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Warehouse_By Cayco_[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Common Retail Inventories

U.S. retail inventories rise in May

The retail inventories growth rate accelerated compare to the slow down in previous month, due to growing inventories at the car dealars.
Retail inventories grew in May by 0.6 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, to $617 billions from $614 billions, lifting inventory to sales ratio to 1.48 from 1.46 in previous month, below recent average, suggesting that companies are experiencing higher demand for their goods, reported by the Commerce Department. With invetories rising across the board, build up was evident at car dealers, food and building materials retailers, while clothing inventories declined.

The inventories to sales ratios show the relationship of the end-of-month values of inventory to the monthly sales. These ratios can be looked at as indications of the number of months of inventory that are on hand in relation to the sales for a month. Over the past 12 months, led by inventory build up of 6.1 %, at the car dealars, inventories advanced by 2.7 %.

Excluding Motor vehicle and parts inventories increased, led by growing inventories at furniture, home furnishing, electronic and appliance stores, by 0.15 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, to $396.3 billions, from $395.7 billion in April.

U.S. retailers have rebuild their invetories at the faster pace in May, elevating inventory to sales ratio, excluding motor vehicles inventories, to 1.24 from 1.23.

Consumer Price Index

Consumer Prices were unchanged in June

Americans saw virtually no change in the prices they paid in June for a broad range of goods and services, according to the latest government data,
The Consumer price Indexes remained unchanged in June on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Labor Department. CPI advanced by 1.6 % for the year, as the core rate increased on the higher rate than total consumer prices.

Stripping out the volatile food and energy categories, the core rate of consumer price inflation rose on the same pace like in previous month by 0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.
The core index is usually viewed by investors and the Federal Reserve as a better gauge of inflationary pressure because it excludes the volatile food and energy categories.
Consumer price index excluding food and energy advanced by 1.7 % for the year.

Energy and commoditie prices have declined by smaller rate than a month ago, commodities by -0.3% and energy decreased by -1.6 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, retail prices grew by 2.3 % over the past 12 months.

Food & beverages and commoditie prices have declined by smaller rate than a month ago, commodities by -0.3% and energy remained unchanged on the seasonally adjusted basis, where prices for food at home declined the most. Food prices rose by 0.9 % over the past 12 months.

Prices for housing have increased by smaller rate than a month ago, housing prices advanced by 0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, cost for shelter grew the most. Prices for housing jumped by 3 % for the year.

Apparel prices have declined by smaller rate than a month ago, apparel declined by -0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by price decrease in mens, boys, infants and toddlers apparel. Over the past 12 months, prices for apparel decreased by -0.7 %.

International Trade

The Nations Trade deficit widens on falling exports

The U.S. trade gap widened in April, on the decline in exports and growth in imports.
In April U.S. trade gap soared by 8.9 % , reported by the Commerce Department. The widening trade gap will subtract from the GDP growth, due to shrinking exports, the shrinking price of oil, cuts the trade deficit, adds to the gdp and disposable income growth, but economists believe that declining demand for oil imports might be a evidence of slowing economy.


Imports from China, meanwhile, climbed to $37.5 billion in April from $34.2 billion in March. The trade deficit with the rising Asian giant increased $3.05 billion to $-27.6 billion in April. Country data are not seasonally adjusted.

Lawmakers and some business executives say China keeps its currency artifically low to boosts its exports.

Imports increased in April by 1.66 %, reported by the Commerce Department, led by 8.45 % growth in miscellaneous other goods and Transfers Under U.S. Military Sales Contracts. Imports of Weapons increased also, up 12.90 % to $0.07 billions. But imports of Industrial supplies, materials fell the most, down -1.51 %, Royalties and License Fees. U.S. Imports of Advanced Materials also declined, by -19.09 % to $0.20 billions.

Economists think the report isn't necessarily a disaster to the extent that the surge in imports reflects strong domestic demand and restocking of store shelves.

