923 4,126 3,814
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,409 12,106 11,929 11,772 11,934 11,932
Transportation equipment
26,634 51,237 86,838 82,029 83,872 79,186
Motor vehicles & parts
4,055 49,015 60,065 58,946 59,445 59,734
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
22,600 -16,345 8,352 8,518 1,909 7,840
Defense Aircraft & parts
-8,513 6,263 3,827 4,705 5,854 1,942
All other durable goods
37,707 41,658 41,453 41,527 41,537 41,558
Capital goods
61,074 65,084 88,876 84,027 83,548 81,295
Nondefense capital goods
50,087 48,727 73,187 72,653 64,649 71,255
Excluding aircraft
61,944 68,903 68,803 69,564 68,829 69,395
Defense capital goods
10,987 16,357 15,689 11,374 18,899 10,040




New Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Total
169,966 213,184 249,167 246,199 246,634 242,625
Excluding transportation
143,332 161,947 162,329 164,170 162,762 163,439
Excluding defense
157,561 194,995 231,496 232,301 224,133 231,696
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
128,970 149,669 176,259 174,732 174,398 169,244
Primary metals
15,985 19,394 19,882 20,169 19,736 20,087
Fabricated metal products
26,703 32,928 33,101 34,065 33,657 33,799
Machinery
28,856 32,162 32,230 32,684 32,023 32,419
Computers & electronic products
23,672 23,699 23,734 23,953 23,875 23,644
Computers & related products
1,717 1,732 1,821 1,911 1,770 1,945
Communications equipment
3,703 3,842 3,706 3,923 4,126 3,814
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
10,409 12,106 11,929 11,772 11,934 11,932
Transportation equipment
26,634 51,237 86,838 82,029 83,872 79,186
Motor vehicles & parts
4,055 49,015 60,065 58,946 59,445 59,734
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
22,600 -16,345 8,352 8,518 1,909 7,840
Defense Aircraft & parts
-8,513 6,263 3,827 4,705 5,854 1,942
All other durable goods
37,707 41,658 41,453 41,527 41,537 41,558
Capital goods
61,074 65,084 88,876 84,027 83,548 81,295
Nondefense capital goods
50,087 48,727 73,187 72,653 64,649 71,255
Excluding aircraft
61,944 68,903 68,803 69,564 68,829 69,395
Defense capital goods
10,987 16,357 15,689 11,374 18,899 10,040




Unfilled Orders Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Total
1,107,809 1,135,165 1,158,527 1,157,012 1,156,898 1,158,974
Excluding transportation
347,949 366,848 367,347 368,255 368,063 368,636
Excluding defense
886,623 920,866 947,728 949,214 947,840 958,560
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
1,107,809 1,135,165 1,158,527 1,157,012 1,156,898 1,158,974
Primary metals
30,050 31,332 31,733 31,961 31,857 32,122
Fabricated metal products
72,329 84,961 85,310 86,176 85,909 85,982
Machinery
96,927 101,479 101,404 101,222 101,431 102,049
Computers & electronic products
118,506 118,677 118,606 118,581 118,667 118,553
Computers & related products
1,937 2,173 2,205 2,210 2,213 2,205
Communications equipment
25,636 24,822 24,957 25,193 25,226 25,100
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
21,636 20,705 20,672 20,608 20,537 20,551
Transportation equipment
759,860 768,317 791,180 788,757 788,835 790,338
Motor vehicles & parts
20,648 26,504 26,385 26,391 26,203 26,087
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
518,222 538,925 565,707 566,369 565,656 575,627
Defense Aircraft & parts
85,411 87,611 85,093 85,740 85,757 83,389
All other durable goods
8,501 9,694 9,622 9,707 9,662 9,379
Capital goods
803,721 812,738 836,174 833,820 836,414 842,472
Nondefense capital goods
624,788 643,174 670,123 670,850 671,744 684,304
Excluding aircraft
216,377 218,029 217,844 217,825 217,941 218,226
Defense capital goods
178,933 169,564 166,051 162,970 164,670 158,168



Total Inventories Seasonally Adjusted, in millions $
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Total
425,574 437,420 434,691 435,379 435,339 433,959
Excluding transportation
282,578 284,857 283,018 284,159 284,413 284,626
Excluding defense
400,211 409,144 406,129 406,772 406,965 405,181
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
347,256 358,966 356,434 356,628 356,422 354,539
Primary metals
35,759 35,556 35,094 34,887 35,164 34,986
Fabricated metal products
53,474 54,098 53,930 54,082 53,618 54,079
Machinery
71,241 71,403 70,790 71,050 71,510 71,680
Computers & electronic products
44,208 43,536 43,341 43,918 43,935 43,700
Computers & related products
3,838 3,735 3,710 3,881 3,962 3,868
Communications equipment
5,258 5,594 5,477 5,485 5,498 5,475
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
19,886 20,357 20,276 20,464 20,373 20,395
Transportation equipment
142,996 152,563 151,673 151,220 150,926 149,333
Motor vehicles & parts
40,112 38,793 38,861 38,818 38,839 39,183
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
73,705 83,752 82,495 82,154 82,138 79,875
Defense Aircraft & parts
12,297 13,579 13,644 13,601 13,473 13,430
All other durable goods
58,010 59,907 59,587 59,758 59,813 59,786
Capital goods
211,435 224,153 222,366 222,640 222,795 221,146
Nondefense capital goods
190,292 200,370 198,299 198,539 198,911 196,809
Excluding aircraft
128,953 129,997 128,924 129,607 129,976 129,554
Defense capital goods
21,143 23,783 24,067 24,101 23,884 24,337




Inventory/Shipments ratio Seasonally Adjusted
April 2020

adv.
March 2020

adv.
Feb. 2020

rest.
Jan. 2020

adv.
Dec. 2019

rest.
Nov. 2019

adv.
Total
2.21 1.82 1.72 1.74 1.74 1.72
Excluding transportation
1.88 1.71 1.69 1.69 1.70 1.70
Excluding defense
2.25 1.81 1.71 1.73 1.72 1.71
Manufacturing with unfilled orders
2.37 2.07 2.04 2.04 2.05 2.04
Primary metals
2.10 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.77 1.75
Fabricated metal products
1.91 1.63 1.60 1.60 1.59 1.58
Machinery
2.50 2.23 2.20 2.16 2.19 2.20
Computers & electronic products
1.55 1.57 1.55 1.57 1.58 1.57
Computers & related products
2.19 2.12 2.03 2.03 2.24 2.02
Communications equipment
1.40 1.41 1.41 1.39 1.37 1.43
Semiconductors
- - - - - -
Electrical equipment, appliances & components
1.92 1.69 1.71 1.75 1.72 1.74
Transportation equipment
3.40 2.06 1.79 1.84 1.81 1.78
Motor vehicles & parts
1.77 0.79 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66
Nondefense Aircraft & parts
16.43 8.02 8.96 10.53 8.34 8.48
Defense Aircraft & parts
2.90 3.63 3.19 2.88 3.56 3.22
All other durable goods
1.54 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.45 1.44
Capital goods
2.77 2.53 2.55 2.57 2.55 2.54
Nondefense capital goods
2.98 2.65 2.67 2.70 2.66 2.65
Excluding aircraft
2.09 1.89 1.87 1.86 1.89 1.88
Defense capital goods
1.70 1.85 1.84 1.84 1.91 1.90




Source U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturing and Construction Division


       
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