The decline came down to oil, as petroleum imports shrank, as oil prices fell to $10.4 billion a barrel in April from $12 billion a barrel in March and as Americans used -11.06 % less imported energy products. U.S. Imports of services grew by 0.86 %, whats more important purcheses of foreign made products, which accounted for 81.9 %, of total imports, rose by 1.84 %.

Imports from europe fell, as demand for goods from Russia declined, but trade with Finland grew by 21.70 %.
What’s more, there’s a good chance exports could suffer another dip in the months ahead. Economic growth has slowed sharply in the U.K. and Europe and some countries have already fallen into recession..
U.S. Demand for goods from Pacific Rim Countries fell, as imports from Hong Kong declined, but imports of goods from Taiwan increased.
Imports from Mexico and Canada where lower in April.
Declining petroleum consumption in the U.S., has resulted in lower imports from OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries), such as Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.


From April 2016, U.S. trade gap jumped by 27.4 %, due to 8.43 % increase in imports.

In April exports declined by -0.01 %, following Consumer goods decline by -4.22 %, Royalties and License Fees. U.S. Exports of Advanced Materials also declined, by -22.00 % to $0.20 billions. Opposite to overall trend, exports of Foods, feeds, beverages and , increased. Exports of Nuclear Technology also went up, by 128.30 % to $0.12 billions.
Economists are concerned that slowing demand from Europe may dampen U.S. export growth. Exports of services have declined by -1.03 %, services accounted for 33.5 %, of total exports in April. Exports of goods, rose by 0.52 %.

Exports to europe fell, where sales of U.S. made goods to Switzerland fell the most, but exports of goods to Taiwan increased.

Products made in U.S. have seen declining demand form Pacific Rim Countries, as exports to Hong Kong declined, but exports of goods to Taiwan increased.

Bugatti_Veyron_By_Ritchyblack_Stefan_Krause_(Own_work)_[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Common Auto Sales

U.S. Auto sales fell in June


U.S. auto sales fell by -2.7 %, year-on-year in June to 1,500,625 vehicles, or -41,973 autos.
Number of factors, including low incentives, limited availability and a flat economy, have constrained demand and will continue to keep the industry in check.

Meanwhile, U.S. sales of new cars and trucks deteriorated by -2.7 % sequentially.
General Motors Co. U.S. auto sales decreased -4.7 %. General Motors the No. 1 U.S. automobile manufacturer, said it sold 243155 vehicles in June in the U.S., down from 255210 a year ago and -2.7 % below May total of 1,542,598.
Among GM's brands, Sales of Cadillac fell the most -11.8 % to 12,580 vehicles. Other two GM brands, with declining sales were, GMC -3.6 % to 12,580 vehicles and Chevrolet -6.4 % to 169,842 vehicles.

GM sold 2,157 of its Buick LaCrosse models, up by 45 %, elevating sales of Buick brand by 16.4 %. Enclave models were less in demand, GM sold 3,412 units, thats -5.1 % from a year ago.

General Motors believes that main reason for declining sales is the weak U.S. economy, and it will continue to impact new vehicle demand.
In JuneFord Motor Co. vehicle sales dropped by -5.1 %. Ford said it sold 227,979 vehicles in June in the U.S., down from 240,109 a year ago and -5.5 % below May total of 1,542,598.

Not a lot of surprises here. Ford is still stuck in first gear this month.

Monthly, quarterly and annual vehicle sales

Vehicle production and Market share

Housing Starts


U.S. housing starts grew in double digits in June by 11.3 % on the seasonally adjusted basis to annual rate of 1,215,000 units, an increase of 123,000 units from 1,092,000 in May, reported by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Construction of new homes in U.S. increased across many sectors including, multi-family housing units, northeast and midwest.

The government cautions that its monthly housing data are volatile and subject to large sampling and other statistical errors. In most months, the government can't be sure whether starts increased or decreased.

Construction of new homes in U.S. advanced by 1.7 % for the year, where construction in the Northeast grew the most, by 39.8 %.

Building permits have rebounded from decline in previous period, permits soared by 7.4 % or 86,000 units to an annual rate of 1,215,000 units, from 1,092,000 in May on the seasonally adjusted basis Most of growth took place in the Midwest and it was concentrated in multi-dwelling buildings such as apartments.

New permits went up 19.0 % to annual rate of 158,000 units in the Midwest while permits for multi-family units grew 13.9 % accounting for 30.12 % of total permits issued.

Permits give an indication of whether demand for new homes is growing or slowing. Compare to a year ago monthly building permits jumped by 8.8 %

Producer Price Index

In June PPI returned to Growth

U.S. Producer prices increased again after stagnation in the last month, led by growth in crude materials for further processing, crude petroleum and food prices.
The Labor Department announced total PPI edge up by 0.1 % in June on the seasonally adjusted basis. Crude materials for further processing, food and crude petroleum prices grew above averge in the last month. Over the past 12 months, as the core rate increased on the slower rate than total ppi, overall producer prices of finished goods have climbed by 2 %.
Prices for intermediate goods declined by -0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as prices for processed fuels fell the most. Core intermediate rate, viewed as a leading indicator of inflation fell by -0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Over the last 12 months, intermediate prices soared by 3.8 %.

Intermediate products are items such as steel, processed from iron ore, before it is made into cars.

Stripping out the volatile food and energy categories, the core rate of producer price index rose equally to total producer price index by 0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by price increases in materials for manufacturing, nondurable goods and durable goods. Core intermediate materials prices fell.
The core index is usually viewed by investors and the Federal Reserve as a better gauge of inflationary pressure because it excludes the volatile food and energy categories.
Producer price index excluding food and energy advanced by 1.7 % for the year.

Investors are monitoring how corporations are passing along rising commodity prices onto consumers, which may signal the rise of inflation.

Crude materials prices have rebounded from decline in previous period, the cost of raw materials rose by 1.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, cost for manufacturing materials grew the most. Core crude prices excluding food and energy jumped by 0.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. The core component is viewed as a key leading indicator of inflation. Over the past 12 months, crude materials prices grew by 6.3 %.

Prices for finished consumer goods have rebounded from decline in previous period, finished consumer goods prices advanced by 0.1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by increases in food, nondurable goods and durable goods prices. Prices for finished consumer goods grew by 2.2 % over the past 12 months.

Recently Repoted Results
White_House_South_Lawn_1-18-09_20090117_p011809cg-0034-515h Gross Domestic Product

In the first-quarter GDP grew 1.4 %

The U.S. economy grew at a solid pace during the January-through-March period, as private domestic investments and foreign demand for American products pick up.
Gross domestic product increased in first-quarter on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.4 % to $19,027 billions, an increase from $18,869 billions in the forth-quarter, reported by the Commerce Department. Exports and investments grew above averge in the first-quarter.
Broad-based economic growth at a solid pace during the first-quarter, raises hopes that, the U.S. economy is on self-sustaining path. The first estimate of GDP will be revised twice before it becomes final. The advance report includes estimates for trade and inventory growth. Over the past 12 months, as businesses increase investments and foreign demand for American products grows, U.S. output have climbed by 2.1 %.

The government provides three estimates of economic growth per quarter, with each reflecting more complete information than the last.
Investments grew by 3.70 % to $3,020 billions and accelerated on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Businesses, for their part, ratcheted up investments by 10.40 %, improved capital spending and investments in new equipment, are sines of strong business confidence, wich could lead to increase in profits and employement. Purchases of software and equipment surged 7.80 % and accelerated, investments in structures such as offices increased 22.60 % and added 530.90 of a percentage point to first-quarter growth.
Slower inventory buildup acted as a major drag on growth. The reduction in the buildup in inventories subtracted -0.10 percentage points from GDP growth.

Spending by state and local governments went down -0.20 %. Federal spending dipped -2.00 %, including a -3.90 % drop in the volatile defense spending category. Spending by government at all levels dropped by -0.90 %.
Consumer spending increased in first-quarter on the seasonally adjusted basis by 1.1 %.
With estimated annual rate of $12,806 billions, seasonally adjusted in the forth-quarter, consumer spending accounts for 69.41 % of economic activity, reported by the Commerce Department.
Consumption of Goods grew by 1.6 %, although spending on Durable Goods fell by -1.6 %, as furniture and household equipment decline by -0.28 %, accounted for 382.20 % of the decline in the U.S. economy.
Growth in nondurable goods of 1.4 %, as other nondurable goods grew the most, up 0.12 %.
One of most important sectors in U.S., the sevice sector grew by 0.5 %, led by growing demand for electricity and gas. Consumer spending for services accounts for 68.6% of total speding and 47.19% of total Gross national product.

Final sales for domestic product, considered a measure of domestic demand because it excludes inventories and trade, jumped at a 2.6 % rate in the first-quarter after rising 2.0 % in the forth-quarter.

Exports also turned in another solid performance, rising 7.00 % compared to 1.50 % in the first-quarter. Domestic manufacturers have led the U.S. growth in large part by boosting exports. U.S. growth would have been even faster if imports, which subtract from GDP, hadn't increased sharply: Imports rose 4.00 % from 2.60 % in the first-quarter.

Detailed Gross Domestic Product and related measures

Real Gross Domestic Product in numbers

Personal Income and Spending

Wages up 0.4 % in March spending ebbs

Americans cut back on spending in March and used a hefty increase in wages to pad their savings accounts, government data showed.
Personal income inched up 0.4 % in March at the annualized rate of $16.44 trillion on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Commerce Department.
The renewed caution by consumers is a double-edged sword. While Americans need to put more money aside to boost a low savings rate, lackluster spending also contributes to slower growth. (Consumer spending accounts for as much as 70% of U.S. economic activity.).

Disposable personal income has climbed by 0.4 %, as well, lifting average American income to $44,394 at the annualized rate.
Wages and Salaries have increased by higher rate than in previous period, led by highest increase in , along side hefty wage increase, employers have paid more for pensions and insurance benefits in March.



Personal consumption expenditures remained unchanged. The combination of higher income and lower spending allowed consumers to boost their savings rate to 5.3 % from 5.3 % in January.
A slower pace of consumer spending is one reason that economists are cutting estimates for gross domestic product growth.


Personal income and it's spending

Quarterly personal income

Employment Report

Economy gains 222,000 jobs, but the unemployment rate climbs to 4.4 %

The nonfarm payrolls grew 222,000 in June, as faster hiring puts more money in the hands of consumers, what usually leads to an increase in spending, as the nonfarm payrolls increase in public and private sectors.
Employment outside the farm sector grew by 222,000 workers in June and the unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.4 %, from 4.3 %, on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Labor Department.

Companies in the private service providing sector hired 33,300 workers and payrolls in goods-producing industries rose by 25,000, bringing overall job growth in the pivate sector to 187,000. Nonfarm payrolls were strong accross the board in the June report, improvement in the private sector, was followed by the job growth in public sector, as the government hired 35,000 people.

As the year goes on, companies have been hiring at a faster clip as Americans increase spending and consumer confidence rises, economists have seen a steady improvement in the jobs market and recruiting activity.
Current report confirms positive trends in the nonfarm payrolls. Total number of employed persons in the U.S. rose by 0.16 % to 153,17 millions, the health care and social assistance sectors hired 59,100 employees , while the demand for goods from Hong Kong fell.

Average workweek grew in June by 0.29 % to 34.50 hours, an increase of $0.10 from 34.40 in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, the biggest increases occurred in transportation and warehousing to 39.10 hours, the hours worked in durable goods manufacturers fell the most to 0.00 hours, reported by the Labor Department.
With modest increase in hourly earnings and growth in hours worked, average weekly earnings increased in the private sector to $905.63 from $901.97 in the previous month.
Details of the June report just added to evidence of a sharp deterioration in labor conditions. The number of unemployed people have climbed to 6.98 million, an increase of 116,000 from 6.86 in May by 1.69 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.
The number of people entered the labor force in June matched the natural growth rate of U.S. poulation, lifting the percentage of civilians who have or want a job up to 62.80 % from 62.70 %.

The June employment report showed a slight increase in workers' hourly wages by 0.11 % on the same pace like in previous month, on the seasonally adjusted basis, the biggest increases occurred in construction up to $28.82, the biggest decline was in natural resources and mining to $32.49, reported by the U.S. Labor Department.
Improving wages are one of the major contributors to the fast rate of hiring since consumption accounts for as much as 70% of U.S. growth. When people have more to spend, business have enough demand for their goods and services to hire more workers.

Job growth by Industry

Salary by Industry

Economy
Montage_By_Michael_Schmahl_(Own_work)__[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Commons Construction Spending

May Outlays for U.S. construction projects grew

U.S. Department of Commerce reported 1 % increase in construction spending in May, as decline in residential construction offset an increase in nonresidential construction.
In May outlays for U.S. construction projects jumped by 1 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the Commerce Department to at the highest annual rate of $1230.1 billion. Growth of nonresidential construction in the last month, shows pick up of investments in commercial and infrastructure projects.

Construction spending is closely watched by investors and economists for signs of whether the economy is growing or shrinking. Over the last 12 months, construction spending soared by 7.5 %, as the public construction outlays increased on the slower rate than total construction spending.

Public construction outlays soared by 4.2 % more then double the rate, of total construction growth on the seasonally adjusted basis, nonresidential construction was led by higher spending for, offices, power, amusement and recreation projects. Spending on transportation projects fell.
Government spending is very volatile, sometimes the data includes stimulus spending.
The construction of public projects increased by 1.2 % from May 2016.

Private construction outlays decreased despite the increase in total construction spending, by -1.4 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.
Private residential spending is important indicator of wealth, as it shows the state of the housing sector and if the citizens are buying new homes or not.
From the same month a year ago, private construction outlays jumped by 14.7 %.

Construction spending by category

Growth in construction outlays

Economy

Barack_Obama_at_Trinity_Structural_Towers_Manufacturing_Plant_pd Industrial production

Industrial production accelerates in June

The output rate of the nation's factories, mines and utilities accelerated due to increase in production of cars by 48 %.
Industrial production grew in double digits in June by 28.6 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, elevating capacity utilization to 76.4 %. The output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities increased by 1.1 % from June 2016, led by growth in nondurable goods production.
Manufacturing of durable goods grew in double digits by 30.8 %, led by production of nonmetallic mineral products with 50.2 %, on the seasonally adjusted basis.

Mining output continue to grow by higher rate, production of mines grew in double digits by 26.7 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Over the past 12 months, mining output grew by 7.6 %.

Production by industry

Capacity utilization by industry

Economy
Factory Orders (Picture Autor: Wolfgang Meinhart) licence GNU Factory Orders

New orders dropped

Booking continued to fell after last month decrease of -1.91%, as new orders for machinery and metals played also a role in the advance.
The U.S. Commerce Department reported orders for U.S.-made products, such as autos or appliances dropped by -0.89 % in May, to $465 billions, a decrease by $4.2 billions from $469 in April on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by -30.55 % decrease in defense aircraft and parts bookings, representing 0.8 % of total factory orders. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data..

With bookings rising across the board, demand for primary metals, fabricated metal products, machinery orders, while orders for computers and related products declined.
Suggesting some hesitancy on the part of businesses to continue to expand until they see further strengthening of the U.S. economy. Over the past 12 months, and shipments by 3.28 %, orders have climbed by 2.11 %.

Inventories remained unchanged in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Commerce Department. Inventory to shipments ratio fell to 1.37 from 1.37 in the previous month.

What's more, orders excluding defense and transportation decreased by -0.59 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, but shipments grew by 0.09 %.
That closely watched category gives a better read on trends in the private sector because it excludes transportation and government spending on defense.
Excluding defense and transportation grew by 2.16 %, but unfilled orders fell by -2.11 % over the past 12 months.

The Commerce Department announced total manufacturing shipments edge up by 0.14 % to $472 billions, an increase of $1 billions from $471 in April in May on the seasonally adjusted basis, as shipments for defense aircraft and parts grew 7.21 % to $40 billions, accounting for 0.86 % of total factory shipments. Government purchases of defense products are uneven and can sometimes distort the data. Excluding transportation shipments fell by -0.37 %.

Unfilled orders fell by -0.25 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as inventories for mining and oil field machinery decreased -2.46 % to $8 billions. total factory inventories fell by -1.65 % from May 2016.

Factory shipments by industry

Factory new orders by industry

Stocks
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mexicaninteriors_By_oswaldo_[CC-BY-SA-2.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_2.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Common Retail Sales

U.S. retail sales continued to fell in June

Retai sales remained unchanged again in June, signaling weakness in the U.S. economy, as consumers cut spending on most goods and services.
In June U.S. retail sales declined by -0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. U.S. retail sales remained waek due to declining sales in miscellaneous stores.

The soft patch in the U.S. economy looks just a bit softer after today’s news, economists said. Sales have clearly softened in June, reflecting the overall slowdown in the U.S. economy. Over the past 12 months, meanwhile sales excluding volatile motor vehicle and parts sales, increased less than overall retail sales, over the last 12 months, retail sales have climbed by 3.4 %.
Sales of essentials have increased on the same pace like in previous month, sale of essentials like groceries and gasoline sunk by -0.7 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, as gasoline station sales fell the most. Sale of essentials like food and gasoline grew by 2.5 % over the past 12 months.

Retail and food services sales excluding motor vehicle and parts declined sequentially equally to retail and food services sales by -0.2 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by sales decline in gasoline stations and sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores.

Auto sales often register sharp month-to-month swings and can mask underlying retail trends.
Excluding the volatile auto sector sales advanced by 2.7 % for the year.



In June, sales increased 0.4% at internet retailers, health and personal care stores grew by 0.3%.

Several other areas with sales growth were 0.1% at electronics and appliance stores, building materials dealers grew by 0.5%.

Meanwhile, sales decreased -0.1% at clothing and accessories stores, department stores fell -0.7%.

workout_By_Nnu-12-22100541Tracy_(Own_work)_[CC-BY-SA-3.0_(http_creativecommons.org_licenses_by-sa_3.0)]_via_Wikimedia_Commons Productivity

Productivity declined in first-quarter


In the first-quarter U.S. productivity decreased by -1.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis. Productivity measures describe the relationship between real output and the labor time involved in its production.

Real hourly compensation has continued to decline. Economists say that consumer spending probably cannot grow, unless paychecks increase, the hourly compensation decreased by -1.3 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, real hourly compensation in durable goods manufacturing decrease the most, by -1.7 %.
The measure includes accrued inflation-adjusted wages and salaries, supplements, employer contributions to employee benefit plans, and taxes. U.S. hourly inflation-adjusted compensation fell by -1.3 % from a year ago.

IV Quarter productivity was revised to 2.4 % growth.

Business output has increased by smaller rate than a quarter ago, business production jumped by 0.5 % on the seasonally adjusted basis, led by increases in nonfarm business, durable goods manufacturing and in total manufacturing.

U.S. productivity rose by 1 % over the past 12 months, as employes spend more hours at work. U.S. business production grew by 2.3 % over the past year.

U.S. labor costs continued to grew by higher rate, the labor costs jumped by 3.4 % on the seasonally adjusted basis.

Increases in hourly compensation, lead to increase in unit labor costs U.S. labor costs jumped by 2.9 % for the year.

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